Flame Thrower
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On the contrary, I want chinese to participate in the war.This is all your personal opinion which you failed to provide any hard evidence to support.
What I get here is a military protection treaty which was just renewed on 2001 and won’t be expired until 2021. And another news is that Chinese just moved 430,000 soldiers to the korea border, including 2 of their best armies 39 and 40.
Unless you can provide any evidence or news suggesting that Chinese is backing off from their military promise, your personal opinion will still be a personal guess.
Bringing armies closer to the border can be used as pressure tactics too.
Like I said in my previous post, it is only a matter of time and who blinks first.
Yeah, I've taken Trump's words for granted. I shouldn't have done that.The imbalance was $347 billions in 2016 not $500b.
Good point, but there is something you've over looked, if Chinese participate in US NK war, there are more chances that China will be defeated or rather humiliated, economically destroyed than saving NK and Kim from US.Why won’t she? North korea is a critical part of Chinese national security, without North Korea as the buffer zone, they will have to confront American tanks themselves. From their point of view, that is a loss larger than any $500 billions.
If China didn't participate in War directly, other countries may get bold enough to challenge China in SCS, Japan may claim Diaoiu Islands...but there it ends(Tibet may raise some issues(which I doubt), but PRC can suppress them for sure)....
Note: The above will happen wether China attacks US forces or not.
If China participate directly in US NK war, it will be destroyed, if China doesn't then it'll get away with bruises.....it is as simple as that.
Regarding your point on US tanks entering Chinese border, US has to find a solid reason to go against second largest army and second largest economy. In my view US may never find a reason enough convince(after 2040 attacking Japan might not be good enough) Americans.
China will still be the secon largest(will become first, it is only a matter of time) economy, it can eat America from inside out, economically.
Any reason why economic imbalance will reduce!!??Putting this way, the imbalance between US and China will continue to shrink in the future when Chinese is adjusting her economic structure. So, in the next 10-20 years, the figure might become 200, 150, 100 and eventually close to zero. In the meantime, the strategic value of North korea will becomes bigger and bigger because the Sino-US confrontation will intensify in the near future.
On contrary, the imbalance will only increase....why!!?? here is the reason....world is on cost cutting mode, and no other country is better than China when it comes to offering cheap goods.
10 yrs down the line food imports to China may go down and why...!!?? That food will be compensated from Pakistan(this is what I belive).
Sino US confrontation is very high and the flashpoint is always NK(as long as Chinese don't attack Japan), be it today or in near future.
On the contrary, it is not only about economic loss for waging war... it is also about eyeing petrolium reserves in the SCS after defeating China. It is also about proving America as world leader and throwing multi polar world concept in the dustbin. It is also about destroying your competition into ashes. America will also gain leverage on India by giving Aksai, PoK and sorting Tawang issue. It's more than what meets the eye. I'd rather say that America is using NK as bait to attack China, if PRC falls for it....China will be destroyed beyond repair. If China doesn't fall for this trap, China will be considered as inferior to US and it can give goodbye kiss to claims on SCS and Diayou Islands. Chinese are at loss on either cases, but if they suscced in stopping/postpone the invastion to 2040 then China will be declared as global power and a new world order will be in place(I doubt this will ever happen)Well, every decision comes with cost. So far, Chinese is still willing to pay this cost because they still think the value of keeping North Korea is still bigger than economic loss.
On the other hand, does American want to pay the price for invading a country thousands miles away? Yes, they can re-start their production in somewhere else, but first they have to write off all their assets in China, and then spend another 5 years to re-organize their supply chain, yes, a mission to replace 2,700 million Chinese workers is not a job can be done in 1-2 years. At the same time, they will find another difficulty: the same products produced from their former Chinese factories start to flood the whole world market with Chinese brand at lower price.
So, basically, Chinese loss will be less than you think while American loss will be bigger than you think.