Changing strategy of USA about Pakistan and effects on India

[jassi]

"US shifts war on terror to Pak" "Increased drone attacks inside Pakistan territory" Nowadays Pakistan is in more news than Afghanistan and recent blockage or NATO supplies by Pakistan. May be many people here have already predicted all this. But, big question is, What is next? Will Pakistan be another Afghanistan? If yes, then how USA will control its nukes? Do they already have enough intelligence about Pakistani Nukes? One thins is sure love affair of USA and Pakistan is past now. Anothe thing to predict will be next presidential election in USA. Will Obama do same thing to regain power what Bush did? I mean war on terror in Pakistan? Yes USA is dealing with economic crisis and Pakistan is not so weak as were Iraq and Afghanistan but the way things are changing these days, nothing can be said impossible. Nothing can be said about what will be next step of USA.The most heated up place on earth is South Asia nowadays. How all this will effect India and what will be the role of India in any case? What are your views friends?

 

[ajtr]

Nato may hit LeT in Pak​

Oct. 4: Nato military forces are preparing to launch an attack on Lashkar-e-Tayy-aba (LeT) terrorists inside Pakistan to appease India, intelligence reports here have claimed.
"The Nato forces, led by the United States, are ready to expand their attacks further inside Pakistan. They plan to hit Lashkar-e-Tayyaba camps in Paki-stan," a senior government official said. The Nato forces are already under fire in Pakistan for crossing the Afghan-Pak border four times in recent days and killing several people, including three Pakistani soldiers.
The whole plan, the official said, "is to appease India", which has been demanding such action for some time as "Pakistan has failed" to handle terrorists. Recent statements by top US military against the LeT has strengthened the belief within Pakistan that the US is planning to target activists of the Hafiz Mohammad Saeed-led Jamaat-ud-Dawa, which is considered to be a front for the LeT. US officials have said that the Afghan Taliban, Pakistani Taliban and LeT are linked to each other, and "they are one and the same people".
Sources claim that US Special Forces are secretly operating in the Afghan provinces of Kunar, Nuristan and Nangarhar to monitor the LeT's activities.

 

[jassi]

@ajtr : Thanx for the reply. But as i can read in the report, NATO forces can strike LeT " to appease India " . Now the big question is just to appease India the are ready to hit their so called ally? There could be only 3 reasons for this. First: India is/will be Providing them some kind of really very very big incentive. Second they fear India will surely attack Pakistan on next Let attack in India which could happen soon and lastly 3rd: They might be using this " to appease India" for something else. What you think? :thinking:

 

[hit&run]

White House report critical of Pakistan's activity against militants - CNN.com

The report notes that from March to June, the Pakistani military "continued to avoid military engagements that would put it in direct conflict with Afghan Taliban or [al Qaeda] forces in North Waziristan. This is as much a political choice as it is a reflection of an under-resourced military prioritizing its targets."
The report notes bluntly that despite having a presence of 140,000 military and paramilitary personnel, the Pakistani military has been "nonetheless constrained to disrupting and displacing extremist groups without making lasting gains against the insurgency."
The White House assessment is particularly tough on Pakistan's inability to make gains in South Waziristan, where many analysts believe key al Qaeda leaders have gained a safe haven to use as a base to plot terror attacks against Western targets.

 

[Tshering22]

The situation is that US is secretly fed up of Pakistan's lies, though it won't admit so in public. It doesn't take 10 years to stabilize a country that has a pint sized economy and limited education. Scores of African countries with similar economic structure as former Afghanistan, have been made into stable countries with at least democratic civilized governments even if not developed countries. The simple reason why it is taking this long is because there's covert support from rogue Pakistani establishments like ISI which is a country within the country. If this is hard to believe, then simply rewind back to Soviet Afghan war. Do you actually think that war would have lasted 10 years had CIA and NATO forces not supported the jihadis? It won't have lasted even a month and Kremlin would have just shredded through the Taliban like a lawnmower on fresh green grass.

The simple reason why Afghanistan war is taking so long is because US AID money is being used against them since Pakistan considers Afghanistan its power base and is fiercely obsessed with not letting a foreign power stay there. I feel that post election in 2012, whoever is new president will shift war to Pakistan. Why? because US economy is something called "war economy". Their economy grows stronger with war. The reason why US has experienced problems till now in Af-Pak is because it hasn't attacked the SOURCE of all troubles yet and that sources is not Afghanistan-- it is Pakistan. The terrorists whenever outnumbered and outgunned, simply run towards Waziristan and Peshawar to recruit more terrorists from the northern provinces, re-group forces, get arms from their parent terror agencies and re-enter Afghanistan with fresh weapons and manpower and this is made simpler by 2 things:

1) Afghanistan-Pakistan porous borders that have no fencing till now
2) Pak Military's patronage of these terrorist organizations in secret.

 

[jassi]

@Tshering22: thanx.
Post 9/11 many things has been changed. Like attitude of USA regarding India. And same thing has happened in the case of Pakistan, there is no doubt. Even as USA is saying they will leave Afghanistan on blah blah day.. but i very much doubt it. May be after 20-30 years they will.
And about economic crisis, i think it has damaged more to the European countries rather than USA. They are way ahead in technology and many other things. They can recover the economy in few years. So Europe is gone for at least one decade.. and may be by that time EU will start breaking. May be this economic crisis was engineered to do something. I very much doubt that economist in USA were so big fool that they didnt knew about surging house inventory and the effects. And Russia, they will take long time to recover, or to grow at pace because this crisis has damaged them also badly. Now its only India and China left. We have survived the crisis in a better way, but i dont think we are danger for USA for next 20-30 years. And china, well there was alot damage to their export. Now Who knows what USA will play.
Regarding Pakistan..Chances are high that USA will attack Pakistan, they wont leave the area so easily.. as long as Oil is here. But the thing to predict will be interesting is, when they going to do this and on invading Pakistan, what they will do to Pakistani nukes. USA know what is happening in Pakistan/ISI.. and maybe they already have plans to fix it, i am just waiting for the action.

And about NATO support to jehadis in AF, Agree.. and even world knows this. Some of those weapons were even used by Pakistani invaders in Kargil war, like stinger missiles.