panduranghari
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The U.K. Is Not O.K. | Grant Williams | FINANCIAL SENSE
Britain is fcuked. But we already knew that.Wow!
Firstly, Britain's 'safe-haven status' is a fallacy. It is no more safe haven than many of the other major economies who are choking on debts that cannot be paid off. The only reason it HAS that status currently is because of the very Achilles Heel that will ultimately prove to be its demise - the ability to print its own currency. By NOT being a part of the euro experiment, Britain has kept control of its fate and has been able to print its way out of trouble - so far - while its neighbours to the east have all been lashed to the deck of the same sinking boat, but the day is coming when Britain's profligacy will become important again. As I keep saying; none of this matters to anyone until it matters to everyone.
Secondly, interest rates may have 'fallen to a record low' but they have done so in the same way heavily-indebted gamblers often 'fall' from hotel rooms - with a big push (only this time from the Bank of England and not a guy called Fat Tony). Like US Treasurys, the price of UK gilts would be nowhere near these levels without a captive and very friendly buyer in the shape of the central bank.
And then there's the 'treasury source' who spoke of 'locking in for the future the tangible benefits of the safe haven status we have today' before finishing with a flourish when he tugged at the heartstrings of investors by referring to great-grandchildren who would be paying less in interest repayments than they otherwise would have done because of (and I'm going to give this last comment the space it deserves):
"...the government's fiscal credibility"
I have yet to find anything remotely credible about the UK governments fiscal policy - it's marketing policy, yes, but fiscal policy? Not so much.
Clearly, any government looking to lock in rates for 100 years is supremely confident of two things:
1: Rates are as low as they are going to be for 100 years
2: They have suckers at the table willing to lock those rates in for that length of time.