Hari Sud
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Hurtling Towards a War in 2019-20 ; An Essay
India is left with no choice but to fight a war sooner than later to stop Pakistani terrorism in Kashmir and the rest of India. Although the Pakistanis may not like it that their policy of hurting India with thousand cuts is the key. Daily armed trespassing by armed Pakistanis intruders across the Line of Control and the international border and denials every time, still refusing to take their dead back is the key reason. Worst out of all these offensive actions is insulting the dead soldiers by cutting off their heads or gouging their eyes is a whole tone far beyond any civilized behavior of any modern armies. That is what the Pakistanis are doing.
The Surgical Strike by India a year back to wipe out the armed terrorists has killed a few, but it caused no effect on Pakistani behavior. They have mastered the art of denials hence they continue to deny their own citizens a decent burial. Shame on them all......
Hence war preparations are on in India and parallel are on in Pakistan. Military stores have been ordered especially for spare components and specialized ammunition, etc. Missiles are being upgraded like Barak, Akash, Astra, Brahmos and many other cases. Very advanced aircrafts like Rafale are being purchased to augment the depleted air force. Air defenses are being upgraded with S-400 purchase. The most resilient part of ground offensive .... the very advanced artillery from Indian, US and Korean sources is being added on an everyday basis. The military tanks are being upgraded with night vision and 360 sights with hunter killer capabilities. Attack helicopters of best kind will soon be conducting flight in India, whose delivery will be completed in six months. The navy has received advanced submarines, destroyers and aircraft carriers to blast enemy fleet if it has ever stepped out of its protective harbors including sneak attacks.
All these Indian preparations totalling $50 billion or more will be 80% complete by 2022-23. Other items of long delivery type are on order and may not get delivered. So Indians are ready for war, if it happens. These provisions are a bit late because the previous regime was much slow on ordering. Had all these provisions been made four years earlier, then the befitting answer to the enemy policy of a thousand cuts and gruesome murders would have been paid by now.
They would all be too afraid.
Pakistanis are really nervous about all these preparations. Although they do not admit yet the truth of the thing is that they have nothing to match it. All American military assistance has been cut. Chinese military hardware which is registering up in Pakistan is no match to what India has bought. Diplomatically the state encouragement of terrorism policy has isolated it completely. They are a pathological liar with no friends. Even China wants its debt payments on time and now. The IMF will entertain a request for a large loan only if they get get satisfactory replies to their main question of how did Pakistan got into this situation. Other than a huge expense of the army, what else have they managed to incur these huge losses. The result is a large Chinese loan, which turned out to be a debt trap.
With all these financial problems and an outdated force which has been starved out of spare parts will be relic of the yesteryear. And so how will they match up to India during hostilities brought on by the thousand cuts policy.
If the hostilities were to take place in the winter time frame, then even Chinese cannot help, the Himalayas are frozen for six months. Well a dilemma for Pakistan and advantage for India. Moreover, there is no President Nixon in the Whitehouse like in 1971 to order Chinese to intervene. Instead, there is a hostile President Trump in the Whitehouse. Moreover, the Chinese are moving to improve their relations with India, hence Chinese help will be limited.
With all this scenario that thousand cut policy is leading Pakistan into war, which they cannot fight or if they do battle, they will loose and loose big.
During the warfare, territorial ambition is not part of Indian desire, but the destruction of Pakistani forces is the key desire.
Pakistanis, so badly isolated are unlikely to embark on a nuclear war, even in its own territory. It will ask for a retaliation of the kind that this world will remember and especially the Muslim world will not be able to stand up. So beware of this madness.
Hopefully, all this will not happen, but who knows that these over confident generals of Pakistan may commit themselves to war like in 1971 and then hand over the power fully to the civilian government. That is the only benefit remains if the Pakistani public would have. And if there is a nuclear war then there will be no Pakistan left to talk about.
India is left with no choice but to fight a war sooner than later to stop Pakistani terrorism in Kashmir and the rest of India. Although the Pakistanis may not like it that their policy of hurting India with thousand cuts is the key. Daily armed trespassing by armed Pakistanis intruders across the Line of Control and the international border and denials every time, still refusing to take their dead back is the key reason. Worst out of all these offensive actions is insulting the dead soldiers by cutting off their heads or gouging their eyes is a whole tone far beyond any civilized behavior of any modern armies. That is what the Pakistanis are doing.
The Surgical Strike by India a year back to wipe out the armed terrorists has killed a few, but it caused no effect on Pakistani behavior. They have mastered the art of denials hence they continue to deny their own citizens a decent burial. Shame on them all......
Hence war preparations are on in India and parallel are on in Pakistan. Military stores have been ordered especially for spare components and specialized ammunition, etc. Missiles are being upgraded like Barak, Akash, Astra, Brahmos and many other cases. Very advanced aircrafts like Rafale are being purchased to augment the depleted air force. Air defenses are being upgraded with S-400 purchase. The most resilient part of ground offensive .... the very advanced artillery from Indian, US and Korean sources is being added on an everyday basis. The military tanks are being upgraded with night vision and 360 sights with hunter killer capabilities. Attack helicopters of best kind will soon be conducting flight in India, whose delivery will be completed in six months. The navy has received advanced submarines, destroyers and aircraft carriers to blast enemy fleet if it has ever stepped out of its protective harbors including sneak attacks.
All these Indian preparations totalling $50 billion or more will be 80% complete by 2022-23. Other items of long delivery type are on order and may not get delivered. So Indians are ready for war, if it happens. These provisions are a bit late because the previous regime was much slow on ordering. Had all these provisions been made four years earlier, then the befitting answer to the enemy policy of a thousand cuts and gruesome murders would have been paid by now.
They would all be too afraid.
Pakistanis are really nervous about all these preparations. Although they do not admit yet the truth of the thing is that they have nothing to match it. All American military assistance has been cut. Chinese military hardware which is registering up in Pakistan is no match to what India has bought. Diplomatically the state encouragement of terrorism policy has isolated it completely. They are a pathological liar with no friends. Even China wants its debt payments on time and now. The IMF will entertain a request for a large loan only if they get get satisfactory replies to their main question of how did Pakistan got into this situation. Other than a huge expense of the army, what else have they managed to incur these huge losses. The result is a large Chinese loan, which turned out to be a debt trap.
With all these financial problems and an outdated force which has been starved out of spare parts will be relic of the yesteryear. And so how will they match up to India during hostilities brought on by the thousand cuts policy.
If the hostilities were to take place in the winter time frame, then even Chinese cannot help, the Himalayas are frozen for six months. Well a dilemma for Pakistan and advantage for India. Moreover, there is no President Nixon in the Whitehouse like in 1971 to order Chinese to intervene. Instead, there is a hostile President Trump in the Whitehouse. Moreover, the Chinese are moving to improve their relations with India, hence Chinese help will be limited.
With all this scenario that thousand cut policy is leading Pakistan into war, which they cannot fight or if they do battle, they will loose and loose big.
During the warfare, territorial ambition is not part of Indian desire, but the destruction of Pakistani forces is the key desire.
Pakistanis, so badly isolated are unlikely to embark on a nuclear war, even in its own territory. It will ask for a retaliation of the kind that this world will remember and especially the Muslim world will not be able to stand up. So beware of this madness.
Hopefully, all this will not happen, but who knows that these over confident generals of Pakistan may commit themselves to war like in 1971 and then hand over the power fully to the civilian government. That is the only benefit remains if the Pakistani public would have. And if there is a nuclear war then there will be no Pakistan left to talk about.