N-League ahead of PTI, PPP: US survey

[Daredevil]

WASHINGTON: The latest US survey of public opinions in Pakistan reveals that PML-N is now the most popular party in the country, followed by PTI and PPP.

The survey by the International Republican Institute also shows that the majority disapprove the creation of Southern Punjab province.

The report on political parties includes a comparison of two recent surveys, showing their positions on national and provincial levels.

Founded in 1983, the IRI is funded by the US government and conducts international political programmes and opinion polls.

Their latest survey declares PML-N the favourite on national level, with 32 per cent approval. The PTI is second with 18 per cent and the PPP is third with 14 per cent. PML-Q and JUI-F have two per cent each.

Asked if they would support the creation of a new province in Punjab, 21 per cent Pakistanis said they would, strongly. And 14 per cent said they would "somewhat" support it. Nine per cent said they "somewhat" opposed it while 41 per cent said they strongly opposed it. Fifteen
per cent had no opinion.

A similar poll in August 2012 showed 21 per cent Pakistanis strongly supported the creation of a new province in Punjab, 16 per cent backed it reluctantly, nine per cent said they "somewhat" opposed it and 42 per cent strongly opposed it. Twelve per cent had no opinion.

A comparison of the last two surveys showed that the PML-N had 28 per cent popularity rate in August 2012 which increased to 32 per cent in the latest poll. PTI's popularity rate decreased from 24 to 19 per cent. PPP retained its position with 14 per cent in both surveys.

MQM also increased its support from 3 to 4 per cent. PML-Q maintained its 2 per cent while JUI-F's increased from one to two per cent.

In the previous poll, 18 per cent said they did not know which party to support while in the latest, 17 per cent remained uncommitted.

In Punjab, PML-N increased its support from 43 to 49 per cent. PTI, however, receded from 27 to 19 per cent. PPP made a slight gain, from 7 to 8 per cent. PML-Q also gained one percentage point, from 2 to 3 per cent.

In Sindh, PPP remains the most popular party, although its support base decreased from 39 to 32 per cent.

MQM remains second as its support base increased from 11 to 16 per cent.

PTI is third but its support base also shrank from 13 to 9 per cent.

PML-N gained, from 6 to 8 per cent but PML-Q lost two points, from three to one per cent.

In KPK, PTI remains the most popular party, gaining between August and November 2012, from 20 per cent to 32 per cent.

PML-N gained three points, from 9 to 12 per cent.

PPP maintained its 5 per cent support base while JUI-F improved from two to five per cent.The current ruling party, ANP, also gained two
points, moving from one to three per cent.

PML-Q showed a hundred per cent loss, from one per cent to zero.

In Balochistan, PTI is ahead of other parties, although popular support for the party dropped by nine per cent, from 26 to 17. PPP made the biggest gain, from five to 18 per cent.

JUI-F moved from four to eight per cent and PML-Q from three to five per cent.

Field work for this poll was conducted by the Institute for Public Opinion Research, Islamabad. Oversight and analysis was provided by Robert Varsalone of Maven Public Affairs.

A multi-stage probability sample was used. In the first stage, the sample was stratified into four provinces. In the second stage, the sample was further stratified into districts within each province by rural and urban categories. In the third stage, each district was further stratified by union councils.

Face-to-face interviews were conducted. The interview teams comprised both men and women.

Sample size: 4,997
Eligibility: age 18 and older
Margin of Error: ±1.4 per cent
Response Rate: slightly more than 75 per cent.

N-League ahead of PTI, PPP: US survey | Newspaper | DAWN.COM

 

[Daredevil]

@farhan_9909 will be disappointed that PTI is far behind PML-N. Nawaz Sharif is way ahead and with some help from PPP might form the government in next elections unless interfered by PA.

 

[thakur_ritesh]

The last time the IRI conducted the poll, sometime in July-August'12, and there was fall in the popularity graph of the PTI, Imran Khan did concede that there was indeed a fall in his party's popularity but not as much as the poll had shown, and now this is the second successive time the IRI has reported further slide in the PTI's popularity. The latest fall in popularity was noticed in a matter of mere 3 months.

Further, post the show of strength by TuQ, there would have been further dent in his perceived vote bank. IK's party seems to have peaked way too early, than it should have, and now the "tsunami" seems to be on recede.

I think the only real way out for him is if he is able to stitch up a decent alliance, even there for now it seems PML-n has taken the lead.

 

[Yusuf]

PA will rig the elections.

 

[Bhadra]

PA will rig the elections.

Thy always did and nothing has changed that they will not do it again.

PPP and PML - N have suffred at the hands of PA so they will not be helped but PA will try and put their stooge Imran Khan on the seat..

 

[Blackwater]

Still shows pakistan still run by AAA

America
America
Army

 

[Daredevil]

Still shows pakistan still run by AAA

America
America
Army

No, that's

Allah, America and Army.

 

[Blackwater]

No, that's

Allah, America and Army.

Sorry, Allah Tala is not in pakistan's picture any more

I intentionally wrote that

 

[farhan_9909]

PMLN is still better than PPP.alot better

but i wanted a true change as promised by Imran khan

In
*Education(5 times increase in budget)
*7% average growth
*Audit defence budget
*increase tax to gdp ratio(in PMLN case they wont do this because majority of his party players as well him are business man and they themselves don't pa tax)
*Stopping of WOT
*No more drones

lets see what happens
my first preferrence remain IK

 

[Yusuf]

No, that's

Allah, America and Army.

Allah not on their side hats why they have lost all their wars and their country is in such a mess

 

[thakur_ritesh]

@farhan_9909

I think, it would be a lot better to have NS as the PM than IK. On economic matters, NS is on the right, IK has center to left vision. Yes, the talk of a welfare state appeals a lot on the short term, but for developing economies like ours, India and Pakistan, we ought to venture and explore more economic reforms, liberalized economy, more job creation by the market than the state, with least government interference.

Can you share a detailed analysis on the PTI's socio-economic vision. Thanks.

 

[farhan_9909]

@farhan_9909

I think, it would be a lot better to have NS as the PM than IK. On economic matters, NS is on the right, IK has center to left vision. Yes, the talk of a welfare state appeals a lot on the short term, but for developing economies like ours, India and Pakistan, we ought to venture and explore more economic reforms, liberalized economy, more job creation by the market than the state, with least government interference.

Can you share a detailed analysis on the PTI's socio-economic vision. Thanks.

I agree about nawaz being better at economic level.what he sucks is at political wills like in kargil.we still occupied tiger hill but because of his running and crying to uncle sam we lost all the credit.

Kargil was indeed a military victory but a big political defeat from nawaz

Some points from imran khan economic policy

Institutional reform
While presenting the policy, Umar maintained that all state-owned institutions are at a disaster and the loss is so huge that it cannot be estimated.
To reform the institutions, Umar said that the Railway Ministry will be abolished and it will work under an autonomous board instead of the government. He added that the Pakistan International Airlines (PIA) will also be taken out of the control of the Ministry of Defence if PTI chief Imran Khan comes into power after the next elections.

Expenditure reform
Umar said that the party will aim to reduce the number of federal ministries to 17 from the current 37 to cut down the expenditure of the government.
Other points included:
- Limit perks enjoyed by ministers, MNAs, MPAs and civil and military bureaucrats
- All state institutions, including defence to participate in expenditure reduction campaign
- Eliminate all discretionary funds
- No development funds for parliamentarians
"On the right hand, Imran Khan will be taking his oath as the prime minister, while on the left hand, such (lavish) buildings will be bulldozed," said Umar.
Revenue collection
Presenting the party's policies for the collection of revenue in Pakistan, Umar said that the tax rates, especially the GST, is very high and it should be reduced.
He added that some time will have to be given to the tax evaders to come clean.
A few other points included:
- Making FBR fully autonomous
- Government to make tax policy, FBR to implement independently
- Raise revenue by ensuring tax collection without raising tax rates
Health reform
The party vice-president stated that during the party's tenure, health spending will be increased from 0.86% of the GDP to 2.6% in a span five years, and primary health care to the poor people of Pakistan will also be ensured.
All DHQ/THQ hospitals will be modernised and jobs will be created in the health sector, Umar detailed.
Education emergency
Maintaining that the country cannot progress in any sector nor can justice be attained unless education is reformed in the country, Umar said, "We want one education system for one nation."
The PTI will also focus on girls education by doubling the number of girls high schools in five years, as there is "no better investment in Pakistan than to invest in girls education," he said.
"It is not possible that Imran Khan becomes the prime minister and nothing is done about sports"¦ These days, there is no productive activity available for children," said Umar adding that the PTI will focus on sports and extra-curricular activities in educational institutes.
"Education does not only teach functional skills, but also builds up character"¦ We want to provide the opportunity to every child to become a future leader."
The education reforms also included:
- Increase in spending from 2% of GDP to 5% in five years
- Voucher system to fund students to go to private schools to fill gaps where government schools are not enough
A few other points from the presentation are listed below:
Skill development
- Leverage private/public/NGOs for mega skill development program
Foreign exchange
- Export strategy to boost FX earnings
- Fix flawed energy policy to reduce large trade deficits
External vulnerabilities
- Give confidence to overseas Pakistanis to invest at home
Growth strategy
- Investment spending to rise to 21.4% of GDP by FY18 (12.4% in FY12)
- Fully exploit the ignored indigenous natural resources of Pakistan
- Boost agriculture output and farm incomes
- Rapid industrial growth for generating jobs, boosting exports
- Regional trade to diversify markets
- Jumpstart economic growth to absorb two million youth to labour force every year
Agriculture
- Reducing cost of production
- Using farmers to fight inflation
- Community Dairy Farming in every village of Pakistan
Energy secure state
- Resolve Circular Debt through moving to lower cost production
- Divert all resources to maximizing energy production
- Bring loadshedding to manageable proportions urgently
Accountability emergency
- NAB to have its own investigative and prosecution arm outside the purview of the executive
- Special Task Force to recover looted national wealth stashed outside the country
- All recovered assets of corruption to be used for educating the youth of Pakistan

Economic Policy: PTI lists down health, education and governance reforms – The Express Tribune

Asad umar is a expect pakistan next finance minister if PTI wins

Asad Umar - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

 

[Phenom]

PMLN is still better than PPP.alot better

but i wanted a true change as promised by Imran khan

In
*Education(5 times increase in budget)
*7% average growth
*Audit defence budget
*increase tax to gdp ratio(in PMLN case they wont do this because majority of his party players as well him are business man and they themselves don't pa tax)
*Stopping of WOT
*No more drones

lets see what happens
my first preferrence remain IK

Choose One.

Both are not possible.

 

[farhan_9909]

Choose One.

Both are not possible.

who are you? :shocked:

 

[thakur_ritesh]

I agree about nawaz being better at economic level.what he sucks is at political wills like in kargil.we still occupied tiger hill but because of his running and crying to uncle sam we lost all the credit.

Kargil was indeed a military victory but a big political defeat from nawaz.

In Kargil no one could have stuck on, no one. Think of the most hawkish name in Pakistan as the PM/president/dictator, and the result would have been an absolute ditto.

It was NS' foolishness to have given a nod in a yes whenever he was briefed first, but then he might not have had much choice either, whatever the case, foolishness or an euphoric high or a pure compulsion. The only other option for Pakistan Army than a retreat was a full scale war that Pakistan could have ill afforded, nothing else, and when the world is at your doorsteps hounding, and you stand completedly isolated diplomatically, with an economy on the brink, heavily sanctioned after the nuke tests, with an enemy heavily armed ready for an all out onslaught, the options are as low as negligible.

Anyways, on topic, NS, as I said, with a leaning towards the right on economic matters would make far more sense in the present economic situation Pakistan finds itself in.

 

[Phenom]

who are you? :shocked:

someone who knows that the US would bleed you dry economically, if you force them to close the drone program.

Special EU status for exports, IMF loan extensions and billions in aid, all are coming to Pakistan only because you let US bomb your own country.

 

[farhan_9909]

someone who knows that the US would bleed you dry economically, if you force them to close the drone program.

Special EU status for exports, IMF loan extensions and billions in aid, all are coming to Pakistan only because you let US bomb your own country.

we are in repayment mode of IMF loan,not billions like india get 4billions per year on aid.we get only close to a billion.not even a billion

we will accept anything but to cease relation with usa
we just don't want them anymore.

they have strucked us in a never ending war.the best they can do for us is to leave us alone

beside this you don't know about imran khan.this is one of the most prime reason for his popularity..to recheck relation with USA.and don't dance on their tunes for a billion aid which never lends into something else other than the politicians pockets

 

[Blackwater]

we are in repayment mode of IMF loan,not billions like india get 4billions per year on aid.we get only close to a billion.not even a billion

we will accept anything but to cease relation with usa
we just don't want them anymore.

they have strucked us in a never ending war.the best they can do for us is to leave us alone

beside this you don't know about imran khan.this is one of the most prime reason for his popularity..to recheck relation with USA.and don't dance on their tunes for a billion aid which never lends into something else other than the politicians pockets

you get 1.4 billion only by UK forget rest of the world

He noted that Britain has allocated £1.4 billion under the new Operational Plan for Pakistan, making it the largest recipient of UK development assistance in the world.

http://defenceforumindia.com/forum/pakistan/47507-prime-minister-leaves-4-day-official-visit-uk.html

 

[thakur_ritesh]

@farhan_9909

Nice, some of the proposals are very well intended.

Farhan, what is meant by "We want one education system for one nation.", please explain.

The report suggests, 'health spending will be increased from 0.86% of the GDP to 2.6% in a span five years', on education 'Increase in spending from 2% of GDP to 5% in five years' and 'Investment spending to rise to 21.4% of GDP by FY18 (12.4% in FY12)', what is the plan of action to achieve the same, this is a lot of money involved here, please share in details.

Imran Khan also makes a point on slashing the defence budge, please details on that as well, thanks.