'India's military restraint must be from position of strength'

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US analyst lauds India's military restraint, but cautions against 'position of weakness'

Endorsing the policy of "military self-restrain" of successive Indian governments in the face of provocation from Pakistan, a top American analyst has said that henceforth India must ensure that it does not act from a "position of weakness".
"The use of military force to counter terrorism is an especially tempting solution because it can be enacted very quickly. But it also can quickly escalate to overreaction," George Perkovich said on Tuesday.

"This is another reason why the Indian tradition of strategic nonviolence, however imperfect, is less risky and more conducive to long-term success than a militaristic strategy to counter terrorism in a nuclearised environment," Perkovich said.

Delivering the 'Robert McNamara Lecture on War and Peace', Perkovich who is vice-president for studies at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and director of its non-proliferation programme, credited successive Indian governments led by Atal Bihari Vajpayee and Manmohan Singh for not reacting militarily to terrorist attacks inside India emanating from Pakistan.

"To their credit, some Indian leaders, including Prime Ministers Vajpayee and Singh, have understood the relative wisdom of military self-restraint in the face of terror attacks. They have understood that violence, in the words of Hannah Arendt, 'like all action, changes the world, but the most probable change is a more violent world'", he said.

"For a strategy of muscular self-restraint to achieve its full power, India (or any other state) must not be acting from a position of weakness. One must have the real option to act forcefully and effectively, and then withhold that option out of superior self-restraint and moral-strategic wisdom that will be recognised by the opponent and the international community," he said.

"Thus India would still need to reform its management of national defence and acquire intelligence, reconnaissance, and strike capabilities that could be used against Pakistan."

"It would still need to maintain a combination of army, navy and air force capabilities that would prevail in a major conventional war if Pakistan initiated it. India also would need a reliable, survivable nuclear force to deter unbounded escalation," Perkovich said.

The American strategic thinker said that Pakistan has not been following the Security Council resolution on taking action against terrorism. 9/11 attacks,

"UN Security Council Resolution 1373, passed after the 9/11 attacks, obligates all states to take actions to prevent and suppress terrorists' efforts to recruit, organise, train, fund-raise and carry out attacks. This is a Chapter VII resolution," he said.

"Pakistan, clearly, in the past has not met the requirements of this resolution, but has been protected by China and the US from being exposed to the moral, political, and economic pain even of UN debate over sanctions for its failures to make serious efforts to comply with the resolution's counter terrorism requirements," Perkovich said.

"India has its own reasons for being wary of investing authority in the UN, but the larger point is that Indian officials could do much more to develop and execute a strategy to mobilise international political, economic, and moral power against Pakistani security agencies that fail to counter terrorism against India," the US scholar said.

US analyst lauds India's military restraint, but cautions against 'position of weakness' - Indian Express
 

W.G.Ewald

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Re: 'India's military restraint must be from position of strengthâ

India should go by the example of Israel, not by the words of some pinhead at the Carnegie Institute.
 

Ray

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Re: 'India's military restraint must be from position of strengthâ

India is doing perfectly well without the requirement of theoretical 'pundits' pontificating.

All India requires is that the forces be equipped to strength & that be done quickly without the perennial dithering.

And of course, the political dispensation should have a clear vision & Will.
 

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Re: 'India's military restraint must be from position of strengthâ

Perhaps India should have the political leadership with stomach to Authorize the Unauthorized.

India Should have the political will to take up the task of De Nuclearizing Pakistan (the primary deterrent). We should have a Dedicated force training and arming for the capability to conduct All weather, any time any where raid on Pakistani Nuclear facilities and Sabotage their Deterrent Capability in the advent of a military hostility.

But Do we have the Political will and Military capability?? We have the Moral Right!!
 

Dinesh_Kumar

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Re: 'India's military restraint must be from position of strengthâ

My question is simple - If India's Military is indeed strong, why the need to show restraint?
 

jmj_overlord

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Re: 'India's military restraint must be from position of strengthâ

India should go by the example of Israel, not by the words of some pinhead at the Carnegie Institute.
yes someone like netanyahu or putin needs to be in the helm of india to deal with rogues like pakis be it by talks or action.....
 

no smoking

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where is money

Perhaps India should have the political leadership with stomach to Authorize the Unauthorized.

India Should have the political will to take up the task of De Nuclearizing Pakistan (the primary deterrent). We should have a Dedicated force training and arming for the capability to conduct All weather, any time any where raid on Pakistani Nuclear facilities and Sabotage their Deterrent Capability in the advent of a military hostility.

But Do we have the Political will and Military capability?? We have the Moral Right!!
No, the first question you should ask is: do you have that fiscal capacity to support such a military edge over Pakistan!

Please check your targets, you are asking India leaders to build up a military power which is far abvoe what Chinese have now! Think about it, the minimum (Chinese source) that Chinese spend on their forces annually is around $100b, how much India need to invest on a even stronger force? $120b, $150b or even $200b. Where the money comes from?
 

nirranj

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Re: where is money

No, the first question you should ask is: do you have that fiscal capacity to support such a military edge over Pakistan!

Please check your targets, you are asking India leaders to build up a military power which is far abvoe what Chinese have now! Think about it, the minimum (Chinese source) that Chinese spend on their forces annually is around $100b, how much India need to invest on a even stronger force? $120b, $150b or even $200b. Where the money comes from?
Money is not the matter. Political courage and wisdom is what is necessary... With clear direction and planning, We can execute many marvels even with Shoe String budget. even at 30bnn, we are giving You nightmares.

If I am the PM of India, I would have authorized neutralizing Pakistans Nuclear deterrent and Dis membering the Pakistan along with arming the Dissidents in chinese west.
 

pmaitra

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Re: 'India's military restraint must be from position of strengthâ

India should go by the example of Israel, not by the words of some pinhead at the Carnegie Institute.
Jon Stewart and Bill O'Reilly have called each other "pinheads." Looks like it is a common pejorative in the US. :)
 

Known_Unknown

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Re: where is money

Money is not the matter. Political courage and wisdom is what is necessary... With clear direction and planning, We can execute many marvels even with Shoe String budget. even at 30bnn, we are giving You nightmares.

If I am the PM of India, I would have authorized neutralizing Pakistans Nuclear deterrent and Dis membering the Pakistan along with arming the Dissidents in chinese west.
Being a nationalist is good, but this is just crazy talk. "Neutralizing Pakistan's deterrent" is not a cake-walk, nor is it even a sure thing. If it could be done, the US could have done it long ago. We have to take care not to overestimate our strength, and thereby underestimate the response from our enemies. If the Pakis manage to save even a couple of nuclear warheads in the face of Indian action to seize them, what do you think is the first thing they will do? Strike Delhi and Mumbai most probably. Are you ready to have the blood of millions of innocent Indians on your hands for the sake of jingoistic chest-thumping? What happens to Pakistan after that is irrelevant.

Same goes for China. While arming dissidents is a good way to keep the conflict at a low level rather than punching the doberman directly in the nose, it too, must be in support of a wider strategic vision of what kinds of ties we want to have with China. So far China has successfully used the Pakis to keep India boxed in the subcontinent, but in the past decade, India has managed to score a major counterattack in the form of normalizing relations with the US and its lackeys. This effort was far more cunning and far-sighted than the alternative that you suggest. We have to realize that India and China are not really enemies of each other-in fact today China is India's largest trading partner. However, China only respects power, and India must show China that she is her equal and coerce China into seeing that hurting India by supporting Pakistan is not in China's best interests. The tools of such coercion will be Indian military and economic might and India's friendship (not alliance) with the West. They must be used to deter China from acting inimically to Indian interests-going to war will be neither wise nor beneficial to either country.

Unfortunately, the above approach does not work with Pakistan, so we will have to make sure we reply to the Pakis in kind. We should fund, arm and train the various insurgent movements in Pak like the Baloch, the TTP, the Lashkar-e-Jhangvi and others. Use them to take out targets like Hafiz Saeed and other terrorist leaders. Bleeding Pak with a thousand cuts is easy, in fact even 500 cuts may be able to knock some sense into their generals and force them into giving up their own policy of sponsoring terrorism.
 

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