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Armenia has officially come out with a strategic procurement policy shift and named India and France as its future defence partners. This has come out on multiple sources both Western and even Indian. Putin is going to be very upset, but considering how he ditched them twice, he should expect...

Stretch his luck? Baku has all the advantages it needs to obliterate Armenia. Turks will keep supplying them with weapons and Azeris have the money to make that happen. The oil and gas revenues from the EU more than makeup for it. With Russia sanctioned, Azerbaijan has Europeans by their...

This would not be a population issue given that the Armenian population has declined for the last 3 decades. There are entire towns where Armenian men have left for other countries, leaving their women and families behind.

Russia just gave the US another Ukraine. For someone playing such smart politics on a global scale, Vladimir Putin was dumb to not give lethal weapons to the Armenians that can weaken Baku. A few well-placed Yakhonts against their Caspian oil rigs would have brought Azerbaijan's economy to a...

The issue is not about the country of Armenia in Artsakh but the Armenian people that live there. Artsakh folks are different from the rest of Azerbaijan as chalk and cheese. Even Azerbaijan is split with a portion across Armenia (like East and West Pakistan were at one time), called...

I am not talking about this confrontation but the first war. Artsakh was in question, but Azerbaijan attacked Armenia proper in 2020. This was openly backed by the Turks and the West dithered as they were too busy figuring out whether to drink Clorox or not as a COVID cure. If it were just...

It is very unlikely that we will interfere in this war in any meaningful capacity right now. We can escalate by giving Armenia Pralay-type missiles. But if their clownish generals use it to hit the capital city, it would drag us into a war far away from home. The only advantage that I see here...

Armenia is a CSTO member, not Pashinyan. When the war broke out, the Armenian government invoked Article 4 which is similar to NATO Article 5. Azerbaijan is not a part of this alliance and it invaded Armenia proper (not the Nagorno-Karabakh that they claim). CSTO was treaty-bound to intervene on...

Iranians don't need to match toe-to-toe to defend Armenia. It's safe to assume that Russia has "outsourced" their role for Armenia to Iran, us (indirectly Just look at the devastating use of those Shahed-136 kamikaze drones in Ukraine. Ukraine is a massive country compared to Azerbaijan and yet...

Well, Russia wasn't exactly being the protector when Azeris invaded Armenian territory in 2020. They repeatedly invoked Article 4 (like NATO Article 5) of the CSTO but not a single CSTO member sent forces to help Armenia. The closest thing to help that Armenia got was our offer to airlift...

The entire Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict is beautifully explained by Abhijit Chavda in this video. There is an interesting theory by Americans called Heartland-Rimland Power which plays a major role in the Caucasus.

Much of all the drones and loitering munitions that are being made now are in companies that are fairly new to the game. They have won orders but their production lines are not mature enough for supplying additional orders outside. This would happen with time when there are more reinvestments...

Not a good idea unless they are asking for it openly. We have not found critical evidence of Azeri arms supplies to Pakistani terror groups. Political jibes here and there are OK as long as they are not actively stepping in. Once they do, we can do what you say. A glaring contrast here is that...

Europeans support anyone that backs their commercial interest. After Russia starved them of gas (technically they kamikazed their own supplies), Baku is the only country ready to quickly supply them with natural gas via Turkish pipelines. So Elham Aliyev's authoritarianism and "human rights...

That is going to screw the INSTC. The only option Ruskies would have would be to bypass the entire land component and straight ship from Russia to Iran and then downwards.

I know. Iran has a fungible product that it can sell no matter what and sustain a moderate economy in the long run. Azerbaijan is pretty much the same. Turkish inflation is out of control but somehow they are not drowning, and still have a pretty decent-sized economy. Armenia is meanwhile like...

They really don't have many options. Iran cooperates with them with minor benefits compared to what a benevolent Europe/NATO brigade would bring. Also given that Armenia is a democracy and that there is a strong Armenian lobby in the West, they will stand to gain more. That being said, they...

Technically difficult, yes, due to Turkey torpedoing the move using their veto. But not operationally. Russia can't afford to invade another country at this stage. Not even Armenia. The Russian bases inside Armenia have barely enough soldiers to fight a small operation, let alone a full-scale...

I don't know whether Russians are an ally or the enemies of Armenia. They have been shorting them from the first war in 1992. Armenia has been constantly the discriminated one despite Azerbaijan not being a part of CSTO and has been cheated several times. What's worse, Armenia activated Article...

Loitering munitions is fine, but Pralay? Armed with it, they'd be able to flatten critical command infrastructure in Baku city proper, when used in sufficient numbers. Not to mention hit targets deep inside Turkey if it came to that. What are the chances that Ninda Turtle would agree? Sure...