China's string of pearls vs india's iron curtain in the indian ocean.
India Defence Update: Article
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India will have "to cope with the Rise of China"
and as the respected journalist and former media
adviser to the PM Dr Manmohan Singh who
recently returned from China Sanjaya Baru stated
at a prestigious seminar in New Delhi on 16th
April, "Indians will have to accept China is miles
ahead of India". The only major advantage India
has is its strategic geographic locale jutting into
the Indian Ocean, new friends in the West,a very
intelligent though undisciplined people and a fine
expanding Navy which needs nurturing and is the
envy of China.
China's 1st October National Day Parade loaded
with military power on display has been
commented upon by the Economist as, "The
world has accepted that China is emerging as a
great power; it is a pity that it still does not always
act as one", and goes on to say, " for many
Chinese, daily life remains a grim struggle, and
their government rapacious, arbitrary and
corrupt. Take that spectacular parade. What
message was it meant to convey to an awestruck
world? China is a huge, newly emerging force on
the world scene. And it is unapologetically
authoritarian, as were Japan and Prussia, whose
rises in the late 19th century were hardly trouble-
free."
In recent years, a number of analysts have
drawn attention to the similarities of nationalism
between the rise of modern China and the rise of
Wilhelmine Germany a century ago. Newsweek's
Fareed Zakaria, commented that "like Germany in
the late 19th century, China is also growing
rapidly but uncertainly into a global system in
which it feels it deserves more attention and
honor. The Chinese military is a powerful political
player, as was the Prussian officer corps. Like
Wilhelmine Germany, the Chinese regime is
trying to hold on to political power even as it
unleashes forces in society that make its control
increasingly shaky."
This is where India, and Indian Ocean come in.
The strategic thinker Mahan had prophesised that
the future of the world in the 21st Century would
be decided on the waters of the Indian Ocean and
India's expansion of its maritime power and Navy
and inroads in to the Indian Ocean Region (IOR) is
very much on China's radar. A US researcher
from Boston Consulting had coined China's
investment in ports like Gwadar in Pakistan,
Hambantota in Sri Lanka, Sittwe in Mynmar and
Chittagong in Bangla Desh as a 'String of Pearls' to
encircle India, noting the pearls in the string can
be increased, and China made overtures to lease
an island in the Seychelles, which India appears to
have thwarted.
The recent India- China sparring match on
intrusions on the border, issuance of visas on
separate paper arbitrarily by the Chinese Embassy
to Kashmiris, and India's service chiefs
commenting on India's order of battle(ORBAT) vis
a vis China seems to be the flavor of the times,
and needs to be introspected. The sparring had
actually begun earlier, with the Chinese
Ambassador's orchestrated claims on Arunachal
and Tawang, and China's strong objections in the
ADB forum to block India's developmental loan.
In 2006 Prime Minister Dr Manmohan Singh
speaking at the Commander's conference , had
made a policy statement when he stated, "India's
growing international stature gives it strategic
relevance in the area ranging from the Persian
Gulf to the Straits of Malacca "¦..India has
exploited the fluidities of the emerging world
order to forge new links through a combination
of diplomatic repositioning, economic resurgence
and military firmness". Many dubbed this as
India's 'Singh Doctrine', and China took note of
this.
In May 2009 at the Shangri 'la Dialogue in
Singapore, the Chief of Naval Staff Admiral
Sureesh Mehta confirmed the role of the Indian
Navy in the Indian Ocean in his key note address
as, "We see the Indian Navy as a significant
stabilising force in the Indian Ocean region, which
safeguards traffic bound not only for our own
ports, but also the flow of hydrocarbons and
strategically important cargo to and from the rest
of the world across the strategic waterways close
to our shores"¦..And so, the safety of SLOCS will
always remain a priority for India in the
foreseeable future.".
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