Pak FEAR: Modi's war hysteria opens defence to foreign investment

Ray

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Modi's war hysteria opens defence industry to foreign investment

Eyes on defence deals, Western powers rush to court India´s Modi

NEW DELHI: Western governments are rushing to visit India´s new Prime Minister Narendra Modi, drawn by the prospect of multi-billion-dollar deals as the government prepares to open the nascent defence industry to foreign investment.

Senior politicians from France, the United States and Britain arrive in quick succession over the next 10 days as Modi prepares to accelerate the modernisation of the country´s mostly Soviet-era weaponry.


Modi intends to build up India´s military capabilities and gradually turn the world´s largest arms importer into a heavyweight manufacturer - a goal that has eluded every prime minister since independence in 1947. On the table is a proposal circulated within the new government to raise caps on foreign investment - with one option to allow complete foreign ownership of some defence projects.

"All the countries are trying to make their case, especially as there is the sense that the Indian market will undergo a shift," said Harsh Pant, professor of international relations at King´s College London. "They get a sense from their dealings that something dramatic is going to happen and they want first-mover advantage," said Pant, who specialises in Indian defence.

First to arrive in New Delhi will be French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius, whose top priority is to close a stalled deal to sell India 126 Rafale fighter jets, built by Dassault Aviation , for an estimated $15 billion.

Fabius, who arrives on Monday, will meet Modi as well as his most powerful minister, Arun Jaitley, who holds the twin portfolios of defence and finance - and can therefore decide both whether to sign the deal and when to release the money.

U.S. Senator John McCain is also due in India next week. McCain, whose Arizona constituency includes weapons makers such as Boeing and Raytheon, told the Senate on Thursday that Washington should seek to bolster India´s economic and military rise.

"This is an area where U.S. defence capabilities, technologies, and cooperation - especially between our defence industries - can benefit India enormously, " McCain said of India´s drive to modernise the armed forces.

In the second week of July, Britain is likely to send in Foreign Secretary William Hague and finance minister George Osborne, a British government source said on Friday. Britain has drawn some cheer from the slow progress of the negotiations for the Rafale deal. The Eurofighter Typhoon was shortlisted along with the Dassault fighter before India announced the French jet was the winner. Cost escalations and disagreements about building the Rafale in partnership with India´s state-run Hindustan Aeronautics Limited have complicated talks with France, and London has never entirely given up hope that it will return to the race.
However, on Thursday, one source at the Indian defence ministry said the deal was likely to be finally closed during Fabius´ visit and could be signed this year. A French foreign ministry source said talks were ongoing, but refused to provide more detail.

Russia, for years India´s top weapons supplier, pipped all three countries to the post, sending Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Rogozin to visit the new government in Delhi two weeks ago. Washington last year replaced Moscow as India´s top defence supplier, according to IHS Jane´s.

The Western nations will have noted that India´s foreign minister expressed displeasure with Russia´s recent offer to sell Mi-35 attack helicopters to India´s arch-rival Pakistan. "I don´t think it´s a competition," U.S. Assistant Secretary of State Nisha Biswal said after an early post-election visit to New Delhi. "India will have strong and positive relationships with a variety of countries and that is to be encouraged," said Biswal.
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"We want to see India taking on a stronger and a leadership role in the region and around the world so we welcome that.

India spent some $6 billion last year on weapons imports. It makes few of its own weapons, beyond ballistic missiles and assembly lines for foreign jets. On Thursday, the government signalled it was in the mood for liberalisation by allowing manufacturers to build more defence components without licences, making it easier for Indian firms to partner foreigners.

At present foreign companies can only invest 26 percent in Indian defence projects without committing to technology transfer, which has put off many investors. Before the election, sources in Modi´s Bharatiya Janata Party said there was a plan to increase the cap to 49 percent. "For higher-tech intellectual property we would want to go over 50 percent to be in a position to share technology that we have significant investments in," said Phil Shaw, chief executive of Lockheed Martin India Pvt Ltd."

Uplift from 26 to 49 percent maintains the status quo and may not be sufficient incentive to make an investment here. "Lockheed Martin already has a 26 percent investment in an Indian joint venture with Tata Advanced Systems that manufactures airframe components for the C-130J Super Hercules cargo lifter.

India´s Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion has circulated a discussion document that proposes allowing up to 100 percent foreign direct investment, or FDI, in defence production, two government officials told Reuters. The note suggested allowing 100 percent FDI in manufacturing of state-of-the art equipment, one of the officials said.

It also recommends a cap of 49 percent for investments which do not involve transfer technology and a 74 percent ceiling in such cases where the foreign investor is ready to share technology know-how, the official added.

Last week, Commerce and Industry Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said foreign investment in the sector would help increase defence preparedness of the country and reduce import dependence, saving billions of dollars in foreign exchange. However, she said the government was yet to take a final call on increasing the FDI ceiling and the decision would be taken by Jaitley and Modi.

The proposals face pockets of resistance in Indian industry, Modi´s party and the military establishment. A.K. Antony, who was India´s longest serving defence minister until his Congress party´s election defeat in May, said this week that allowing higher foreign investment in defence would be "suicidal".

Modi's war hysteria opens defence industry to foreign investment - thenews.com.pk
India's aim to become self sufficient seems to have made Pakistan fear crazy.

It is hobbled since it cannot compete by opening up its own defence to foreign investors since it requires a base infrastructure and finances, both absent in Pakistan. And given the internal security situation in Pakistan, it is as attractive as the back street scenario of alley cats fighting and spoiling the serenity of the night.

However, to be fair to Pakistan, they do have good reasons to be worried. They are imploding with their internal schizophrenia that explodes in sectarian massacre, their democracy being the sham that Musharraf claimed and the unending secessionist activities of cop religionists of different States of Pakistan.

Befuddled and cowering, India on the march is indeed bad news for Pakistan.

Apart from fear crazed grousing, have they any other options?
 

Srinivas_K

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Re: Pak FEAR : Modi's war hysteria opens defence to foreign investmen

For Pakistan there is China .... they have deep co operation and China is ready to sell arms to Pakistan.

Main threat is China from where every move and trouble originate.
 

Ray

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Re: Pak FEAR : Modi's war hysteria opens defence to foreign investmen

For Pakistan there is China .... they have deep co operation and China is ready to sell arms to Pakistan.

Main threat is China from where every move and trouble originate.
One requires money to buy arms.

With US quitting Afghanistan, the blackmail route for money will dry up.

And China is not that philanthropic. The love the smell of money or barter some sovereignty to them!

Pakistan will be choosing the latter.
 

Peter

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Re: Pak FEAR : Modi's war hysteria opens defence to foreign investmen

For Pakistan there is China .... they have deep co operation and China is ready to sell arms to Pakistan.

Main threat is China from where every move and trouble originate.
Don`t worry about China. I read a story that China is going to face a lot of ethnic trouble in the future and may get broken up into 4 different countries.
 

rusellviper89

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Re: Pak FEAR : Modi's war hysteria opens defence to foreign investmen

Don`t worry about China. I read a story that China is going to face a lot of ethnic trouble in the future and may get broken up into 4 different countries.
They are ethinically far more homogenous than India I doubt they have an ethnic issue
 

Peter

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Re: Pak FEAR : Modi's war hysteria opens defence to foreign investmen

They are ethinically far more homogenous than India I doubt they have an ethnic issue
Actually the Chinese govt is trying to suppress the ethnic minorities. Till now you might have learnt only about the Han Chinese,the Uighur Muslims,the Chinese Mongols and about the Tibetans. Actually there are far more ethnicities in China and also linguistic differences. China always has been a divided state. The Mings ruled the Han Chinese only in the northern part of China. Other regions like Tibet were independent. It is only recently that China has acquired its present state. Even during the ancient times there were many divisions or kingdoms in China(although there had been Chinese empires or mega states briefly).

The present Chinese govt is trying to forcefully assimilate all this ethnicities and make Han Chinese culture the dominant one. Some analysts feel this would backfire. Of course no one can predict the future so we will have to wait and watch if this turns out to be true.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_ethnic_groups_in_China
 

rusellviper89

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Re: Pak FEAR : Modi's war hysteria opens defence to foreign investmen

Actually the Chinese govt is trying to suppress the ethnic minorities. Till now you might have learnt only about the Han Chinese,the Uighur Muslims,the Chinese Mongols and about the Tibetans. Actually there are far more ethnicities in China and also linguistic differences. China always has been a divided state. The Mings ruled the Han Chinese only in the northern part of China. Other regions like Tibet were independent. It is only recently that China has acquired its present state. Even during the ancient times there were many divisions or kingdoms in China(although there had been Chinese empires or mega states briefly).

The present Chinese govt is trying to forcefully assimilate all this ethnicities and make Han Chinese culture the dominant one. Some analysts feel this would backfire. Of course no one can predict the future so we will have to wait and watch if this turns out to be true.

List of ethnic groups in China - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
More than 90% chinese are HAN & that is extremely homogeneous country.
List of ethnic groups in China - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
They are the least likely country to disintegrate & that to in this age of Nationalism.
 

Adux

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Re: Pak FEAR : Modi's war hysteria opens defence to foreign investmen

As usual India journo's who have their political agenda trying to make a Modi discourse, they have failed when he got elected; yet it seems they havent learned their lessons. DONT PEDDLE LIES AND SENSATIONALIST ARTICLES
 

Ashutosh Lokhande

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Re: Pak FEAR : Modi's war hysteria opens defence to foreign investmen

the only concern about pak is no matter how superior we be in conventional wepons and fancy aircrafts it wont be enough to stop there terrorist infiltration and proxy war under there nuclear blackmail.
 

debasree

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Re: Pak FEAR : Modi's war hysteria opens defence to foreign investmen

they will cry to thier master for more help....to papa us money to china ..millitary hardware
 

Srinivas_K

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Re: Pak FEAR : Modi's war hysteria opens defence to foreign investmen

One requires money to buy arms.

With US quitting Afghanistan, the blackmail route for money will dry up.

And China is not that philanthropic. The love the smell of money or barter some sovereignty to them!

Pakistan will be choosing the latter.
Mr @Ray there is a professional armed force of 10 Lakh in our North Western borders, who happens to be our enemy all there 65 years. If any bigger power wants to invade India, Pakistani Army present a wonderful opportunity for them. These borders are plains and once the defense is breached New Delhi and Gangetic plains become vulnerable. Or enemy can capture pockets of territory(Blitzkrieg) and then resort to nuclear black mail and put forward their demands like Kashmir and Arunachal Preadesh.

I think you may be aware ,one of the reason India bolsters its Northwestern force and gives priority than Indo - Tibet border where we can convert the battle into Guerrilla warfare and can stop the advance of the invading force.
 
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Ray

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Re: Pak FEAR : Modi's war hysteria opens defence to foreign investmen

Mr @Ray there is a professional armed force of 10 Lakh in our North Western borders, who happens to be our enemy all there 65 years. If any bigger power wants to invade India, Pakistani Army present a wonderful opportunity for them. These borders are plains and once the defense is breached New Delhi and Gangetic plains become vulnerable. Or enemy can capture pockets of territory(Blitzkrieg) and then resort to nuclear black mail and put forward their demands like Kashmir and Arunachal Preadesh.{/quote]

No that would not be a correct analysis given the terrain and the endless built up area along the thrust lines which will demand MOUT (military operations in urban terrain). MOUT is the most difficult of all operations since it requires clearing urban areas and that is endless and merciless in terms of manpower and equipment.

I think you may be aware ,one of the reason India bolsters its Northwestern force and gives priority than Indo - Tibet border where we can convert the battle into Guerrilla warfare and can stop the advance of the invading force.
The force levels are decided on the Threat Analysis and the Troops to Task on a particular type of terrain it has to operate.

One should read Jaswant's Singh's book 'India at Risk'. He analyse issue nicely for all types of readers to understand. However, he tends to be verbose and one has to plod through the stuff he writes.
 
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Pulkit

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Re: Pak FEAR : Modi's war hysteria opens defence to foreign investmen

One requires money to buy arms.

With US quitting Afghanistan, the blackmail route for money will dry up.

And China is not that philanthropic. The love the smell of money or barter some sovereignty to them!

Pakistan will be choosing the latter.[/QUOTE @Srinivas_K


China and US have been giving free bies to pakis... China lesser in number than US but even with US leaving an dno blackmail they will be getting few goods as gift from both the countries..... Due to the defense pact between pakis and US and love china ha for them....
 
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no smoking

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Re: Pak FEAR : Modi's war hysteria opens defence to foreign investmen

One requires money to buy arms.

With US quitting Afghanistan, the blackmail route for money will dry up.

And China is not that philanthropic. The love the smell of money or barter some sovereignty to them!

Pakistan will be choosing the latter.
As long as India is still having its strength, US and China will their aid to Pakistan as a balance.
 

thakur_ritesh

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Re: Pak FEAR : Modi's war hysteria opens defence to foreign investmen

The story goes, the Indian media was all ready to do wide coverage of India headed for a war with Pakistan, and there was a big let down when the SAARC leaders were invited over for the oath taking ceremony. An article like this is just a extension of that, but there is not much left to sell now.
 

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