Prahlad, there are a lot of pre-requisites required in triggering a rebellion or revolution in any country no matter how big or small. The things needed for a revolution are:
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Ideology: A concept that is totally unique and brings a total change in the thinking of each citizen
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Leadership: an embodiment of the ideology who spearheads the revolution
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Support base: the adoption of this ideology to such a level that it creates a foundation for the movement to spread
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Funding: no revolutions are possible without financial backing, contribution or assistance from participants, patrons or supporters.
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Commitment: A determination to the ideology for the cause to the end which in turn complements the whole thinking of the revolution.
Pakistan has NONE of these elements to start a revolution. Let me explain in the same order as above:
1- Ideology
Pakistan itself was an ideology that had little base since the very beginning. Jinnah and his political backers who started the concept of Pakistan, themselves had no idea how to be founders and on what basis establish the nation of Pakistan. Jinnah is often praised to be secular and inspired by Mustafa Kemal of Turkey. This is only applicable to his own self. He drank, smoked ate pork and did everything Muslim doesn't do. But he failed to spread this to people. The people were left with only one thing; Islam. Now this carving out was to be done in the opposite direction of what culture the parent nation i.e. India had since its thousands and thousands of years of history. To meet the other shortcomings of identity, Pakistanis adopted a Mughal and hence quasi-foreign language Urdu (mix of Persian, Pushto, Sanskrit and some Turkish), converted all Indian concepts with a quasi-Islamic twist and called this new ideology Pakistan.
Now in present scenario, there is simply no change seen in the ideology of Pakistanis than the first that Jinnah had: Islam. Today there is no ideology at all to be revolutionizing on. Eliminating organized religion: is considered blasphemy and can get you killed; Communism: again akin to blasphemy; Secularism (Genuine): neutralizes the whole reason for them to separate from India in first place since we are secular state (actually pseudo-secular, but still).
So tell me what new ideology can be so strong for Pakistanis to bank on for a serious revolution? Nothing.
2-Leadership
This is laughable if one sees carefully. Who is going to lead this revolution? Nawaz Sharif? Imran Khan? Zardari? Gilani? Kayani? Musharaf? Bilawal?
There is simply no leadership that has planned anything along the lines of core ideology to carry out a revolution. Even today, there are multiple centers of power running the country: one side TTP is claiming sharia rule for Pakistan, other side Zardari and Gilani are ruling the country via farce elections, another side Gul and Kayani are calling off all the shots... there is simply no center of authority and each political party, each region has a new center of power claiming to be absolute. And this is the current national status. So what to make of leader for a revolution?
3- Support base
The common people. They have lost all hopes and those who've not are losing it faster than ever no matter how many internet "warrior Pakistanis" here deny this.
Industries shut down, no power, no gas, no water, no electricity, no jobs, no safety, no money, no business. And on top of this, crime, terrorism, suicide bombings, street mullas, fatwa factories opened and MOST of all
NO LEADER TO BANK ON. It is a miracle how mass suicides are not happening in such a situation.
4- Funding
The nation doesn't even have the funds to function as a normal state; people are kicked out of jobs en masse, industries are not running and most of all SUPPORT BASE in first place has not found ground at all. Where will the funds come from? Whatever Pakistan is functioning right now as a state is because of USAID and the occasional aid Chinese, Saudi and other Arabs give Pakistan. So how to fund a revolution?
5- Commitment
Amidst all the chaos that is going on, what commitment is one expect? And who will want to make it worse? Think about it; that nation exists on the paranoia that we are going to strike and annex them and that they have to exist separate from us at all costs. This is the phobia that keeps them as they are existing right now itself. The common man thinks that we are waiting for internal chaos (which is already happening but they don't accept this) to take over them. So what commitment he will have to make an upheaval in an already disastrous state? None.
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As Bangalorean would say about Raymond Davis being released would trigger a revolution, this is wrong. It is simply not possible because of above 5 points. His release will mean more violence spilling onto Karachi streets, riots, killings, target attacks, suicide bombings, fatwas and pandemonium in an already volatile city that happens to be their financial center and the heart of its existence. Apart from all the above
that will happen for sure 100% if Davis gets out, nothing major will happen positive direction. The country has gone so deep in mindless violence, religious fanaticism, social intolerance, culture confusion, identity crisis, environmental paranoia and over-analyzing even an ant's death that this will only increase the cycle of violence in the city... it cannot come out of this because it has been ingrained in them for 63 years.. all of this.
All while Davis will catch the first flight back to US to his family and comfortable home.
