p2prada
Senior Member
- Joined
- May 25, 2009
- Messages
- 10,234
- Likes
- 4,015
A nice pic to showcase my point.
In this mission, 4 Flankers are carrying 16 AAMs (4 on each aircraft) and a payload of 8 tons in bombs. To match the same, you need 8 LCAs to carry 8 tons in bombs and 4 LCAs with anywhere between 16 AAMs+ tanks. To match the Flankers's range you need two tankers added to the formation.
So let's add up the costs if we consider the Flankers are Rafales with tanks. Now, 1 LCA = 3 Rafale. So for the cost of 4 Rafales we get 12 LCAs. Excellent, they add up. But now we also need two tankers added to the equation. IAF is paying nearly $1.5 Billion for 6 tankers. Basically each tanker is more expensive than 2 Rafales. So, LCA needs the support of an asset that costs 4 Rafales just to match Rafale's range.
Basically, IAF needs to spend money equivalent to 8 Rafales on LCA compared to just buying 4 Rafales and get the same level of capability. You don't need a PhD in mathematics to figure out which is cheaper.
Coming to the costs itself. In reality, 1 LCA != 3 Rafale. According to official ADA estimates, LCA Mk1 is supposed to cost Rs. 180 Crores. MKI costs Rs 250 Crores. Rafale is expected to cost Rs 500 Crores. LCA Mk2 is expected to cost Rs 210 Crores. Obviously, this was before the decision to upgrade LCA with AESA was taken. So as of today, the current LCA Mk2 cost estimation is a secret. They don't really know how much it will cost, but it is nearly guaranteed to cost more than the MKI. Basically, one Rafale will cost anywhere between 1.5-2 times that of LCA Mk2 and not 3 times.
In the end we will be spending money on nearly 12 Rafales just to get the capability of 4 Rafales if we go for LCA. This is not even considering the type of infrastructure we will need to run so many LCAs and support aircraft + base defenses and security personnel. Where will we get the talent pool from for so many pilots?
If you consider mission profiles, just 4 Rafales are doing so much work that you still have 3 more groups of 4 Rafales each in the same squadron each doing the work of more than one whole squadron of LCA + tankers. Apart from the numbers advantage, there is a huge difference in technology maturity between what ADA can provide for LCA and what's already there on Rafale.
In this mission, 4 Flankers are carrying 16 AAMs (4 on each aircraft) and a payload of 8 tons in bombs. To match the same, you need 8 LCAs to carry 8 tons in bombs and 4 LCAs with anywhere between 16 AAMs+ tanks. To match the Flankers's range you need two tankers added to the formation.
So let's add up the costs if we consider the Flankers are Rafales with tanks. Now, 1 LCA = 3 Rafale. So for the cost of 4 Rafales we get 12 LCAs. Excellent, they add up. But now we also need two tankers added to the equation. IAF is paying nearly $1.5 Billion for 6 tankers. Basically each tanker is more expensive than 2 Rafales. So, LCA needs the support of an asset that costs 4 Rafales just to match Rafale's range.
Basically, IAF needs to spend money equivalent to 8 Rafales on LCA compared to just buying 4 Rafales and get the same level of capability. You don't need a PhD in mathematics to figure out which is cheaper.
Coming to the costs itself. In reality, 1 LCA != 3 Rafale. According to official ADA estimates, LCA Mk1 is supposed to cost Rs. 180 Crores. MKI costs Rs 250 Crores. Rafale is expected to cost Rs 500 Crores. LCA Mk2 is expected to cost Rs 210 Crores. Obviously, this was before the decision to upgrade LCA with AESA was taken. So as of today, the current LCA Mk2 cost estimation is a secret. They don't really know how much it will cost, but it is nearly guaranteed to cost more than the MKI. Basically, one Rafale will cost anywhere between 1.5-2 times that of LCA Mk2 and not 3 times.
In the end we will be spending money on nearly 12 Rafales just to get the capability of 4 Rafales if we go for LCA. This is not even considering the type of infrastructure we will need to run so many LCAs and support aircraft + base defenses and security personnel. Where will we get the talent pool from for so many pilots?
If you consider mission profiles, just 4 Rafales are doing so much work that you still have 3 more groups of 4 Rafales each in the same squadron each doing the work of more than one whole squadron of LCA + tankers. Apart from the numbers advantage, there is a huge difference in technology maturity between what ADA can provide for LCA and what's already there on Rafale.