India Takes First Step Towards Indus Water Treaty Withdrawal

ajtr

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Victims complain of lack of facilities, harsh attitude


By Shabbir Mir
July 17, 2010


President urged to visit area to gauge situation himself
The problems of those displaced by the Attabad lake disaster are further being compounded by a lack of life saving facilities and rude officials, residents complained.

"Most of the boats are not equipped with life jackets which are essential in such crossings," said Murtaza, a resident of Gojal adding that the officials were also rude with the passengers.

The government officials, however, denied incidents of mistreatment.

Anwar, another native of Hunza, said that the trips via Attabad Lake was extremely dangerous as boats could overturn due to strong currents. The experts termed the use of life jackets essential during voyages to ensure minimum loss to life because of the continuous land slides in Attabad.

Currently, nine boats are being used to transport passengers between Hunza and Gojal. Officials informed that another 20 boats, belonging both to the traders and the government, have been sent to Attabad, and will primarily transport goods. Around 25,000 people have been trapped in upper Hunza for the past six months, due to the submerged Karakoram Highway (KKH).

In Gilgit, a delegation of Gojal has asked President Asif Zardari to visit the affected areas to have first-hand knowledge of the situation. They accused the Pakistan Peoples Party for keeping the president oblivious of the plight of the affectees.

The 23-kilometre long Attabad lake was formed after a massive landslide struck the area earlier this year, killing 20 people and injuring several others. At least 25 kms of the strategic KKH has been submerged as the lake expanded upstream. At least a five-inch drop has been recorded in the lake level as the outflow of 17,176 cusecs surpassed the inflow on Friday, according to the officials.
 
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Seeking abrogation of IWT is as good as seeking independence


Zahir-ud-Din

For the past one decade, successive state government and some individuals have been seeking abrogation of Indus Water Treaty (IWT). The National Conference government, according to Times of India report (July 17, 2002) even submitted a memorandum urging New Delhi to abrogate the treaty in the best interests of Kashmiris. However, the memorandum was ignored for political reasons. The treaty invoked heated discussions in the legislative assembly during the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP)-Congress rule. As the debate continues political commentators believe seeking abrogation of IWT is as good as seeking independence.

Can IWT be abrogated? Honouring the IWT has become a compulsion for New Delhi. In any case, legally speaking, it is virtually impossible for India to abrogate the treaty. Article XII (4) states that 'provisions of this treaty shall continue in force until terminated by a duly ratified treaty concluded for that purpose between the two Governments.'

The treaty does not provide an exit clause for India per se. Article 54 of Protocol I (1977) to the Geneva Convention (1949) prohibits any measures that could result in the starvation of people. It specifically refers to water resources and irrigation works. Abrogation is bound to incite reactions from the World Bank and the countries that were party to the treaty and have provided funds.

Therefore, despite the demand of abrogation, no policy maker in New Delhi is ever likely to contemplate this move. The act of abrogation on the part of India could cause insecurity among the other countries that are lower riparian to India. India's relations with its neighbours would also be affected, as India also has water treaties with Nepal and Bangladesh.

This is the reason India did not seek unilateral abrogation of the treaty in the wars of 1965, 1971 and 1999; therefore, India is not likely to consider abrogation in the event of any future war as well.

Realising the importance of the IWT, the people who drafted the Treaty did not keep an exit clause in it. However, Article XII of the IWT provides for a modification of the Treaty and this is where the grievances of the people of Jammu Kashmir can be addressed without prejudicing the greater interests of the two sub-continental giants.

The Treaty was signed at Karachi by Field Marshal Muhammad Ayub Khan, the then President of Pakistan, Jawaharlal Nehru, the then Indian Prime Minister and World Bank on 19th September, 1960. The salient features of the treaty are:

Provisions regarding the Western Rivers:

(i) Pakistan shall receive for unrestricted use all those waters of the western rivers.
(ii) India shall be under an obligation to let flow all the waters of the Western rivers, and shall not permit any interference with these waters.

Provisions regarding the Eastern and western Rivers:

(i) Pakistan shall use its best endeavours to construct and bring into operation a system of works that will accomplish the replacement from the Western rivers (and other sources of) the water supplies for irrigation canals in Pakistan, which on 15th August, 1947 were dependent on water supplies from the Eastern rivers.
(ii) The use of the natural channels of the rivers for the discharge of flood or other access waters shall be free and not subject to limitation by either party, or neither party shall have any claim against the other in respect of any damage caused by such use.
(iii) Each party declares its intention to prevent, as far as practicable, undue pollution of the waters and agrees to ensure that, before any sewage or industrial waste is allowed to flow into the rivers, it will be treated where necessary, in such manners as not materially to affect those uses.

According to article 11 of the treaty, Pakistan has to receive, for unrestricted use, the waters of western rivers (Indus, Jehlum, Chenab) and India is under an obligation to let flow all the waters of these rivers without harnessing it by constructing dams.
Due to restrictions imposed on tapping of water resources, in conjunction with faltering policies of successive state governments, Jammu Kashmir has been unable to grow to the optimum potential of its agriculture and electricity sectors.

The Treaty permits building storage aggregating 3.6 MAF on the three rivers of the Indus, Jhelum and China. - Of the 3.6 MAF water storage capacities, 1.6 MAF is for hydropower, 0.75 MAF for flood moderation and 1.25 MAF for general storage for non-consumptive uses including power generation.

The Treaty permits additional irrigation of just 1.21 lakh hectares from the effective date, 1 April 1960. Thus particular clause has dealt a severe blow to agriculture in Jammu Kashmir. While India managed to irrigate a large portion of Rajasthan, Pakistan on the other hand developed the largest irrigated area in the world, a piece of Pakistan's desert that is bigger than England. However, the fertile land of Kashmir is craving for irrigation. (News International March 23, 2005)

Extensive research done under the aegis of the Colombo-based International Water Management Institute (IWMI) and Mumbai-based Sir Ratan Tata Trust revealed that once a lively hydraulic society state is facing growing water scarcity and ecological degradation with its vast biological capital eroding with depleting glaciers and shrunk water bodies all now lying in a decrepit state in Kashmir.

According to columnist M L Kak the state suffers losses to the tune of 6000 Cr annually because of IWT. The total losses, therefore, can be safely pegged at 24, 36000 Cr. (Tribune, May 1, 2001).

Shall the state seek abrogation of IWT? Seeking abrogation can be a good political slogan but it will not work. It is as good as seeking independence. Well known political commentator, Dr Sheikh Showkat Hussain, in one of his articles in Greater Kashmir writes: "State administration and those who moan the negative impact of Indus water treaty can better serve people of Kashmir by looking for protection of Kashmir interests within the ambit of the treaty rather than dreaming beyond it. Jammu and Kashmir must pursue for its share within what India has got out of this treaty. India has managed to get exclusive rights over waters of Satluj, Beas and Ravi where as J&K has lost its capability of exploiting waters of Chenab and Jhelum. State of Jammu and Kashmir has not been compensated for the benefits which Punjab ,Haryana and Rajasthan got out of this treaty. Infact whole of the green revolution in India is indebted to Indus water treaty. This seems to be the only positive impact of occupation of Kashmir in favour of India.

There has been a lot of talk about monetary compensation but such compensation is unlikely to benefit masses. Most of the money if secured will go waste the way other financial investments in J&K have been going. Whatever aid and grant the state has been receiving from centre has gone into the pockets of so many Chotalas of Kashmiri establishment. Jammu and Kashmir is recipient 20% waters of Ravi. If we ask for exclusive rights over waters of Ravi as a compensation for losses that occurred to the state as a result of Indus Water Treaty, it can be a worthwhile and sustainable compensation. Ravi constitutes the border between Jammu and Kashmir and Punjab. Exclusive right of utilisation of its water will in great way enhance water resources of the state. Apart from utilizing these waters for electricity generation they can help in complete transformation of Kathua and Jammu districts in terms of agricultural production."


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ajtr

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Is River Indus changing its course after Pak floods?


If we believe the third eye in the sky, the American satellites - Terra and Aqua's -recent data, history is repeating itself in the form of river Indus which is once again changing its course and is moving towards Kutch.

History says that the course of the river had earlier changed due to a major earthquake that took place on June 16, 1819 at 4pm. The Indus, which used to flow by Kutch's Lakhpat port, changed its course due to the tectonic movements and inched closer to Pakistan, around 125 km southeast of Karachi, flowing downwards to meet the Arabian Sea while it moved 150km northwest from the Lakhpat port.

However, due to the recent heavy rains and floods that have devastated Pakistan, the course of the river Indus has started changing once again, and it is now inching towards Kutch. The satellite images presented here show that a new course has developed to the south of Kalri lake in Thatta district of Pakistan.
Interpreting the satellite images, remote sensing expert Dr PS Thakker says, "New courses have developed to the south of Kalri lake, one of which has reached 60 km northwest of Lakhpat to the Sir Creek, while the second is 56 km north of Lakhpat, near Jati in Pakistan. Kalri or Keenjhar lake is a fresh water lake in Pakistan, which plays a substantial ecological role in the functioning of the Indus river basin."

Dr Thakker added, "The lake is extremely important for a wide variety of birds. The Indus or Sindhu river was flowing near Lakhpat, which was a major port, known as Basta Bundar, before the 1819 earthquake took place. There were many small ports around the course of river Kori and Puran, which were tributaries of the Indus, like Sindari, Kaeera Nulla, Sundo and Kareemshahi."

Speaking about the ports and towns in the Great Rann of Kutch,
Dr Thakker said, "Vigho Kot was a major port and as big as Bhuj city. These facts have been mentioned in the memoirs of Burne's, written in 1828."

"These satellite images taken on August 27 show the original course of river Indus, meeting at 23º 59' 31" N and 67º 24' 38" E. After that, due to the recent floods in Pakistan, the area remained covered by clouds. The first cloud-free image was available on September 7, 2010, which shows that two new courses of river Indus have been developed to the east of the present-day course. These two courses meet the Sir Creek at 24º 21' 30" N and 68º 15' 21" E and the other course can be seen at 24º 14' 16" N and 68º 26' 54" E," informed Dr Thakker.

He added that the water of the Indus river might reach the east of Lakhpat in the Great Rann of Kutch, near Zara at 24º 14' 09" N and 69º 12' 07" E. Possibilities cannot be denied that the water may reach further east.
 

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Sindhu River for Sindhis only, no to power plant on C-J Link Canal

The proposed construction of a power plant on the Chasma-Jhelum (C-J) Link Canal was strongly condemned on Saturday by the Sindhi intelligentsia and political leaders, who demanded that the plan, which will be a deathblow to the agrarian economy of Sindh, be withdrawn immediately.

Speaking at a conference titled "Fair Distribution of Water and the CJ-Power Project" held at the Karachi Press Club, the participants raised their points regarding the issue, which is a source of much acrimony between Sindh and Punjab. They said that the unjust attitude of Punjab towards the people of Sindh would not be tolerated.

The speakers, including parliamentarians, politicians, experts and scholars, said that the Indus River belongs to the people of Sindh. They passed a resolution, demanding a ban on the construction of the power plant on the link canal or dams on the Indus River. They also called for the implementation of immediate practical measures to address the current unjust distribution of water; the initiation of alternate projects for power generation; compensation for the displaced people of districts Thatta and Badin districts; and the release of 10MAF of water downstream Kotri Barrage. They also criticised the unilateral decisions of IRSA, WAPDA and NEPRA, which, they said, were deepening the crisis.

Sindh Assembly Speaker Nisar Khuro said, "The Pakistan People's Party (PPP) has always stood for the rights of the people of Sindh. The water issue is not new, and we will not let the people of Sindh to be deprived of their rights," he said, adding that the feeling of distrust between Sindh and Punjab should end.

Sindh Taraqqi-Pasand Party (STPP) Chief Dr. Qadir Magsi said, "We will continue to fight until we get our rights," he said. "It is unfortunate that the water of Sindh is going to the people of Punjab, and also that the government is spending Rs15 billion on the construction of the Greater Thar Canal, depriving the people of Sindh of their rights."

Khawaja Izhar-ul-Hasan of the Muhattida Qaumi Movement said that his party did not believe in disputes that create rifts between provinces. He demanded that the issue of the power plant on the Chasma-Jhelum canal be solved through consensus because Sindh was being affected by it.

Culture Minister Sassui Palijo from the Pakistan People's Party asked why Punjab was taking a separate stance when three other provinces were united over issue. Punjab should listen to the voice of truth, and help build a welfare state, which Quaid-e-Azam Muhammad Ali Jinnah wanted."

Jalal Mehmood Shah of the Sindh United Party said the people of Sindh should stand united against such decisions, because the lives of Sindhis were at stake. "Unemployment is already on the rise. If the C-J link canal is constructed, more people will be deprived of water, and also their livelihoods," he said.

Jeay Sindh Quami Mahaz chief Basheer Khan Qureshi said that in the past, the PPP government had supported such accords. It had now washed its hands off all such charges, and should work with sincerity to solve the issue before it is too late, he said.

Awami Tehrik leader Rasul Baksh Palijo said that Punjab should decide if it wants water or Pakistan. All decisions regarding water distribution over the past 60 years are illegal and unjust, he said. Ayaz Latif Palijo of the same party said, "If the Punjab government stops our water, we will stop gas and petrol supplies to their province. Also, various suo moto actions have been taken on less serious issue such as Basant, and one dish at weddings; but no one has taken a suo moto action over water yet," he said.

Imtiaz Sheikh, A.N.G Abbassi and Idrees Rajput also spoke. They said that the proposed construction of the power plant was a clear signal to deprive the people of Sindh of their rights, and was creating a great sense of helplessness. Other experts added that the Chasma-Jhelum Link Canal was an intermittent, not perennial canal.
 

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Is River Indus changing its course after Pak floods?


If we believe the third eye in the sky, the American satellites - Terra and Aqua's -recent data, history is repeating itself in the form of river Indus which is once again changing its course and is moving towards Kutch.

History says that the course of the river had earlier changed due to a major earthquake that took place on June 16, 1819 at 4pm. The Indus, which used to flow by Kutch's Lakhpat port, changed its course due to the tectonic movements and inched closer to Pakistan, around 125 km southeast of Karachi, flowing downwards to meet the Arabian Sea while it moved 150km northwest from the Lakhpat port.

However, due to the recent heavy rains and floods that have devastated Pakistan, the course of the river Indus has started changing once again, and it is now inching towards Kutch. The satellite images presented here show that a new course has developed to the south of Kalri lake in Thatta district of Pakistan.
Interpreting the satellite images, remote sensing expert Dr PS Thakker says, "New courses have developed to the south of Kalri lake, one of which has reached 60 km northwest of Lakhpat to the Sir Creek, while the second is 56 km north of Lakhpat, near Jati in Pakistan. Kalri or Keenjhar lake is a fresh water lake in Pakistan, which plays a substantial ecological role in the functioning of the Indus river basin."

Dr Thakker added, "The lake is extremely important for a wide variety of birds. The Indus or Sindhu river was flowing near Lakhpat, which was a major port, known as Basta Bundar, before the 1819 earthquake took place. There were many small ports around the course of river Kori and Puran, which were tributaries of the Indus, like Sindari, Kaeera Nulla, Sundo and Kareemshahi."

Speaking about the ports and towns in the Great Rann of Kutch,
Dr Thakker said, "Vigho Kot was a major port and as big as Bhuj city. These facts have been mentioned in the memoirs of Burne's, written in 1828."

"These satellite images taken on August 27 show the original course of river Indus, meeting at 23º 59' 31" N and 67º 24' 38" E. After that, due to the recent floods in Pakistan, the area remained covered by clouds. The first cloud-free image was available on September 7, 2010, which shows that two new courses of river Indus have been developed to the east of the present-day course. These two courses meet the Sir Creek at 24º 21' 30" N and 68º 15' 21" E and the other course can be seen at 24º 14' 16" N and 68º 26' 54" E," informed Dr Thakker.

He added that the water of the Indus river might reach the east of Lakhpat in the Great Rann of Kutch, near Zara at 24º 14' 09" N and 69º 12' 07" E. Possibilities cannot be denied that the water may reach further east.
what could be its effect of present indian boundary
 

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India's River Power

States are setting up run-of-the-river power projects to avoid resettlement issues associated with large dams. But the projects have their own drawbacks


he Sutlej rises from lake Raks-Tal near Mount Kailash in the Tibetan plateau. It is the longest of the five tributaries of the Indus. As it tumbles through the mountains in the Rampur-Kinnaur region of Himachal Pradesh, its waters feed the 1,500 MW run-of-the-river (RoR) Nathpa Jhakri hydroelectric plant. Picturesque little villages along the lush green banks offer an interesting contrast to the 62.5-metre high dam at Nathpa. The dam diverts 486 cumecs of water to a 27-km-long headrace tunnel that brings the water to the plant to fire up six 250 MW turbines. The water then flows back to the river. These villages offer an interesting contrast in another sense too. Unlike large storage dams that often displace thousands of people, sink large swathes of fertile farmlands and destroy virgin forests, Nathpa Jhakri has not adversely affected the 22 villages scattered around the 395 acre of land that was acquired for the project.

Despite its size, the project has displaced only around 500 families (about 3,000 people if you assume each family has 6 members on average) who were rehabilitated at a cost of Rs. 67 crore, both by way of cash as well as construction of houses at resettlement colonies in Jhakri. In comparison, the 1,380 MW Bhakra dam uprooted 11,777 people when over 3,1191 acres of land was acquired from 256 villages. Even though work on Bhakra started in 1960, rehabilitation is yet to be completed.

And that's the reason why the RoR Nathpa Jhakri project is a model that most hill states in north and eastern India want to copy. More than 60 RoR power plants are planned in Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Sikkim and Arunachal Pradesh.

"State governments want to stay clear of land acquisition and any storage project requires a huge amount of funding to support the rehabilitation initiatives," says an official at the Sutluj Jal Vidyut Nigam (SJVN), which operates the project. He did not wish to be identified.

RoR projects typically store just enough water to produce power for a few hours every day, eliminating the need for tall dams. Commissioned in 2004, the Nathpa Jhakri project supplies power to seven states, including Delhi, and acts as a significant booster in peak hours. The project which was executed at a cost of Rs. 8,187 crore, has already earned over Rs. 6,000 crore by way of sale of power in the first four years since it was commissioned.

Not a Panacea
But here's a paradox. The country's largest hydro power plant remains shut for at least 10 days a year on account of persistent maintenance problems and ends up losing around Rs. 9 crore each of those days.

Though RoR power plants appear to be the ideal solution for power generation from water, there are many negatives. First, the turbines have to be regularly serviced, as mountain rivers bring down large amounts of silt, frequently damaging machinery. The Nathpa power plant has had to invest in a workshop, costing over Rs. 10 crore, to keep the turbines working throughout the year. "We consume as many parts in one year as Bhakra may take 10 years to. This has nothing to do with inefficiency but replacements are integral to the design," says an engineer at the plant.

The second problem is that these projects are on snow-fed mountain rivers that run out of water in the winter months as water in the upper reaches freezes over. "We generate about 37 million units when water availability is at its peak. But in the lean months between October and January, we are able to generate only around eight million units every day," adds
the engineer.

Another criticism is that although RoR projects are designed to meet peak hour power demand, they often do not live up to expectations. Himanshu Thakkar, a researcher with the South Asia Network on Dams, Rivers and People, says that the power ministry and the Central Electricity Authority are yet to publish data that would confirm that the RoR projects have been able to meet the demand.

"We have been asking them to provide data but they say that no such assessments have been made," says Thakkar who also says that the electricity deficit in peak hours continues to grow unabated despite the setting up of these plants. Peak power deficit in India jumped from 11.6 percent in 2008-2009 to 12.6 percent in 2009-2010.

Grey, not Green
RoR projects are said to be more sustainable from the environment point of view. However, activists say that this is not entirely true. According to Neeraj Vagholikar, a researcher who has studied the environmental impact of RoR projects, a case by case analysis is needed to understand the ecological damage caused. According to Vagholikar, RoR projects impact the life and flow of river systems. "In lower Subansiri project in Assam, for instance, our studies show that the dam proposed here would radically alter the flow of the river. As of now, the river flows at the rate of around 300 to 500 cumecs in winter, flowing uniformly through the day. But once the project is completed, we estimate that, in peak winter, the average water flow would be six cumecs for 20 hours and during the peaking power period when the water is released, it would flow at 2,500 cumecs for four hours!" This would lead to a volatile fluctuation in the flow of the river every day during winter. "This project will alternately starve and flood the river on a daily basis," he says.

Beside, the problem with such projects in India is that many states have started building a cluster of projects around a river and these would significantly impact the normal course of the water as the water gets diverted repeatedly from one dam site after the other.

Of course, concerns have also been raised over the safety of the large dams. A report prepared by the Central Water Commission shows that as many as 29 large dams in the country have been declared as failed between 1917 and 2002. More than 60 percent of such dams are in Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh. As many as 114 dams are over 100 years old. The main causes behind the failure of the dams have been overflow and in some cases poor quality of construction.

"Dam safety is something that we are looking at seriously and that is why the Dam Safety Bill was put together and approved this year," said an officer with the Central Water Commission.

The Right Course
Meanwhile, what's the right course?

"If you want my personal opinion, I would say that we ought to look at building storage projects wherever possible as they are beneficial for irrigation and in flood control. RoR projects should be resorted to only where it is not feasible to have a storage project," says N.C. Bansal, general manager of the Nathpa Jhakri project. According to an Asian Development Bank report, India has an assessed hydropower potential to the tune of 84,000 MW at 60 percent load factor; out of this only about 20 percent has been developed so far.

RoR projects, which can be quickly built, are crucial for India to bridge the gap between its hydro power potential and actual generation. In 2003, the government launched a 50,000 MW hydro power initiative. Under this scheme, detailed project reports (DPRs) are being prepared for 73 low-tariff schemes. Of these, 70 are located in the Brahmaputra, Indus and Ganga basins in the north and north-eastern part of the country. Most of these are RoR projects.

These projects go through a three-stage clearance process under which the central power sector companies such as National Hydro Power Corporation do the surveys and prepare pre-feasibility reports. At the second stage, more detailed investigations are carried out after obtaining clearances from the Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs and approval of Public Investment Board and the Cabinet would be sought for construction.

This circuitous clearance route has also at times pitted the centre against states. For instance, when it was decided to put up the Khab Power Plant in Himachal Pradesh, SJVN, the agency given the charge of completing the feasibility study, had recommended building a storage dam. It felt that would have better utility, as it would also then be able to cater to the irrigation needs of the area and help in flood control. But the state government insisted on an RoR project.

"Finally the state government decided to hand over the execution of the project to its own department," said an official concerned. The reason for that comes back to the problem of land acquisition and rehabilitation. The lack of an efficient rehabilitation and resettlement policy has hobbled the central government's efforts to build large dams.

"When was the last time you heard about a major storage project being planned? Nowadays all the states want to go in for run of the river projects," says a senior official with the Central Electricity Authority, a central body that grants clearances for power projects. According to him, although there are a handful of reservoir projects that are planned, there was a clamour for RoR projects. Officials in the ministry of power declined to talk about the issue.


Read more: Forbes India - India's River Power
 

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There is a treaty, dating from 1960, that divides the water between the two countries, with India getting the water from the eastern three rivers and Pakistan owning the flow from the western three. But the treaty contains a time-bomb.

India's three rivers contain only about one-fifth of the system's total flow. To boost India's share up to about 30 per cent, therefore, the World Bank arbitrators proposed that the treaty also let India extract a certain amount of water from two of Pakistan's rivers before they leave Indian territory. The proposal was reluctantly accepted by Pakistan.

Pakistan accepted the use of upper 3 river waters by india on the world stage , thats why all those water talks BS on the net is not accepted
 

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PAKISTAN ACCUSES INDIA OF WATER TERRORISM


While Barak Obama is concerned over "resurgent extremism" in Pakistan an official said 'Indian water terrorism' posed more serious threat to Pakistan than Taliban. According to the leading daily, The Nation Chairman Indus Water Council Pakistan and Coordinator World Water Assembly Zahoorul Hassan Dahir has said that 'Indian water terrorism' posed more serious threat to Pakistan than Taliban.

Talking to newsmen in Lahore on Monday, he said, "After Chenab and Jhelum now India was pursuing a plan to get complete control over Indus River." He said the pace with which India was diverting Pakistani rivers, days are not far off when country would face situation like Somalia, Ethiopia and Chad. He was of the view that problems of terrorism, insurgency and Talibanisation have been created just to divert attention from Indian 'Water Terrorism'.

He said Indian Parliament has approved construction of 500 km long train track from Himachal Pradesh to Ladakh which would be utilised for transportation of construction material for Kargil dam and three other reservoirs being built on the Indus River. Terming water aggression as more dangerous and devastating than atom bomb, he urged government to take effective measures to secure Pakistan's water rights. He said Pakistan's efforts for sorting out contentious issues about Baglihar dam and Kishan Ganga Hydro Power project have failed; therefore government should approach International Court of Justice.

He was of the view that due to Indian water aggression, matters have reached to a point where World Bank could not play effective role, therefore, International Court of Justice was proper forum for seeking justice.

Window on Pak Press: Pak accuses India of 'water terrorism': India Today - Latest Breaking News from India, World, Business, Cricket, Sports, Bollywood.
Complete BS. India has not diverted any waters from Indus system.

Rather Pak has been holding India to ransom on this issue, endlessly raising objections.

In fact IWT is now harming Indian interests.
 

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Don't Tinker With The Treaty

Although considerable attention has been given in mainstream media to Pakistan's water crisis, narratives vary greatly in India and Pakistan. In the context of these varying accounts, Gitanjali Bakshi and Sahiba Trivedi's paper "The Indus Equation" is a commendable work that provides perspective on water dynamics in the subcontinent and highlights the scope, extent and causes of Pakistan's water crisis. However, while some enhancements to the Indus Waters Treaty (IWT) can be envisaged, a large-scale reshaping of the IWT itself is not entirely desirable for India at this time. While it could be argued that the Treaty is less than optimal today, it has come further than any India-Pakistan agreement and has stood the test of time by providing a framework for sharing IWT waters and amicably resolving issues of contention. Introducing substantial changes to the IWT could conceivably damage the agreement itself.

Anxiety over water scarcity and cognizance of Pakistan's vulnerability as a lower riparian led General Ayub Khan to seek a treaty with India over the sharing of the waters of the Indus River system. The treaty, brokered by the World Bank, was signed in September 1960 in Karachi by Ayub Khan and Nehru. The IWT gives exclusive use of the Western rivers of the Indus River system — the Indus, Chenab and Jhelum — to Pakistan, and the Eastern rivers — the Sutlej, Ravi and Beas — to India. The IWT also established a Permanent Indus Commission, with representation from both India and Pakistan, to cooperate on matters related to the Treaty.

Today, the IWT is crucial to the survival and sustainability of agriculture in Pakistan's Indus Basin. Pakistan's economy is largely agrarian, accounting for 25 percent of GDP, and employing 50 percent of Pakistan's work force. As a water intensive sector, agriculture in Pakistan consumes about 95 percent of available water annually according to the Asian Development Bank, while the rest are allocated for rural, urban and industrial use.

Unfortunately, the undeniable benefits of the treaty to Pakistan have been obscured by misplaced apprehension and aggression. Ayub Khan's fears of Pakistan's water insecurity did not prevent him from waging war against India in 1965. Since then, Pakistan has imposed war on India twice and provoked India through insurgencies and terror. Yet, India continues to respect the IWT in letter and spirit, not denying Pakistan its share of water even during times of war. Indeed, India itself, as a lower riparian to China, does not have the luxury of a treaty over the use of the Brahmaputra. Nor do Pakistan and Afghanistan have an equivalent treaty over the use of the Kabul River.

However, overwhelmingly popular themes in Pakistan on IWT accuse India of using water as a means to further its strategic objectives. Pakistan's far right Urdu newspaper Nawa-i-waqt accuses India of "water terrorism" and has opined that Pakistan must use its nuclear weapons to resolve its problems with India. Former chief of ISI, Lt Gen Hamid Gul urged Pakistan to be determined in the face of India's "aggression," adding that "if necessary, India's dams will be blown up." The view that India's calculated construction of dams obstructs the flow of the western rivers in Pakistan is so popular, and the pressure on the government to "resolve" this so great, that Islamabad has attempted to make the "issue" of water a component of potential "composite dialogues" with India. This, despite there already being a mechanism to resolve water-related differences and disputes between India and Pakistan via the Neutral Expert and the Court of Arbitration, per the IWT.

Although it is true that Pakistan suffers from water shortages, India's imagined role in contributing to these shortages is minimal, at best. Pakistan's water problems are due to a historic mismanagement of resources by Pakistan and lack of any credible strategy to address either current or future water requirements. Pakistan suffers from a lack of adequate water storage capacity, and by some estimates, can only store about 15 percent of annual river flow. Despite projections of acute future water shortages, Pakistan has not invested in developing adequate storage capacity since the building of the Tarbela dam, over 35 years ago. Worse, sedimentation has significantly affected overall storage capacity of its dams. According to a report published by Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, sedimentation has resulted in a reduction of Tarbela's capacity by 28 per cent.

Pakistan's poor construction and maintenance of canals has caused a significant amount of water loss in the Indus Basin. By some estimates, water losses from unlined canals ranged from 64-68 percent. Indeed, water loss even in lined canals in Pakistan, which are old and poorly maintained, was estimated at 35 to 52 percent, according to a paper published by the University of Agriculture, Faisalabad. Further, the use of saline groundwater for irrigation has significantly impacted agricultural yield in areas where river water is inaccessible.

Other factors such as climate change and population growth will continue to pose considerable challenges to Pakistan's water security. Himalayan glaciers that form a primary water source for the Indus, are rapidly melting and will negatively affect water availability in Pakistan in the long term. Further, Pakistan's population growth rate of 1.56 percent (the fastest in the subcontinent), and the lack of any concrete plans to address already existing water shortages will mean that Pakistan will very soon make the transition from a "water-stressed" country to a "water-scarce" country, according to a report published by the World Bank.

Certainly, transnational water sharing is a complicated subject. In our own region, the sharing of water between states and provinces has been an emotive issue, as evidenced by the disputes over the Kalabagh dam between the Pakistani provinces of Punjab and Sindh, and the Kaveri dispute between Tamil Nadu and Karnataka. There is no denying that Pakistan's water challenges are real, notwithstanding the dubious causes suggested. And it behooves India, as a neighbour, to help Pakistan address some of these challenges, where possible.

However, one must recognise that Pakistan's water problems are its own and that to a great extent, the solutions to these problems lie in Pakistan. India cannot be expected to display magnanimity towards Pakistan when Pakistan itself has not demonstrated a basic desire to tackle structural and governance issues in water management. While forums such as the Pakistan-U.S. Dialogue on Water are encouraging steps, Pakistan needs to do much more to convince its people and neighbours that it accepts responsibility and is endeavouring to address these issues.

In India, a national debate is necessary before committing to any significant changes to the IWT, and whether these changes would be in India's national interests. Any potential Indian magnanimity runs the risk of being perceived from across the border as either a sign of weakness or accepted with a sense of entitlement. India must consider whether, and to what extent, any changes or compromise will enhance its own national interests. Certainly, Islamabad's own inflexibility and insensitivity towards addressing India's core issues, including Pakistan's continued use of terrorism as an instrument of state policy, may make any possible Indian accommodation on Pakistan's water problems remote.

Don't tinker with the treaty
 

Dovah

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However, overwhelmingly popular themes in Pakistan on IWT accuse India of using water as a means to further its strategic objectives. Pakistan's far right Urdu newspaper Nawa-i-waqt accuses India of "water terrorism" and has opined that Pakistan must use its nuclear weapons to resolve its problems with India. Former chief of ISI, Lt Gen Hamid Gul urged Pakistan to be determined in the face of India's "aggression," adding that "if necessary, India's dams will be blown up.
If necessary their water will be poisoned so that the next seven generations in Pakistan are mutants.
 

Galaxy

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Water flowing from India to Pakistan is Brahmastra for us.

Also, Pakistan is interested in Kashmir due to fear that we might divert the river. [Not Muslim brotherhood I suppose]

We should make it clear, Terrorism is J&K is inversely proportional to volume of water coming to Pakistan.
 

trackwhack

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However, overwhelmingly popular themes in Pakistan on IWT accuse India of using water as a means to further its strategic objectives. Pakistan's far right Urdu newspaper Nawa-i-waqt accuses India of "water terrorism" and has opined that Pakistan must use its nuclear weapons to resolve its problems with India. Former chief of ISI, Lt Gen Hamid Gul urged Pakistan to be determined in the face of India's "aggression," adding that "if necessary, India's dams will be blown up."

Don't tinker with the treaty


Turn the taps off. Lets see if they have have the steel to do what they say.
 

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Lt Gen Hamid Gul urged Pakistan to be determined in the face of India's "aggression," adding that "if necessary, India's dams will be blown up."
Barking dogs Seldom bite!!

After every bomb blast in India which has linked with ISI/Pakistan, We should cut the water supply by 50% for next few weeks.

Even China don't follow such treaty then why we are following it ??

We should start using water as a bargaining point. Also, We need more water for various dams.

 

Tshering22

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i still hold prithviraj for this debacle.
Man you're still after kin Prithviraj's neck aren't you? :laugh: You should blame that "father" of Nation and his pet pooch who created this. Had they been serious about India, most of these wastrels who separated our country would have been packed to Islamic countries in Africa today where they could have mingled with their "brothers" and let the Indians stay in peace as well as that extra bit of land where our population would have spread, no Taliban would have come into existence and we'd have been much more resource-rich.

Infact, I think we should use IWT as a weapon. If only we had a legitimate government with rational dedication to the nation...
 

agentperry

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Man you're still after kin Prithviraj's neck aren't you? :laugh: You should blame that "father" of Nation and his pet pooch who created this. Had they been serious about India, most of these wastrels who separated our country would have been packed to Islamic countries in Africa today where they could have mingled with their "brothers" and let the Indians stay in peace as well as that extra bit of land where our population would have spread, no Taliban would have come into existence and we'd have been much more resource-rich.

Infact, I think we should use IWT as a weapon. If only we had a legitimate government with rational dedication to the nation...
India would have collapsed if not broken
 
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Tshering22

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However, overwhelmingly popular themes in Pakistan on IWT accuse India of using water as a means to further its strategic objectives. Pakistan's far right Urdu newspaper Nawa-i-waqt accuses India of "water terrorism" and has opined that Pakistan must use its nuclear weapons to resolve its problems with India. Former chief of ISI, Lt Gen Hamid Gul urged Pakistan to be determined in the face of India's "aggression," adding that "if necessary, India's dams will be blown up."
This Gul guy really hates his country doesn't he? Almost all the dams that are in J&K face towards the western side for release. If this clown wants to blow the gates up, he will only make our job much much easier. :pound:
 

Tshering22

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India would have collapsed if not broken
On what grounds? The aggressive government would have simply kicked out these "descendants of Mughals" to Arabia or Northern Africa with force instead of giving them away the land. I never said to let htem stay here. In fact, what I was saying is that if we could keep the land and force these unwanted variety out of the sub-continent.
 

agentperry

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On what grounds? The aggressive government would have simply kicked out these "descendants of Mughals" to Arabia or Northern Africa with force instead of giving them away the land. I never said to let htem stay here. In fact, what I was saying is that if we could keep the land and force these unwanted variety out of the sub-continent.
India was too diverse for holding anything together. pakistan creation gave nation a reason to unite and also a direction
 

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