Agni II

sandeepdg

Senior Member
Joined
Sep 5, 2009
Messages
2,333
Likes
227
Some people are just desperate to jump the gun it seems !! Before knowing what has happened that led to the failure of the test, please don't make statements such such as "DRDO should be closed down", "DRDO is not capable enough" ! A ballistic missile is a very complex and sophisticated long range strategic weapons delivery system. Its takes years of hard work to design, test and finally operationalize a ballistic missile. If its taking taking years of testing for Agni-2, it is obvious that there are some changes happening which our scientists seems important with passing time and need to be incorporated in to missile's design, or some parameters are being updated i.e. there can be variety of reasons which only a missile designer can clarify. The American ballistic missile program started with the Atlas ICBM which had a range of 16000 kms. The program started in 1946 and final version of missile was delivered on 1961 i.e. 15 years of developmental phase. The Minuteman-3 ICBM was deployed in American inventory in 1969 and it is still being upgraded so that it can serve until 2025 i.e. its been 40 years and developmental process is still going on. Even their latest Trident SLBM took seven years to develop after it suffered failure in its first launch attempt. The Chinese began their ICBM program with the DF-4 in 1965 and deployment began in 1976 with only four of these deployed by 1984 i.e. again a good 11 years. The first Soviet ICBM was the R-16 or SS-7 Saddler which during its development suffered a massive failure when a prototype exploded killing 100 people associated with the program in 1960. So my point is that when the pioneers in this filed have gone such through such challenges, it is very much inevitable that India will also face such problems initially for the first 10-15 years. After all, our first ballistic missiles are superior than the the first one developed by the US, Soviet Union and China.
 

Singh

Phat Cat
Super Mod
Joined
Feb 23, 2009
Messages
20,311
Likes
8,403
Country flag
Are you for real ???? What's up with the lame examples ?

We tested a nuclear device in 74, sent sats in the space and yet we can't have an operationalized BM 10 years after its first successful test because it is "complex" and "US took 15 years to make its first BM in 50s".


On our west and east are nuclear armed countries with operationalized and effective ballistic missiles. Very nations with whom we have already gone to war.
India is not developing something which none of our neighbours don't have. The surprising thing is that India's missile programme started before Pakistan acquired its first ballistic missile. And China already has boomers with we are yet to operationalize a single IRBM.

DRDO is a failed organization. Come to terms with the truth
 

Koji

Regular Member
Joined
May 24, 2009
Messages
758
Likes
1
Indian night-time missile test fails

Indian night-time missile test fails | Missiles & Bombs News at DefenceTalk

NEW DELHI: India's first night-time test of a nuclear-capable, medium-range ballistic missile failed, a defence ministry source said Tuesday.
A variant of the Agni (Fire) missile, with a range of 2,500 kilometres (1,560 miles), was fired Monday after sundown from a mobile launcher at the Wheeler Island test site, off India's east coast.
But the trial "has not met with success", the defence ministry source told AFP, without providing details.
The missile is one of a series being developed by India's Defence Research Development Organisation as part of the country's deterrent strategy against nuclear-armed neighbours China and Pakistan.
New Delhi has carried out many day-time trial tests of the domestically produced 20-metre-long missile, which has a launch weight of 16 tonnes and capacity to carry a one-tonne conventional or nuclear warhead.
"But this was the first night trial. We will be examining the data gathered to see what went wrong," the source said.
India already has the 3,000-kilometre range Agni-III missile -- the longest in the Agni series -- which can also carry conventional or nuclear payloads.
The Agni-I missile has a strike range of 1,500 kilometres.
 

NSG_Blackcats

Member of The Month OCTOBER 2009
Senior Member
Joined
Jul 23, 2009
Messages
3,489
Likes
1,559
In India the problem is everyone is an expert. Starting from the tea vendor at the roads, it applied to the so called intellectuals. I am glad even though there is a failure DRDO is admitting it (may be due to our media). People are calling to shut down DRDO. These people have their own view and we should respect that. Few decades back the same was the case with ISRO. Now many Indians will admit ISRO is doing a good job.

Have you guys heard about Akash SAM? Few years back there are reports of Army and IAF is not happy with these missiles. But now IAF had placed order for Akash and there are reports of Indian Army showing interest in Akash SAM too.

Now though we cannot compare Agni –II with Patriot System, but patriot system failed during gulf war. So does that make the Patriot System a really bad Air Defense System?

In 1996 when the SU30-MKI deal was signed there was lot of criticism of the govt. If you go by CAG report SU30-MKI does not deserve the price we paid for it. So should we say SU30-MKI is a waste of public money?

Criticism is good but that must be constructive.

If the MOD feel this post is not related to the topic they can delete this post.
Regards.
 

blade

Regular Member
Joined
Oct 20, 2009
Messages
154
Likes
16
In India the problem is everyone is an expert. Starting from the tea vendor at the roads, it applied to the so called intellectuals. I am glad even though there is a failure DRDO is admitting it (may be due to our media). People are calling to shut down DRDO. These people have their own view and we should respect that. Few decades back the same was the case with ISRO. Now many Indians will admit ISRO is doing a good job.

Have you guys heard about Akash SAM? Few years back there are reports of Army and IAF is not happy with these missiles. But now IAF had placed order for Akash and there are reports of Indian Army showing interest in Akash SAM too.

Now though we cannot compare Agni –II with Patriot System, but patriot system failed during golf war. So does that make the Patriot System a really bad Air Defense System?

In 1996 when the SU30-MKI deal was signed there was lot of criticism of the govt. If you go by CAG report SU30-MKI does not deserve the price we paid for it. So should we say SU30-MKI is a waste of public money?

Criticism is good but that must be constructive.

If the MOD feel this post is not related to the topic they can delete this post.
Regards.
Due to non military status ISRO got considerable foreign assitance which was completely denied to DRDO. The sanctioned period a huge difference was made. Its very easy to make comments on things but even with foregn assistance making SAM like AKASH is not everyones cup of tea.thnx
 

p2prada

Senior Member
Joined
May 25, 2009
Messages
10,234
Likes
4,015
sabirji,

An operational missile doesn't fail this often and nor does it require so many "improvements". An operational missile's subsytems, designs are frozen, user trials have been successfully conducted and then it is mass produced and inducted.

How can India claim to have operationalized missile when its guidance system still requires tweaking and it fails this often in user trials ?
An operational missile is expected to fail by atleast 40%, meaning only 60% of your missiles are expected to hit the target. That's the very nature of having strategic rocket forces.

I do not know the actual details about this test so it is impossible to comment on it. If the missile did have a new guidance system then a failure is of little concern as it can be rectified. If the missile was on the field and randomly selected for testing then it is of very serious concern.

An operational missile also undergoes innumerable modifications constantly, especially in the software.

However, this kind of failure is to be expected from us since we do not yet have the level of maturity required to field large inventories of missiles like US or Russia.

We cannot blame only DRDO. We need to blame the Army and the MoD too. However, heads have to roll if the test was indeed a failure. Some one must be held accountable.
 

billwengcn

Regular Member
Joined
Nov 24, 2009
Messages
11
Likes
0
I'm very curious, Agni-II has a quite large ratio of length to diameter , why ?
 

Sabir

DFI TEAM
Senior Member
Joined
Jul 31, 2009
Messages
2,116
Likes
793
There is scope of improvement that is why a test is done. If there is no possibility of failure, then what is the need of test......to entertain the fishermen in Chandipur???? Can anyone explain before taking DRDO's head what they are looking for in the last test which did not satisfy them. If you dont explain that...I wl say you are the same person who expect Sachin Tendulkar to hit six in every delivery and curse him for not doing so.....
 

Rage

DFI TEAM
Senior Member
Joined
Feb 23, 2009
Messages
5,419
Likes
1,001
Have you ?
Which Indian Ballistic Missile's are operational ?

Prithvi -> Operational/ 300km range
Agni 1 -> Operational / 750km range
Agni 2 -> Inoperational
Agni 3 -> Inoperational
Shaurya -> Inoperational*

Let me repeat what I said to 'Koji' on the chatbox a few hours ago: the Agni-II is ALREADY operational with the 555th Missile Group of the Indian Army.


The following will provide you with a source from the literature:

"As of 2002, at least 12 TELs and personnel in Secunderabad were on base in operating capacity with Agni-2s. Reports suggest that there are additional Agni-2s and warheads readily available for the Strategic Rocket Regiment."

MissileThreat :: Agni-2

Duncan Lennox, ed., Jane’s Strategic Weapons Systems 46 (Surrey: Jane’s Information Group, January 2007), 49-52; GlobalSecurity.org, “India Missile Special Weapons Delivery Systems,” available at Agni - India Missile Special Weapons Delivery Systems, accessed on 19 May 2005.


Supplementary sources:

India conducts night test fire of IRBM Agni-II missile .:. newkerala.com Online News -156450

In addition, I attach the following Word document from the 'Big Book of War', from which the Wikipedia article on the Agni is excerpted {Peruse attachments}


Confirmation can also be obtained from present and former/ex Army servicemen, from whom my independent verification is attained.


sabirji,

An operational missile doesn't fail this often and nor does it require so many "improvements". An operational missile's subsytems, designs are frozen, user trials have been successfully conducted and then it is mass produced and inducted.

How can India claim to have operationalized missile when its guidance system still requires tweaking and it fails this often in user trials ?
Really? Do you understand how many times an operational missile must be validated and tested, particularly after the initiation of limited serial production, to ensure effective quality control? How many failures has the Agni-II had? 2 out of a total of seven launches, including the most recent- the last failure (May 17th) which was rectified immediately after a critical evaluation as expounded upn above.

Operational missiles are expected to fail approximately half of their tests. To not do so is indicative of either: exceptional genius, pilfered technology, sheer luck, or most likely, stinks of a cover-up. Failure rates of between 40-50% are neither unusual, nor are they portents of ultimate futility. A quick perusal of missile development trajectories and their histories, including in the 1990's of China and other states will serve to illustrate the point.

Privatizing the DRDO involves a host of complications: not least of which pertain to national security and intelligence. Which is why not even the most laissez-faire economy in the world has plunged headlong into privatization, retaining instead crucial defense laboratories such as the [Defence Advanced Research Projects Agency] the DARPA, the [Missile Defence Agency] MDA and the [Defence Technical Intelligence Centre] DTIC among others, in addition to the 26 national defence laboratories. When a company is privatized, its management exercises a degree of leeway in their decisions, as opposed to the stringent regulation that can be implemented in the top-down public sphere. Ofcourse, the other option is to have a measure of lassitude present, which is equally deleterious, if somewhat less subverting. The solution, I believe, is to strike a compromise: throw out all the complacent management in the organization and replace them with competent technocrats, who at present do only the grunt work in the organization. When that is effectuated, you will see management brought on par with research potential, which should be augmented by a thorough search and scout for talent in the universities.

An operational missiles "subsystems, designs" are rarely, if ever, "frozen". Take any of the missiles on the following page for example. But to provide an illustration, I quote the following for the RT-21M / SS-20 ("SABER" NATO designate):

"The developer of a complex was the Moscow institute of Thermal Technology which was headed by A.D. Nadiradzye. The flight-design tests were conducted from September 1975 through January 1976 at the Kapustin Yar test site. Deployment of the SS-20 began on March 1976, and the first regiment equipped with the Pioneer missiles was set under airborne alert on August 1976."
[....]
"On 10 August 1979 the tests of the modernized "Pioneer"-UTTKh (15Zh53) began on the Kapustin Yar test site. They continued through 14 August 1980, and on 17 December 1980 the missile designated as SS-20 Mod3 was deployed. This variant had the same propulsion system as earlier versions, but due to upgrading of a command structure and instrumentation-service unit it was possible to improve accuracy (CEP) from 550 to 450 meters, to increase maximum range by 10 %, and to increase the area covered by the warheads. "
RT-21M / SS-20 SABER

And the R-14 / SS-5 ("SKEAN" NATO designate)

The development of the R-14 was authorized in July 1958. The authorization provided for the construction of a missile with an approximate range of 4,000 km, surpassing the R-12 by 2,000 km. The designer was M.K. Yangel of KB Yuzhnoye (OKB-586). The preliminary design was completed in December 1958. Flight tests of the R-14 began in July 1960 [Western sources suggest a first flight in June 1960] and were finished between December 1960 and February 1961. On 24 April 1961 deployment of the R-14 missile began. According to Western intelligence the initial operational capability with the Mod 1 reentry vehicle and soft sites was achieved in late 1961.

[....]

According to Western intelligence an initial operational capability with hard sites was achieved in early 1963, and the initial operational capability with the Mod 2 reentry vehicle was achieved in mid-1963.
R-14 / SS-5 SKEAN

I'd also refer you to the following articles on Chinese and US missiles:

HQ-9 - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
LGM-30 Minuteman - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia {Refer particularly to the chronology of development and the vulnerability improvements post Wing V turnover in 1965}

The rumour indeed was that a new navigational system was being tested. I cannot ofcourse confirm that independently. Except to tell you that I have spoken to Col, Raj Khalsa and asked him to find out what the buzz on the grapevine is, and to refer you to previous articles that suggest that "a new inertial guidance system with an improved optical or radar terminal phase correlation system" was being tested on the Agni-III, and therefore we assume, albeit admittedly speculatively, on the Agni-II.
 

tarunraju

Sanathan Pepe
Mod
Joined
Sep 18, 2009
Messages
9,080
Likes
40,077
Country flag
I guess some of you are missing the point. This is a failed 'night trial', which hopefully the DRDO will make amends on. It's not like Agni II is completely inoperational.
 

Singh

Phat Cat
Super Mod
Joined
Feb 23, 2009
Messages
20,311
Likes
8,403
Country flag
In India the problem is everyone is an expert. Starting from the tea vendor at the roads, it applied to the so called intellectuals. I am glad even though there is a failure DRDO is admitting it (may be due to our media). People are calling to shut down DRDO. These people have their own view and we should respect that. Few decades back the same was the case with ISRO. Now many Indians will admit ISRO is doing a good job.
comparing DRDO and ISRO ? C'mon !!!!!!!!!!

DRDO's failure means an existential threat to India !!!

Tejas - 3 decades and not yet inducted
Arjun - 3 decades and not inducted
Insas - bum rifle
Trishul failed
Agni 2 not yet operationalized
Nag yet to be inducted.
blah blah...

What good has this organization done to secure India and save us billions in imports ? Hell India will turn into the largest importer of foreign arms simply because DRDO is rubbish.

Have you guys heard about Akash SAM? Few years back there are reports of Army and IAF is not happy with these missiles. But now IAF had placed order for Akash and there are reports of Indian Army showing interest in Akash SAM too.
Did you seriously call a missile that was supposed to be a MR-SAM but turned out to be a E-SHorad and took 20 years to make, 20 goddamn years to make, a success ?


Now though we cannot compare Agni –II with Patriot System, but patriot system failed during gulf war. So does that make the Patriot System a really bad Air Defense System?
Now this is awesome comparing Patriot and Agni ?

Agni2 is the deterrent of our forces and guess what it failed and therefore we have no deterrence. Nada.

In 1996 when the SU30-MKI deal was signed there was lot of criticism of the govt. If you go by CAG report SU30-MKI does not deserve the price we paid for it. So should we say SU30-MKI is a waste of public money?
Did it take 3 decades to induct MKI ? Did it fail to take off the first 12 times ? Did it cost 3 times as much as initially thought ? Did it turn out to be a Cas jet instead of a Air superiority craft ? If the answer to any of these is yes, then it is a failure.
And MKI is not a drdo product.

Criticism is good but that must be constructive.
Who is criticizing DRDO ? I am baying for their blood.

Due to non military status ISRO got considerable foreign assitance which was completely denied to DRDO. The sanctioned period a huge difference was made. Its very easy to make comments on things but even with foregn assistance making SAM like AKASH is not everyones cup of tea.thnx
Now we blame the west for DRDO's failure ? :D
If making a simple MR-Sam is not your cup of tea, then don't go around bragging your nuclear power soon to be super power statu nor don't demand a permanent seat in the security council and especially don't ever dream of teaching the enemy a lesson. Start weaving white flags or better buy a cheap quality one, Made in China.
 

Koji

Regular Member
Joined
May 24, 2009
Messages
758
Likes
1
I guess some of you are missing the point. This is a failed 'night trial', which hopefully the DRDO will make amends on. It's not like Agni II is completely inoperational.
Just make sure you don't use your weapons at night! Otherwise you'll end up sending your missiles towards the Phillipines :stinker:

But on a more serious note, this test highlights to the world that India's capability to strike first or second at night is dubious and thus decreases its deterrence.
 

Singh

Phat Cat
Super Mod
Joined
Feb 23, 2009
Messages
20,311
Likes
8,403
Country flag
An operational missile is expected to fail by atleast 40%, meaning only 60% of your missiles are expected to hit the target. That's the very nature of having strategic rocket forces.
Thanks for this very enlightening statistic but Agni is yet to be operationalized and after it is operationalized we are comforted by the fact that it will fail some 40% of the times, which is an improvement from its current failure rate of 99.47444%.

I do not know the actual details about this test so it is impossible to comment on it. If the missile did have a new guidance system then a failure is of little concern as it can be rectified. If the missile was on the field and randomly selected for testing then it is of very serious concern.An operational missile also undergoes innumerable modifications constantly, especially in the software.
Operative word here is operational missile
And if a missile fails repeatedly, do you add improvements to help fail better ?

However, this kind of failure is to be expected from us since we do not yet have the level of maturity required to field large inventories of missiles like US or Russia.
This is an even more discomforting fact.
As we will field in the future, hopefully, far lesser number of missiles, with far lesser range, of which only 60% maximum will have a successful launch.

We cannot blame only DRDO. We need to blame the Army and the MoD too. However, heads have to roll if the test was indeed a failure. Some one must be held accountable.
because it was the Army and MOD that failed to be satisfied with a failed product?
Why don't we give a successful quality products to the army on time, and stop blaming them ?

There is scope of improvement that is why a test is done.
By improving ways to fail ? Wow this time we just failed to hit the target by 900kms. Hurrah !!

If there is no possibility of failure, then what is the need of test......to entertain the fishermen in Chandipur???? Can anyone explain before taking DRDO's head what they are looking for in the last test which did not satisfy them. If you dont explain that...I wl say you are the same person who expect Sachin Tendulkar to hit six in every delivery and curse him for not doing so.....
If Sachin's sole purpose of existence is to hit a 6 every ball, and not only a 6 but hit the ball outta the ground and if I spend my life's earning to Sachin to perform this feat and he fails to do it, then yes I will not only curse him but break his skull. And have him replaced.

replace drdo, nuclear deterrence, decades, billions, repeated failure in the above.
 

Singh

Phat Cat
Super Mod
Joined
Feb 23, 2009
Messages
20,311
Likes
8,403
Country flag
Just make sure you don't use your weapons at night! Otherwise you'll end up sending your missiles towards the Phillipines :stinker:
or ends up hitting your village in China, I mean "Japan" :wink:

But on a more serious note, this test highlights to the world that India's capability to strike first or second at night is dubious and thus decreases its deterrence.
If India can send a probe to the moon, then it can send a warhead to any part of the world. But DRDO can't.
 

K Factor

A Concerned Indian
Senior Member
Joined
Mar 30, 2009
Messages
1,316
Likes
147
Just make sure you don't use your weapons at night! Otherwise you'll end up sending your missiles towards the Phillipines :stinker:

But on a more serious note, this test highlights to the world that India's capability to strike first or second at night is dubious and thus decreases its deterrence.

And by advertising our failure in the media, we are increasing the hopes of our adversaries that they can get away with a N first strike if they ever choose to do so.

I don't buy this mis-information bull. Better to keep silent than advertise our failure. This doesn't help our deterrence at all.
 

K Factor

A Concerned Indian
Senior Member
Joined
Mar 30, 2009
Messages
1,316
Likes
147
There is scope of improvement that is why a test is done. If there is no possibility of failure, then what is the need of test......to entertain the fishermen in Chandipur???? Can anyone explain before taking DRDO's head what they are looking for in the last test which did not satisfy them. If you dont explain that...I wl say you are the same person who expect Sachin Tendulkar to hit six in every delivery and curse him for not doing so.....
The security of my country, my family and me does not depend upon Sachin hitting a six or India getting a gold medal in the Olympics.

It does on DRDO because they have to provide India a credible nuclear second strike deterrence.

If your enemy thinks that your missiles are duds, the deterrence is gone.
 

abmind

New Member
Joined
Nov 24, 2009
Messages
2
Likes
0
[mod] such brainless commets are not entertained here refrain from it consider this as first and last warning [/mod]
 

Koji

Regular Member
Joined
May 24, 2009
Messages
758
Likes
1
or ends up hitting your village in China, I mean "Japan" :wink:



If India can send a probe to the moon, then it can send a warhead to any part of the world. But DRDO can't.
The two are completely different. One rocket has liquid fuel and immobile, so the comparison cannot be made between the success of IRSO and DRDO. The two technologies employed by each is distinctly different.
 

Singh

Phat Cat
Super Mod
Joined
Feb 23, 2009
Messages
20,311
Likes
8,403
Country flag
The two are completely different. One rocket has liquid fuel and immobile, so the comparison cannot be made between the success of IRSO and DRDO. The two technologies employed by each is distinctly different.
Is there a pre-condition that only mobile solid fuelled rockets can be used? Wake up and smell the Chinese black tea !

Any way this is offtopic. Lets stick to the discussion. off you go Koji !!
 

Koji

Regular Member
Joined
May 24, 2009
Messages
758
Likes
1
Is there a pre-condition that only mobile solid fuelled rockets can be used? Wake up and smell the Chinese black tea !

Any way this is offtopic. Lets stick to the discussion. off you go Koji !!
Yes there is. Solid-fuel rockets do not need a length prep time like liquid-fuel rockets do. Solid fuel rockets are mobile and easily transportable, and liquid-fuel rockets are not. Surely you see the benefits.
 

Latest Replies

Global Defence

New threads

Articles

Top