And if this turns out to be a nuclear war everything will change negatively. Also we will never overtake those 4 economy.
You see until the crisis happens everyone is going to say we can control this and that. What if the international community goes against India. What if sections applied on us again?
This might be a move to accelerate India's growth as global power which we are going to be anyway. But this can also be a move to destroy the hope of becoming the same.
Wrong.
I don't see it destroying the economy and the nation in any such as way as you are saying because we are not going to have a nuke war with any member of P5.
It's pakistan, almost same number of nuclear bombs as ours, will be lagging as our economy improves and we invest, has comparatively smaller nukes (tactical nukes which can't damage enough to shadow our economy, in fact with our interceptors, it can't even give substantial damage), nor we are going to fight a full scale war which may cause harm to our economy, we have way better nuclear delivery systems, conventional power etc..
And most important, India is too large to get substantially damaged by such an obsolete nuclear arsenal.
In fact, we are always ready for a conventional or nuclear sustaining national security and economy.
We can easily defeat without getting any substantial economic or infrastructural/mortality damage but that's not the issue.
The major challenge is draw out a country from them. This will take 10-15 years.
Cuz in 1971, we had direct land access to Bangladesh, it had high population, it didn't border with west pakistan and we had a powerful Soviet Union backing us.
But this time, it doesn't border with us, it does border with Pak, population is low compared to landmass, it could be a flourishing point given Chinese interests, we will have to fight it our own, US, Russia, China or EU, nobody is going to support us.
It's perfect time of self introspection and test ourselves if we are at par with countries with whom we compare (now by "It's perfect time", I did not mean to for it now, next year or few years, because I also know that we cannot do it today.)
In fact your point is correct, we are saying the same but you got in wrong sense. It's just a start today, some psychological warfare, mind games and strategic preparations, we are not going to declare war literally (what
@Navnit Kundu meant).
I must have told you in previous post earlier.
In my opinion we should engage Pakistan in these things. We should make plans for 10-15 years of strategy and destroy Pakistani economy. Meanwhile difference b/w Indian and Chinese economy will shrink and we will become a global power. Our Army, Navy and Airforce will become powerful enough to project power around the IOR and beyond. Every country will have business relation with India which it will not like to lose.
As we know about comparatively led favourable Geography of Baluchistan for us, no backing from US, Russia or China, we will have to do it ourselves.
Detaching Baluchistan out is way way more difficult task than defeating pak.
Main things we need are:
- Surgical strikes capability to bomb inside, supplying goods or weapons or our soldiers to enter because Baluchistan is not east pakistan. That even with stealth aircraft given capabilities of modern Radars.
- More logistical support and more naval strength to block enemies or tackle them at multiple fronts. One front against pakistan, rest for defending in different regions IOR from any third party planning to intervene in our issue (something what Soviets provided us, this time do it alone). These ships, aircrafts and army will need logistical support which can easily be supplied from Afghanistan, Seychelles and here from India.
- Gunships, fighters and bombers because we can't kill Baluchis with ICBMs. They are useless.
- A rapid tactical policy to stop pakistan from using nuclear bombs on their own territory (read their policy ever). If they ever use nukes inside Baluchistan, hope of it's freedom will be gone forever. Take care of Iran, they can intervene.
- You will have to keep Baluchistan heavily militarized even after Pakistan Army surrenders to you. They can attack there again. In fact, you'll have to keep it militarized for decades, because can't say about intentions of pakistan. Though, given unique geographical position of Baluchistan, it won't much long to catch up economically.
All of weapons, bases and other sorts of assets are under development or construction and won't be in service before 10-15 years.
So, whatever we can do till then is to heat the knife more and more so that we can cut the butter more easily at right time.:biggrin2:
That is where we should try to disintegrate Pakistan to peaces. Right now we are not ready for war much less a nuclear one.
We are ready and we are not ready also.
Because it depends on the country with we'll mess up.
We can win war, but useless if we fail in our goal of disintegrating any part. We defeat them and they are still standing to disturb us in future.
So, we will win, we won't have much effect on economy, won't have any damage, but it would be a complete waste of time, money and resources if we do it today.