By now, the degree of Banerjee's distrust had grown so intense that she would not be impressed even by his espousal of Trinamool's positions in the Cabinet and the Cabinet Committee on Political Affairs. On certain issues, like on allowing FDI in multi-brand retail, Trivedi even had to bear the brunt of finance minister Pranab Mukherjee's famous temper.
Rail Budget: Coup-hit Trinamool Congress on black-sheep watch
Trivedi's decision to hike fares was a conscious one. He did not try to skirt his responsibility as a railway minister by toeing his party's overtly populist line though it is quite apparent that Union finance minister Pranab Mukherjee would not have given the railways an extra Rs 3,500 crore loan at a nominal interest of 8.5% without a word with the minister. According to Trinamool sources, Mamata had instructed Trivedi at a meeting with her party MPs at Writers' not to hike railway fares. Trivedi's response was an enigmatic smile.
Unlike previous cases of rebellion in the party, the railway minister's defiance was not a solo effort, say sources. He had the backing of a group of leaders within the party, who might not show up in the controversy.
Parliamentary party leader Sudip Bandyopadhyay has already said that the party is in the lookout for black sheep who might have provoked Trivedi. Such a statement from a senior leader will only aggravate the atmosphere of mistrust within the party. On earlier occasions, senior party leaders like Ajit Panja and Pankaj Banerjee had to bite the dust for opposing Mamata on their own. Trinamool MP Kabir Suman, too, met a similar fate.
According to available indications, disgruntled Trinamool leaders like Somen Mitra, Sisir Adhikary, Sultan Ahmed, Saugata Roy, Gobinda Naskar and others who do not curry favour with the Trinamool chief may be under party scanner. None of these leaders is in any position to take the rebellion forward, as except for Sisir Adhikary, they can't risk facing elections without Mamata's support. They will test the waters in the panchayat elections and wait for developments in the national scenario to unfold before emerging out of the closet.
On Wednesday, Union minister Saugata Roy went with Sudip Bandyopadhyay and Subrata Bakshi to urge the railway minister to roll back his fare-hike proposal. Union minister of state Sisir Adhikary was with Mamata Banerjee in Nandigram from where the Trinamool chief announced her opposition to the hike.
Within minutes of Mamata's comment, Union minister of state Sultan Ahmed, who had earlier lauded Trivedi's budget, did a U-turn and asked Trivedi to fall in line. "I didn't know that Trivedi had raised the fare without any consultation within the party, so I am retracting my earlier statement. I am with the party," he said over phone.
However, the spark of rebellion within the Trinamool camp is likely to influence the Congress-Trinamool chemistry in Bengal and in the UPA. Mamata won't take the embarrassment easily and will wait for an opportunity to settle scores with the Congress. Even if she gets rid of Dinesh Trivedi, it is not certain how far Prime Minister Manmohan Singh will bow under the Trinamool pressure for a new railway minister. Mamata has already embarrassed the UPA government by moving an amendment to the President's address in Parliament. Her party may also throw tantrums during the discussion on the railway budget and submit cut motions like the Opposition. But this time, the government won't fall, as the Prime Minister has said.
Whatever the fate, the opposition to the rail budget by Trinamool Congress will pave the way for a high-voltage action-packed drama in Bengal with Mamata taking on the Congress and CPM simultaneously. The last time she had taken on both -- in the 2006 Assembly polls -- she had failed to reach the magic number. Now, she will find it difficult to simultaneously play out the role of a street fighter and discharge her duties as the chief minister. But, the Trinamool chief is desperate to display her anti-establishment card to make fresh dents in the coming panchayat elections. The educated middle-class though is not taking her knee-jerk reactions lightly.
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Rail Budget: Coup-hit Trinamool Congress on black-sheep watch - The Times of India