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  1. Razor

    Balkanization of Pakistan

    That would be part of Step 3 (Refinement of options/Objectives) This refinement can also lead to zero option/objectives, in whcih case it should not be pursued. If some viable options are profitable then pursue. And not to mention this is time-dependent as changing geopolitical scenarios can...
  2. Razor

    Balkanization of Pakistan

    I don't know how policy is made in India and I am not sure how what you are asking me (?) But if I were to do it: Various options and their consequences--> Success rate of option (aka odds) and possibility of improving odds (success rate) --> Refinement of options/objectives --> Action Plan...
  3. Razor

    Balkanization of Pakistan

    It was not just balancing that the SU did. As per ex-KGB agent Yuri Bezmenov who worked undercover for several years in India and later defected to Canada, the SU played an active role in encouraging agitation against Pakistan in BD, in the early days. In addition he says that SU consulates in...
  4. Razor

    Balkanization of Pakistan

    The East as you know is littered with massive American bases, i.e. what I mean tin my post. As for West: Afghanistan, does not count as West? US also had a base in Kyrgyzstan, which closed last year. Agreed on the 2nd point.
  5. Razor

    Balkanization of Pakistan

    They already have plenty of bases, close to China. Also the US seems to be concentrating on Russia now rather than China.
  6. Razor

    Balkanization of Pakistan

    1. I posted in the first couple of pages on this thread, and I didn't read after that since it gets repetitive; in any case as you can see from my posts, I think the chances of pak being in one piece is greater than it disintegrating. Some posters here seem to think that only india has...
  7. Razor

    Balkanization of Pakistan

    2a. I wasn't saying Pakistanis will not go to Europe. I am saying the immediate neighborhood is more at risk. For example, in the recent syrian crises, turkey received the largest chunk, and in ukrainian crises, Russia received over a milloin refugees. Yes, India's BSF seems solid but pakistan's...
  8. Razor

    Balkanization of Pakistan

    1. Maybe. China will try to protect its interests in the region and a destabilized pakistan is certainly against china's interest, viz a viz instability in Xinjiang, Tibet, C. Asia and sustenance of trade/trade links to ME, C. Asia etc. 2. I'm not talking about Pakistani refugees going to...
  9. Razor

    Balkanization of Pakistan

    Before asking who, how, when and so on one should think of the consequences; that is how this chess match known as geopolitics works. Two important things that needs to be thought about will be: Large scale war and balkanization of pakistan will create a refugee influx that will make the...
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