Yasukuni Blues: Understanding Shinzo Abe's Historical Revisionism

t_co

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China Matters: Yasakuni Blues: Understanding Shinzo Abe’s Historical Revisionism

Myth: Shinzo Abe is a leading member of the team of world and Asian democracies standing up to China in the name of universal values like "freedom of navigation" and to help ensure the shared peace and prosperity of Asia.

Reality: Shinzo Abe is a revisionist nationalist using friction with China to pursue Japanese national interests, put Japan on the right side of a zero-sum economic equation opposite the PRC, maximize Japan's independence of action as a regional hegemon, hopefully peacefully, but if not...

Mission for the Western media: Manage the cognitive dissonance between comforting myth and disturbing reality for the sake of its faithful readers.

Challenge: Explain away Prime Minister Abe's Boxing Day visit to the Yasakuni Shrine.

First of all, please note that Yasakuni is not Japan's Arlington Cemetery. The role of national repository of Japan's war dead is filled by the Chidorigafuchi National Cemetery.

Yasakuni is a right wing revisionist theme park that provides sinecures for politicians of Abe's LDP party on its board. It's too creepily ultranationalist even for the Japanese emperor himself to visit.

Jeffrey Kingston of Temple University's Japan Center provided a nice takedown of the Yasakuni myth back in August 2013 for Bloomberg:


Yasukuni is ground zero for an unrepentant view of Japan's wartime aggression. During World War II, the shrine served as the "command headquarters" of State Shinto, a religion that deified the emperor and mobilized Japanese subjects to fight a holy war at his behest. The private foundation that runs Yasukuni only added the 14 most controversial "souls" [Class A war criminals—ed.] -- surreptitiously -- in 1978.

The shrine's political mission is on blatant display at the adjacent Yushukan museum, run by the same foundation. There, the Class A war criminals are portrayed as martyrs. Japan's war in China is supposed to have suppressed banditry and terrorism, while its invasion of the rest of Asia is represented as a war of liberation from Western colonialism"¦

It is telling that Emperor Showa (Hirohito), once the head priest of State Shinto, confided to an aide that he stopped visiting Yasukuni after 1978 precisely because the shrine had been tainted by the presence of the Class A war criminals. This explicit politicization of the site also explains why his son, current Emperor Akihito, has maintained the imperial household's embargo on visits.

Abe's historical revisionism about World War II, as represented by his Yasakuni visit, is not a generous if misguided exercise in greatest generation nostalgia meant to soothe toothless, aging nationalists with a last glimpse of imperial twilight. Historical revisionism has an unmistakable contemporary resonance and drives a current political agenda. For instance, it underpins Abe's burgeoning security relationships with India and Myanmar, both of whom were unhappy British subjects not at all immune to the decolonization blandishments of Imperial Japan in the 1940s.

The only foreigner commemorated at Yasakuni (with a stele) is Radha Binod Pal, an Indian jurist and decolonization enthusiast, whose suppressed dissent to the Tokyo war crimes tribunal verdict has become a sacred text for Japanese historical revisionists, and was approvingly cited by Manmohan Singh in his high-profile anti-Chinese bromance with Shinzo Abe. I refer interested readers to my article in Japan Focus, which covers Abe's celebration of Pal and the anti-colonial (as well as anti-Chinese) foundation of current Indo-Japanese relations in convincing detail.

As for Myanmar, Aung San Suu Kyi's father and national hero Aung San did a lot more than flirt with the role of collaborator with the Japanese occupation of Burma. He was in charge of anti-British guerilla ops on behalf of the Japanese government, served as War Minister in the occupation cabinet, and was personally awarded the Order of the Rising Sun by Emperor Hirohito before he came to his liberal democratic senses (or realized that Japanese rule was headed for collapse) and became leader of the resistance.

The Japanese presence in Burma is remembered nostalgically by a lot of Japanese and apparently more than a few Burmese locals and sustained a flood of Japanese veteran tourism and government and private aid projects since the 1950s. Japan cultivated a special relationship with Myanmar even during the worst junta years, and Abe has taken advantage of Myanmar's opening to the West to jump in diplomatically and commercially and work to displace Chinese influence.

And of course Abe himself came from a long line of conservative politicians, most notoriously on his wife's side Nobusuke Kishi, who played a key role in the occupation of Manchuko, served in the Tojo cabinet during World War II, and was detained as a candidate for Class A War Criminal status until his release in 1948.

The most awkward and significant reality of Shinzo Abe's Yasakuni visit is that the villain at the heart of Japanese historical revisionism is not China; it is the United States.

The core of Abe's historical revisionism is not just that the bandit-infested territories of China and Korea demanded Japanese tutelage in the 1930s and 1940s, but also that the Japanese Empire was leading the fight of the oppressed peoples of Asia against British colonialism and American imperialism—in other words, the real war crime of World War II was U.S. aggression against Japan.
The United States, and its pretensions to moral superiority over Japan, as well as China and Korea's presumptuous claims to virtuous victimhood, were a target of Abe's Yasakuni visit.

As I have pointed out before, the Chinese state media frequently emphasizes the shared PRC-US interest of maintaining the official World War II narrative of "evil Japan", not only for the transitory Chinese pleasure of guilt-tripping Tokyo, but because the US self-assigned role of Asian lawgiver and restraint on Japanese militarism is one of the main justifications for "pivoting" into Asia instead of just giving Japan enough guns, bombs, and backing to manage the China containment show on its own.

Remember, Premier Wen Jiabao used his last official trip to Europe to go to Potsdam, of all places, to celebrate the Potsdam Declaration, the 1945 call by the US, Britain, and China for Japan's unconditional surrender and specifying occupation until Japan had a "peacefully inclined" government.

This context provides considerable heartburn for purveyors of the "Abe as unwilling warrior" myth that presents Japan's newly aggressive foreign policy as a reaction to the "China threat" to national security, and for that matter, the rather ridiculous assertion that Abe is a regretful victim being pushed into visiting Yasakuni in order to appease his fireeating right wing base. Abe pretty much is the base.

On the other hand, it provides considerable support for an understanding of the Abe reality: that Shinzo Abe is deliberately and carefully stirring the China pot in order to exacerbate and highlight the polarization between China and Japan to justify his ongoing reconfiguration of Japan's regional role into independent local hegemon at the expense of U.S. prestige and power in Asia.

Abe manufactured a crisis out of the Chinese declaration of its Air Defense Identification Zone; now he exploits and prolongs the furor by sticking a finger in China's eye with the Yasakuni visit. In other words, instead of trending toward stability (and making things easier for the United States), Abe is escalating, enhancing instability (and making things more difficult for the US). Strange behavior for an ally. Understandable actions for a regional actor impatient to assert its independence vis a vis the US.

Abe is a man in a hurry. He realizes that the an intersection of LDP hubris-driven corruption and incompetence and an an eventual resurgence of Japan's other political parties lies somewhere in his future. He is determined to re-establish Japan as a full-fledged regional power before he leaves office. Instability and tensions with China work toward this end, and that's why he does things like visit Yasakuni.

This state of affairs is perfectly understood by the PRC government, and Chinese state media has been harping on Abe's incremental security reforms and his efforts to develop a regional network of Japan-centric alliances, even before he takes the momentous step of revising the pacifist constitution and enabling formal "collective security" treaties that would permit a Japanese military response if an ally, and not Japan itself, were threatened.

It is also, I think, well understood by the U.S. government, which has been performing an increasingly difficult balancing act as Japan sails off on its own independent regional security policy. For the sake of its own "pivot" agenda, which is built on the idea of China containment, the United States has denied itself the "honest broker" role in a balance of power network and is instead trying to herd cats (and a Japanese panther) to maintain an anti-China picket line.

As the Japanese government understands (and, I would hope, U.S. diplomats now sincerely regret), the pivot doctrine has fatally circumscribed US ability to push back on Japan (unless Japan does something absolutely crazy illegal and aggressive, which is not Mr. Abe's MO). Prime Minister Abe knows he can go to Yasakuni and elicit nothing more than anxious squealing from the U.S. State Department.

Western corporate media outlets, I believe, haven't gotten the memo since they have totally tongue-kissed, climbed into bed, and had blissful liberal democratic sex with the valorized dream of the world's democracies led by the United States working hand in glove with Japan to stand up to the PRC's authoritarian regime. The realization that the new Japanese policy is based on the idea that the Pacific War was a gigantic regional war crime by the United States instead of the first triumph of American democracy over Asian authoritarianism (and the successful template for a certain current US effort against another alien, pushy Asian power whose initials are "PRC") simply doesn't seem to sink in.

The result is utterly gormless reporting (sorry, Reuters) along the lines of :


Paying respects at the shrine is part of Abe's conservative agenda to restore Japan's pride in its past and recast its wartime history with a less apologetic tone. He also wants to ease the restraints of Japan's post-World War Two pacifist constitution on the military.

Some political experts said Abe had probably calculated that his relatively high voter ratings, based largely on hopes for plans to revive the economy, could withstand any criticism over his Yasukuni pilgrimage, which would also shore up support in his conservative base.

He may also have felt that with ties with Beijing and Seoul in a deep freeze, a visit would hardly make things worse.

Given the conflicted (and self-inflicted) nature of US pivot policy, I expect the big media reporting to continue to hew to the more-sorrow-than-in-anger angle that "For some mysterious reason Abe is going out of his way to irritate PRC jerks and why is he antagonizing South Korea at the same time even though South Korea is a democracy too and since Japan is a democracy they should be buddies oh never mind", while continuing to ignore the most important reality: that events in Asia are increasingly slipping away from the grasp of the United States and into the hands of Japan—into the hands of Shinzo Abe, who is fundamentally suspicious of U.S. pretensions to leadership and perhaps even questions US regional legitimacy as anything more than a fading power still trying to trade on its legacy of Japanese conquest more than half a century ago.

Thanks, "pivot to Asia".

------------------------------------

There have been seven incidents of 'hooliganism' or vandalism against Japanese cars or businesses in Seoul in the past 24 hours. (Source: college friend who works for Korean NIS). Abe is singlehandedly dismantling the US-led security order in East Asia. Fortunately, it looks like the State Department, Treasury, and Commerce are all getting the message and ready to rein Schizo Abe in. Will the Pentagon get on board? Stay tuned.
 

asianobserve

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The rest of Asia has already moved on...

Japan hasn't killed anybody since WW2. Only the most idiot of idiots will believe that Japan will invade any of its neighbors again. China and South Korea should stop teaching their children to hate Japan.
 

t_co

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The rest of Asia has already moved on...
That isn't relevant to the original argument, however. Abe's visits are not about Japan's current relationship with what you term to be 'the rest of Asia'. They are about Japan's relationship with the United States.

Japan hasn't killed anybody since WW2. Only the most idiot of idiots will believe that Japan will invade any of its neighbors again. China and South Korea should stop teaching their children to hate Japan.
No Asian leader believes any Asian nation will invade any of its neighbors again. America thinks Japan will drag it into an Asian war against its own interests (sort of like Israel and Saudi Arabia have nearly dragged the US into a war with Syria and Iran).

Schizo Abe can't deliver on the TPP, can't deliver on structural reform, and can't deliver on helping America's security goals in the Western Pacific. Expect a tete-a-tete between the US and China on how to stonewall this unhelpful individual soon.
 

asianobserve

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That isn't relevant to the original argument, however. Abe's visits are not about Japan's current relationship with what you term to be 'the rest of Asia'. They are about Japan's relationship with the United States.
You're wrong again. It's about "Abe's relationship" with the "Japanese population."


No Asian leader believes any Asian nation will invade any of its neighbors again. America thinks Japan will drag it into an Asian war against its own interests (sort of like Israel and Saudi Arabia have nearly dragged the US into a war with Syria and Iran).
But America also believes that a line must be drawn against China. And as it is only too conscious of the anxious Asian eyes of "other Asian countries" looking at how it will react on the challenges against China faced by its most powerful Asian partner. Too weak and bye-bye to its alliances/importance in Asia.


Schizo Abe can't deliver on the TPP, can't deliver on structural reform, and can't deliver on helping America's security goals in the Western Pacific. Expect a tete-a-tete between the US and China on how to stonewall this unhelpful individual soon.
It's too early to tell if Abe has failed in his economic gamble. But there are some early signs: domestic prices going up, stock market booming (investors and traders always bet in anticipation of favorable business performances).
 
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amoy

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The rest of Asia has already moved on...

Japan hasn't killed anybody since WW2. Only the most idiot of idiots will believe that Japan will invade any of its neighbors again. China and South Korea should stop teaching their children to hate Japan.
both China and 2 Koreas have axes to grind. Abe and his likes hav made Japan a perfect grindstone. what can b a better stimulus for buoyant nationalism? Japanese politicians hv kept on adding fuel by chanting "comfort women were volunteers" or "Korea was willing to merge with Japan" and so on. East Asians visibly have a stronger self esteem.

its Abes who refused to move on.

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asianobserve

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both China and 2 Koreas have axes to grind. Abe and his likes hav made Japan a perfect grindstone. what can b a better stimulus for buoyant nationalism? Japanese politicians hv kept on adding fuel by chanting "comfort women were volunteers" or "Korea was willing to merge with Japan" and so on. East Asians visibly have a stronger self esteem.

its Abes who refused to move on.

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I think that issue of comfort women in a murky one, very murky. There could have been scores of those comfort women that were forced but most of them could have been in Japanese comfort stations voluntarily for money and safety. There are certainly a lot of prostitutes now in China and if news are to be believed a lot of them are forced into it (where's the uproar?).
 

asianobserve

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Japanese politicians hv kept on adding fuel by chanting "comfort women were volunteers" or "Korea was willing to merge with Japan" and so on. East Asians visibly have a stronger self esteem.

Isn't it cherry picking just to suit the narrative against Japan that China and South Korea are spinning in the heads of their youth? The Japanese Government has already apologised many times for the atrocities committed by their previous government during the war:

String of apologies

In 1991, the historian Yoshiaki Yoshimi discovered incriminating documents in the archives of Japan's Defense Agency. According to Yoshimi they indicated that the military was directly involved in running the brothels. The Asahi Shimbun, a major Japanese national daily newspaper, published these findings as a front-page article "Japanese Army abducted comfort women" on 11 January 1992. This caused a sensation and forced the government, represented by Chief Cabinet Secretary, Koichi Kato, to acknowledge some of the facts the same day. On January 17, 1992 Prime minister Kiichi Miyazawa presented formal apologies for the suffering of the victims during a trip to South Korea.

Japan officially acknowledged wartime military slavery in a landmark 1993 statement, followed by the offer of compensation from a small private fund, which expired in 2007.

After some government studies into the matter, Yohei Kono, the Chief Cabinet Secretary of the Japanese government, issued a statement on 4 August 1993. By this statement the Japanese government recognized that "Comfort stations were operated in response to the request of the military of the day", that "The Japanese military was directly or indirectly involved in the establishment and management of the comfort stations and the transfer of the women", "The recruitment of the comfort women was conducted mainly by private recruiters who acted in response to the request of the military. The Government study has revealed that in many cases they were recruited against their own will through coaxing and coercion". The government of Japan "sincerely apologize[d] and [expressed its] remorse to all those, irrespective of place of origin, who suffered immeasurable pain and incurable psychological wounds". In the statement, the government of Japan expressed its "firm determination never to repeat the same mistake and that they would engrave such issue through the study and teaching of history".

But the so-called Kono statement has long baited Japanese revisionists, who deny the military was directly involved. "The women were legal prostitutes, earning money for their families," claims the revisionist academic Nobukatsu Fujioka.
The Japanese government has made various apologies since the early 1990s.

One very notable apology was made by Prime Minister Tomiichi Murayama in July 1995 in which he specifically mentions the Japanese military?s involvement in crimes against comfort women. Though it has seemingly apologized repeatedly for these offenses, the Japanese government denies legal liability for the creation and maintenance of the system of "comfort stations" and comfort women used during World War II.

The Japanese government has vigorously defended its legal position on this issue and has persistently maintained that all issues of compensation have been settled by postwar peace treaties (including the 1951 San Francisco Treaty of Peace with Japan, and other bi-lateral treaty arrangements between Japan and relevant parties).

Draft Study on Recognition of Israel's Responsibility for Refugees - The Palestine Papers - Aljazeera Investigations
 

amoy

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Isn't it cherry picking just to suit the narrative against Japan that China and South Korea are spinning in the heads of their youth? The Japanese Government has already apologised many times for the atrocities committed by their previous government during the war:
Koreans disagree with u

Comfort women' statues

South Korean activists unveiled plans Wednesday to put up statues commemorating women forced into wartime sexual slavery by Japan in a number of Asian countries, starting with Singapore. The Korean Council for the Women Drafted for Military Sexual Slavery was behind the bronze statue of a young girl with a butterfly settled on her shoulder that was put up in 2011 opposite the Japanese embassy in Seoul.

Korea Joongang Daily
They said they intend to block an overturning or revision of the Murayama Statement by the Abe government. They pointed out that the Abe administration has flip-flopped on its position on the Murayama Statement. In May, Abe said that his administration "upholds the [Murayama] statement as a whole," then later questioned the definition of "aggression."
 

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I think that issue of comfort women in a murky one, very murky. There could have been scores of those comfort women that were forced but most of them could have been in Japanese comfort stations voluntarily for money and safety. There are certainly a lot of prostitutes now in China and if news are to be believed a lot of them are forced into it (where's the uproar?).
Jan Ruff O'Herne - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Comfort women - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Ten Dutch women were taken by force from prison camps in Java by officers of the Japanese Imperial Army to become forced sex slaves in February 1944. They were systematically beaten and raped day and night in a so-called "Comfort Station".[42][44] As a victim of the incident, in 1990, Jan Ruff-O'Herne testified to a U.S. House of Representatives committee:
"Many stories have been told about the horrors, brutalities, suffering and starvation of Dutch women in Japanese prison camps. But one story was never told, the most shameful story of the worst human rights abuse committed by the Japanese during World War II: The story of the "Comfort Women", the jugun ianfu, and how these women were forcibly seized against their will, to provide sexual services for the Japanese Imperial Army. In the so-called "Comfort Station" I was systematically beaten and raped day and night. Even the Japanese doctor raped me each time he visited the brothel to examine us for venereal disease."[42][44]
In their first morning at the brothel, photographs of Jan Ruff-O'Herne and the others were taken and placed on the veranda which was used as a reception area for the Japanese personnel who would choose from these photographs. Over the following four months the girls were raped and beaten day and night, with those who became pregnant forced to have abortions. After four harrowing months, the girls were moved to a camp at Bogor, in West Java, where they were reunited with their families. This camp was exclusively for women who had been put into military brothels, and the Japanese warned the inmates that if anyone told what had happened to them, they and their family members would be killed. Several months later the O'Hernes were transferred to a camp at Batavia, which was liberated on 15 August 1945.[45][46][47]
The Japanese officers involved received some punishment by Japanese authorities at the end of the war.[48] After the end of the war, 11 Japanese officers were found guilty with one soldier being sentenced to death by the Batavia War Criminal Court.[48] The court decision found that the charges those who raped violated were the Army's order to hire only voluntary women.[48] Victims from East Timor testified they were forced into slavery even when they were not old enough to have started menstruating. The court testimonies state that these prepubescent girls were repeatedly raped by Japanese soldiers[49] while those who refused to comply were executed.[50][51]
MOFA: Statement by the Chief Cabinet Secretary Yohei Kono on the result of the study on the issue of "comfort women"

The Government of Japan has been conducting a study on the issue of wartime "comfort women" since December 1991. I wish to announce the findings as a result of that study.

As a result of the study which indicates that comfort stations were operated in extensive areas for long periods, it is apparent that there existed a great number of comfort women. Comfort stations were operated in response to the request of the military authorities of the day. The then Japanese military was, directly or indirectly, involved in the establishment and management of the comfort stations and the transfer of comfort women. The recruitment of the comfort women was conducted mainly by private recruiters who acted in response to the request of the military. The Government study has revealed that in many cases they were recruited against their own will, through coaxing coercion, etc., and that, at times, administrative/military personnel directly took part in the recruitments. They lived in misery at comfort stations under a coercive atmosphere.

As to the origin of those comfort women who were transferred to the war areas, excluding those from Japan, those from the Korean Peninsula accounted for a large part. The Korean Peninsula was under Japanese rule in those days, and their recruitment, transfer, control, etc., were conducted generally against their will, through coaxing, coercion, etc.

Undeniably, this was an act, with the involvement of the military authorities of the day, that severely injured the honor and dignity of many women. The Government of Japan would like to take this opportunity once again to extend its sincere apologies and remorse to all those, irrespective of place of origin, who suffered immeasurable pain and incurable physical and psychological wounds as comfort women.
 

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I am in no way denying that there were sex slaves during the war. But then again which major war didn't have cases of sexual atrocities? That's the dark side of our humanity. But as I already pointed out Japan has already apologised many times for its transgressions. What more can Korea and China ask for?
 

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Japanese politicians keep on throwing out flame baits like worshiping Tojo, Yamamoto etc. as "heroes" while sounding apologetic at times. In contrast in Germany Mein Kampf is still banned up to date. Consequently CJK FTA is probably shelved while China and Korea move toward CK FTA without J. Political short-sightedness of Abe at most!



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asianobserve

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Japanese politicians keep on throwing out flame baits like worshiping Tojo, Yamamoto etc. as "heroes" while sounding apologetic at times. In contrast in Germany Mein Kampf is still banned up to date. Consequently CJK FTA is probably shelved while China and Korea move toward CK FTA without J. Political short-sightedness of Abe at most!



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I don't think Abe or his predecessor Koizumi really intend to glorify Tojo et al by going to Yasukuni. I think like all Asians they only want to pay their respect to the souls of all the people that sacrificed, rightly or wrongly, for Japan. I don't see anything wrong with that. What is wrong is endorsing the evil actions of these men which clearly the Abe or the JApanese government has no intention of doing.

Secondly, it is obvious that in every country there are idiots. And the lower ranking Japanese politicians that keep on denying this issue are just living up to what they are, idiots. What is important is that the national government of Japan has already formally admitted the participation of their military in this issue, and that they apologised for it (many times). Now, have you seen the same act of contrition on the part of the CCP for the atrocities committed during the 50s and 60s that killed millions of their own countrymen?
 
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The Japanese Chinese relationship has been historically an interesting one with surges of confrontations and mutual animus so to say.

'Apparently.with the rise of China, the Japanese have capitalised on the decades of peace under the US' protective security umbrella to rejuvenate itself from the devastation caused by the second World War.

However, given the emerging geostrategic and geopolitical challenges, far sighted amongst the Japanese politicians have realised that given the challenges to the US, the benign US protection may not be in perpetuity. Hence, such politicians are seeking ways to shed the pacifism that has been thrust on them by the US dictated Constitution and the revulsion towards militarism and horrors thereof caused on the Japanese psyche by the Atom Bomb on Hiroshima and Nagasaki.

Shinzo Abe is merely playing out the game to subtly change Japan to be self sufficient in its security outlook and equip her to be self reliant towards its national territorial integrity and sovereignty.

There can be no better a mode to national awakening that a subtle revival of Shintoism, which is the indigenous spirituality of Japan and the people of Japan,.in the same manner as the Chinese use the 100 years of National Shame to give the necessary surge to Han nationalism.

In fact, most countries have heroes who have caused untold miseries to their neighbours and beyond. The untold miseries and massacres by Attila the Hun, Napoleon, the various British military colonialists, the untold miseries and massacres caused by the Communists in China during the Long March and thereafter are all heroes to some and hated by others.

One could hardly single out Japan as the sole villian of the piece.
 
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The US establishment view on Abe's Yasukuni visit is decidedly negative:

http://blogs.cfr.org/asia/2013/12/30/abes-yasukuni-visit-the-consequences/

On December 26, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe made an official visit to the controversial Yasukuni Shrine, drawing harsh criticism from Japan's neighbors and a public rebuke from the U.S. Embassy in Tokyo. Now that he has done it, what are the likely policy consequences?

As expected, outrage was expressed within hours by the governments of China and South Korea. Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Qin Gang called Abe's visit "an attempt to whitewash the history of aggression and colonialism by militarist Japan, overturn the just trial of Japanese militarism by the international community, and challenge the outcome of WWII and the post-war international order." China's foreign minister, Wang Yi, was quoted in the People's Daily saying that Japan's prime minister was taking Japan in "a very dangerous direction."

South Korean Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesperson Choi Tai-young similarly noted that Abe's visit "clearly shows his wrong perception of history. It is an anachronistic act that fundamentally undermines not only the ROK-Japan relations but also stability and cooperation in Northeast Asia."

Abe's visit also invited reaction from the United States. The U.S. Embassy in Tokyo issued a statement, noting U.S. "disappointment" at the prime minister's choice. The U.S. Embassy statement began by noting that Japan was "a valued ally and friend," and ended with reference to the positive pledge Abe made to the effect that Japan would not return to its past.

Of course, there were lots of "I told you so's" from Abe's critics, at home and abroad. Twitter was full of comments and quotes from various regional media sources, as well as from experts who claimed to have known he would do it all along. For those in Japan, including some of the families of the World War II veterans enshrined there, this was a sweet victory. For the more right-wing voices resentful of Chinese and Korean criticism over an issue they feel is essentially a Japanese choice (some of which are found on the prime minister's Facebook page), this visit will be seen as a demonstration of Japanese autonomy from foreign influence.

But Abe's choice will limit Japan's diplomatic options. The prime minister's decision to visit Yasukuni creates more rather than less rigidities in a region already ridden with tensions over territorial disputes, popular sensitivities, and leadership rivalries. No matter how much the prime minister or his supporters may want this to be a domestic matter, it will have foreign policy and security consequences for Japan.

First, there is now little hope that Seoul and Tokyo will find a way through their difficulties to repair their relationship of economic and security cooperation. Over the past few months, growing U.S. concern about the Park government's over-zealous concern with domestic politics and unresolved historical claims began to seep into the alliance conversations with both Seoul and Tokyo. Some effort to feel out possible avenues for political dialogue between these two U.S. allies was visible. The Yasukuni visit will end that effort, and Washington now will be far less likely to push for reconciliation. This means in effect that coordination on policy toward a turbulent North Korea, as well as trilateral reassurance on U.S.-Japan and U.S.-ROK alliance reforms, will become ever more difficult.

Second, the Yasukuni visit is likely to introduce yet another freeze in Japan's diplomatic relations with China. The lack of a diplomatic dialogue gives Chinese leaders greater latitude for linking historical revisionism in Japan to differences over sovereignty claims in the East China Sea. Since coming into office, the prime minister's handling of the island dispute and his assurances that his government would not escalate tensions in the region drew praise across the aisle in Washington. China, not Japan, was seen as the cause of tensions in that relationship. Moreover, Japan's maritime difficulties with Beijing were seen as a source of common interest with others in Southeast Asia. But the Yasukuni visits are not only unpopular in China and Korea; they create concerns about Japanese ambitions across Asia, reminding all of a different era in regional history.

Finally, the decision to visit Yasukuni will diminish confidence that the Abe cabinet sees the risks in Northeast Asia in the same way as U.S. policymakers. The Yasukuni Shrine visit thus will introduce greater caution in U.S. thinking about the tensions in Northeast Asia. Japan's long overdue security reforms, welcomed as pragmatic adjustments to the changing regional security environment, may now be viewed more carefully. Greater uncertainty about what motivates Japan's choices will lead analysts and decision-makers alike to stop and ask whether each reform is evidence of a different agenda, one that pushes a nationalist agenda driven by emotions rather than rationale strategic choice. This could slow progress on a host of alliance reforms, and demoralize those in the U.S. government anxious to upgrade alliance cooperation. (The timing of the Yasukuni Shrine visit was a particular disappointment for those working on Futenma relocation with Tokyo.)

For those in Japan who see the Yasukuni Shrine visits solely as an issue of domestic politics, these consequences may not seem reasonable or even relevant. Undoubtedly, there are those in Tokyo who will see the U.S. government's reactions through the prism of partisan politics. Yasuhiro Nakasone in the mid-1980s and Junichiro Koizumi more than a decade later had Republican counterparts (Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush, respectively) in office in Washington. But it would be a mistake to interpret the U.S. reaction in this way.

Abe faces a different set of strategic challenges than Nakasone or Koizumi before him. Territorial disputes, deep sensitivities over history and power, and a dramatic reordering of economic influence all combine to produce a combustible atmosphere in Northeast Asia. His Japan faces a far more complex environment, with far greater strategic risk.

Japan does not live alone in today's Asia; its many friends rely on the values of a postwar Japan that shares their interests in peace and economic prosperity. The U.S.-Japan alliance remains a powerful tool for Prime Minister Abe, but the alliance cannot thrive in a state of uncertainty or frustration.

On this side of the Pacific, of course, there will also be frustration about the deliberate decision to ignore U.S. concerns. While some in Tokyo may see advantage in introducing unpredictability into Japan's relations with China and South Korea, there is nothing to be gained by rattling Washington. There are few here that welcome greater tensions and acrimony in Northeast Asia.
The US Council on Foreign Relations can be thought of as the approved voice of America's establishment, in much the same way that the People's Daily is the approved voice of China's establishment.

Council on Foreign Relations - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

The Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) is an American nonprofit, nonpartisan membership organization, publisher, and think tank specializing in U.S. foreign policy and international affairs. The CFR is considered to be the nation's "most influential foreign-policy think tank".[1] Its membership has included senior politicians, more than a dozen Secretaries of State, CIA directors, bankers, lawyers, professors, and senior media figures.
 

t_co

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If there was one thing that Abe could have done to ---- up his foreign policy strategy, visiting Yasukuni was it.
 

Ray

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The US has a big stake in China from the point of view of Economics.

The US has a big stake in Japan for its national interests in the Pacific.

Contradictions, right?

The US is also known to talk from both end of the cheek! ;)

Blow hot, blow cold and mean nothing but its national interest based on the flavour of the issue!
 

t_co

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The US has a big stake in China from the point of view of Economics.

The US has a big stake in Japan for its national interests in the Pacific.

Contradictions, right?

The US is also known to talk from both end of the cheek! ;)

Blow hot, blow cold and mean nothing!
Precisely, which is why Japan's visit was a dumb idea. If your primary ally has contradictions, why do something that brings these contradictions to the surface and forces the ally to face them - especially when said ally has chosen economics over national security in every single major foreign policy move since 1972?
 

Ray

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Precisely, which is why Japan's visit was a dumb idea. If your primary ally has contradictions, why do something that brings these contradictions to the surface and forces the ally to face them - especially when said ally has chosen economics over national security in every single major foreign policy move since 1972?
There is no contradiction.

It is the typical façade played in international relationship.

Diplomacy is all about smoke and mirrors!

The US plays China as an ally, but goes hammer and tongs over human rights and yet does nothing in Tibet and Xinjaing and gives the Xinjiang leader Rebiya Kadeer asylum in the US.

Smoke and Mirrors!
 
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t_co

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There is no contradiction.

It is the typical façade played in international relationship.

Diplomacy is all about smoke and mirrors!

The US plays China as an ally, but goes hammer and tongs over human rights and yet does nothing in Tibet and Xinjaing and gives the Xinjiang leader Rebiya Kadeer asylum in the US.

Smoke and Mirrors!
Ray, I think you're grasping at straws to disagree with me. Can't we just say we've found some common ground for once?

;)
 

Ray

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Ray, I think you're grasping at straws to disagree with me. Can't we just say we've found some common ground for once?

;)
No.I am not grasping at straws.

Double facedness is the staple of diplomats.
 

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