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http://www.bellinghamherald.com/2011/02/01/1846097/afghan-leader-karzai-heads-to.html
NEW DELHI Indian leaders hope visiting Afghan President Hamid Karzai this week will emphasize the safeguarding of mutual interests between the two countries based on historical and cultural links as talks cover the U.S. troop withdrawal from Afghanistan expected to begin this summer.
New Delhi has pledged $1.3 billion in reconstruction aid to the violence-racked nation since 2001, making it Afghanistan's fifth-largest donor. It has built roads and hospitals, maintained a generous visa policy and educated many of the country's top leaders, including Karzai, who was scheduled for a two-day visit to India beginning Wednesday.
From India's perspective there's a significant factor impeding its bid to expand its influence: Pakistan.
Even as Washington encourages India to take a larger regional role, the Pakistani government in Islamabad remains deeply wary of Indian reconstruction projects, viewing them as fronts for espionage and trouble-making. Pakistani leaders still think of India's use of Afghanistan to help Balochustan separatists in the 1970s.
In addition to meeting with Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and President Pratibha Patil, Karzai is scheduled to give the keynote speech at a conference on sustainable economic, political and social development.
But India's lack of shared borders with Afghanistan, giving it no road access except through Pakistan, and the growing number of suicide attacks against its missions and aid workers has blunted its enthusiasm and effectiveness.
"The way we look at it, our presence is largely economic and largely a manifestation of soft power," said G. Parthasarathy, a former ambassador to Pakistan. "You can't get around Pakistan."
Analysts said India doesn't expect the U.S. to fully withdraw by 2014, which should make any tilt toward extremism in Afghanistan less pronounced.
The influence of Taliban militants could be contained by Afghanistan's neighbors, some added. Russia is wary of illegal drugs entering its territory and could well support the Northern Alliance against the Taliban in the north. And Iran is wary of Taliban influence on its border, checking the movement's advance in the west.
India's major interests in Afghanistan are strategic, ensuring that terrorists don't wash up on its shores, and economic, especially access to energy needed to fuel its red-hot economy.
Indian officials hope to hear this week how Karzai sees national reconciliation playing out, what role he expects the Taliban to play and on what terms, analysts said.
"India has spent so much on reconstruction, it wants to know that its investment is safeguarded," said C. Raja Mohan, a security analyst and columnist with the Indian Express newspaper.
India also has expressed interest in two pipeline projects, including a $7.6 billion project to bring Turkmenistan gas to the Indian town of Fazilka.
Given the geography, however, both would have to travel through Pakistan, leaving India's energy security vulnerable to a neighbor it has fought three wars with since independence.
"Both pipelines have a 'P' in the middle for Pakistan," said D. Suba Chandran, an analyst with the Institute of Peace and Conflict Studies in New Delhi. "We like to say that Afghanistan is the gateway to Central Asia, but if you can read a map, Pakistan is the gateway."
U.S. diplomatic cables written in 2007 and recently released by Wikileaks, outline various ways India could expand its soft-power in Afghanistan, including police and election training, food aid, sports and the spread of Bollywood.
But Bollywood is a tool that must be handled carefully, some said, given the danger despite its popularity that Islamacists could resent its themes of dancing and merrymaking.
"We play our cultural thing very carefully," said Parthasarathy. "If, through cable and DVD, this gets people to treat women better, though, that's a plus."
Read more: http://www.bellinghamherald.com/2011/02/01/1846097/afghan-leader-karzai-heads-to.html#ixzz1ClUuRIOr
NEW DELHI Indian leaders hope visiting Afghan President Hamid Karzai this week will emphasize the safeguarding of mutual interests between the two countries based on historical and cultural links as talks cover the U.S. troop withdrawal from Afghanistan expected to begin this summer.
New Delhi has pledged $1.3 billion in reconstruction aid to the violence-racked nation since 2001, making it Afghanistan's fifth-largest donor. It has built roads and hospitals, maintained a generous visa policy and educated many of the country's top leaders, including Karzai, who was scheduled for a two-day visit to India beginning Wednesday.
From India's perspective there's a significant factor impeding its bid to expand its influence: Pakistan.
Even as Washington encourages India to take a larger regional role, the Pakistani government in Islamabad remains deeply wary of Indian reconstruction projects, viewing them as fronts for espionage and trouble-making. Pakistani leaders still think of India's use of Afghanistan to help Balochustan separatists in the 1970s.
In addition to meeting with Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and President Pratibha Patil, Karzai is scheduled to give the keynote speech at a conference on sustainable economic, political and social development.
But India's lack of shared borders with Afghanistan, giving it no road access except through Pakistan, and the growing number of suicide attacks against its missions and aid workers has blunted its enthusiasm and effectiveness.
"The way we look at it, our presence is largely economic and largely a manifestation of soft power," said G. Parthasarathy, a former ambassador to Pakistan. "You can't get around Pakistan."
Analysts said India doesn't expect the U.S. to fully withdraw by 2014, which should make any tilt toward extremism in Afghanistan less pronounced.
The influence of Taliban militants could be contained by Afghanistan's neighbors, some added. Russia is wary of illegal drugs entering its territory and could well support the Northern Alliance against the Taliban in the north. And Iran is wary of Taliban influence on its border, checking the movement's advance in the west.
India's major interests in Afghanistan are strategic, ensuring that terrorists don't wash up on its shores, and economic, especially access to energy needed to fuel its red-hot economy.
Indian officials hope to hear this week how Karzai sees national reconciliation playing out, what role he expects the Taliban to play and on what terms, analysts said.
"India has spent so much on reconstruction, it wants to know that its investment is safeguarded," said C. Raja Mohan, a security analyst and columnist with the Indian Express newspaper.
India also has expressed interest in two pipeline projects, including a $7.6 billion project to bring Turkmenistan gas to the Indian town of Fazilka.
Given the geography, however, both would have to travel through Pakistan, leaving India's energy security vulnerable to a neighbor it has fought three wars with since independence.
"Both pipelines have a 'P' in the middle for Pakistan," said D. Suba Chandran, an analyst with the Institute of Peace and Conflict Studies in New Delhi. "We like to say that Afghanistan is the gateway to Central Asia, but if you can read a map, Pakistan is the gateway."
U.S. diplomatic cables written in 2007 and recently released by Wikileaks, outline various ways India could expand its soft-power in Afghanistan, including police and election training, food aid, sports and the spread of Bollywood.
But Bollywood is a tool that must be handled carefully, some said, given the danger despite its popularity that Islamacists could resent its themes of dancing and merrymaking.
"We play our cultural thing very carefully," said Parthasarathy. "If, through cable and DVD, this gets people to treat women better, though, that's a plus."
Read more: http://www.bellinghamherald.com/2011/02/01/1846097/afghan-leader-karzai-heads-to.html#ixzz1ClUuRIOr