Chinese government think tank urges end to one-child policy

[Ray]

Chinese government think tank urges end to one-child policy

Beijing China-- A Chinese government think tank is urging the country's leaders to start phasing out its one-child policy immediately and allow two children for every family by 2015, a daring proposal to do away with the unpopular policy.

Some demographers see the timeline put forward by the China Development Research Foundation as a bold move by the body close to the central leadership. .........

Xie Meng, a press affairs official with the foundation, said the final version of the report will be released "in a week or two."....

foundation recommends a two-child policy in some provinces from this year and a nationwide two-child policy by 2015. It proposes all birth limits be dropped by 2020......

Known to many as the one-child policy, China's actual rules are more complicated. The government limits most urban couples to one child, and allows two children for rural families if their first-born is a girl. There are numerous other exceptions as well, including looser rules for minority families and a two-child limit for parents who are themselves both singletons......

Though the government credits the policy with preventing hundreds of millions of births and helping lift countless families out of poverty, it is reviled by many ordinary people. The strict limits have led to forced abortions and sterilizations, even though such measures are illegal. Couples who flout the rules face hefty fines, seizure of their property and loss of their jobs.......

policy has worsened the country's aging crisis by limiting the size of the young labor pool that must support the large baby boom generation as it retires. They say it has contributed to the imbalanced sex ratio by encouraging families to abort baby girls, preferring to try for a male heir.....

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The full report is at
Chinese government think tank urges end to one-child policy | wtsp.com

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While having more than one child may boost the labour force numbers in future for the industry and elsewhere, but it will also add to the social. socio economic problems.

Right now, with a manageable population, jobs are easier to come by and the social and socio economic problems are kept under control and is manageable.

With the population increasing the demand on jobs, food, on transportation etc will lead to problems in the future to include unemployment and even poverty to some extent.

It might be added that desertification is taking place in China and there is the shortage of water that is looming. This will impact on the food production to feed a larger population as also sanitation.

One wonders what could be the ideal solution.

 

[Yusuf]

It is more to do with the labor force that will be available and the number of older people that this labor force will have to take care of.

 

[sob]

In the short term I feel that there will be an explosion in the population as large number of couples will definitely opt for a second child. This phenomenon will be more in urban areas where the people have higher disposable income.

 

[amoy]

One more time - it's officially called "family planning" instead of one-child policy. Otherwise it's hard for u to understand there're so many having more than one child. In rural areas, and for minority in particular. Now the enforcement has got further lax. However people are less prolific for various reasons, including changed mentality and lifestyle.

Good to hear India will overtake China to the top spot of population in years.

Malthusianism - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Malthusianism refers primarily to ideas derived from the political/economic thought of Reverend Thomas Robert Malthus, as laid out initially in his 1798 writings, An Essay on the Principle of Population, which describes how unchecked population growth is exponential (1→2→4→8) while the growth of the food supply was expected to be arithmetical (1→2→3→4). Malthus believed there were two types of "checks" that could then reduce the population, returning it to a more sustainable level. He believed there were "preventive" checks such as moral restraints (abstinence, delayed marriage until finances become balanced), and restricting marriage against persons suffering poverty and/or defects. Malthus believed in "positive checks", which lead to 'premature' death: disease, starvation, war, resulting in what is called a Malthusian catastrophe. The catastrophe would return population to a lower, more "sustainable", level.[1][2] The term has been applied in different ways over the last two hundred years, and has been linked to a variety of other political and social movements, but almost always refers to advocates of population control.[3]

Neo-Malthusianism generally refers to people with the same basic concerns as Malthus, who advocate for population control programs, to ensure resources for current and future populations.[2] In Britain the term Malthusian can also refer more specifically to arguments made in favour of preventive birth control, hence organizations such as the Malthusian League.[4] Neo-Malthusians seem to differ from Malthus's theories mainly in their enthusiasm for contraceptive techniques. Malthus, as a devout Christian, believed that "self-control" (abstinence) was preferable to artificial birth control. In some editions of his essay, Malthus did allow that abstinence was unlikely to be effective on a wide scale, thus advocating the use of artificial means of birth control as a solution to population "pressure".[5] Modern "neo-Malthusians" are generally more concerned than Malthus was with environmental degradation and catastrophic famine than with poverty.

 

[Ray]

One more time - it's officially called "family planning" instead of one-child policy. Otherwise it's hard for u to understand there're so many having more than one child. In rural areas, and for minority in particular. Now the enforcement has got further lax. However people are less prolific for various reasons, including changed mentality and lifestyle.

A rose is a rose call it by any name.

Family Planning is advisory and not a diktat that has inbuilt mechanism for huge penalties.

Such type of so called Family Planning is draconian and against human rights.

Can a govt order and enforce anyone that rice will be eaten for lunch and wheat products at night?

So, why act as the national apologist and not face the reality and truth of the issue?

In the rural areas and minority especially if more than one child is allowed, it is because the education level and awareness will never be that of the urban rich and hence the ideal fodder for slave labour industry churning up cheap products.

Method in the Madness!

In India, none can impose such draconian laws because there will be a revolution of sorts.

Sanjay Gandhi tried and Indira Gandhi, the PM, who did India proud during the 1971 War and was taken to be great leader, was drubbed at the hustings!

Indians are a free people in the free world!

 

[nimo_cn]

One more time - it's officially called "family planning" instead of one-child policy. Otherwise it's hard for u to understand there're so many having more than one child. In rural areas, and for minority in particular. Now the enforcement has got further lax. However people are less prolific for various reasons, including changed mentality and lifestyle.

Good to hear India will overtake China to the top spot of population in years.

Malthusianism - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

You screaming to a deaf one thousand times wont make him hear you. The term one-child policy wasn't invented for nothing, though being inaccurate.



Sent from Huawei Ascend T8300

 

[huaxia rox]

1 one child policy is not a perminent but a temporay measure which can be alterred when necessary but currently i dont think its very proper to halt the policy in prc because we still have too many people in a country that may not sustain the number.....

2 people growing old is not the fault of the policy but basically a sign of social development....life expectancy growing....techs for health care improving etc in prc as all the data is showing....and to make people pop out more kids cant change the fact that more old people are going to be there more kids now you got more old people late on you have.....

3 no matter if the policy is gonna be changed soon what prc should think of primarily is how to use natural and human resources more effectively and reasonablely........eg every sec a great deal of amount of water simply goes to the sea without properly used in tibet which would have helped many people out who lack water in mainland china had the water been handled effectively....such as building more dams in tibet.......another example is prc is not drilling adequate oil in sea....i hope new leaders should consider this so peoples need can be well met......

 

[Ray]

Logic sir Logic!

Daniels come to Judgement!

China seems to be full of inaccurate terminology so as to brazenly weasel it out!