US wants India to sway Iran join nuclear talks

Discussion in 'Foreign Relations' started by Ray, Oct 21, 2012.

  1. Ray

    Ray The Chairman Defence Professionals Moderator

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    US wants India to sway Iran join nuclear talks

    NEW DELHI: The US wants India to persuade Iran to return to the negotiating table on its nuclear programme, the first time it has openly asked New Delhi to intercede with Tehran.

    Speaking to TOI ahead of his meetings with National Security Advisor (NSA) Shivshankar Menon and foreign secretary Ranjan Mathai in the US-India strategic security dialogue here, deputy secretary in the US State Department, William Burns, said, "We feel a great sense of urgency, an urgency widely shared in the international community. There is a great deal at stake here, given Iran's failure thus far to comply with its international obligations — the danger of increased tension, nuclear arms race in a region that already has more than its share of instability and which plays a very important role in the health of the global economy." He said the US hopes India would reinforce this message to the Iranian leadership

    Despite almost crippling sanctions against Iran's energy and finance sectors, all indications are that Iran's nuclear programme continues apace. Burns said the tough sanctions were necessary to bring Iran back to talks, insisting that diplomacy remained the US' preferred option. Unspoken is the fact that sanctions also serve to keep Israel's military option from taking off, which could trigger something far bigger than a regional conflict.

    Burns said, "US and India share an important strategic goal and that is to ensure that Iran does not acquire a nuclear weapon and does not create those risks. We believe it's absolutely essential that Iran meet its international obligations and engage seriously in the diplomatic process of the 5+1 mechanism."

    Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, in his conversation with the Iranian Supreme Leader on the sidelines of the recent NAM summit, had officially said India expected Iran to comply with its NPT obligations. The US believes India carries a lot of clout with the Iranian leadership, and wants to help to get Tehran back on the negotiating table. Unfortunately, that's not what Indians believe, and that is a significant gap between India and the US.

    In private conversations, the US has told India they believe there is a real risk of military confrontation over this issue. The dual track of pressure and engagement has hurt Iranian economy, while its currency was in free fall last week, triggering the first protests against the government. Burns said, "We will work with our international partners to step up economic pressure, political isolation, not as an end in itself but as a means to ensure Iran engages seriously and meets its international obligations. Already, those sanctions have had a considerable impact. Iranian economy is down nearly 50% and 50% drop in Iran's currency and oil sales. We are very serious about our concerns on this issue, and America is not alone in those concerns. I think they are widely shared in the international community. The sooner Iran engages seriously better for all of us."

    But this is easier said than done. Iran last met the P5+1 in July: their demand that Iran should stop production of fissile material, close Fordow nuclear site and ship nuclear material out of the country found no takers at home. In return, Iran offered to temporarily halt enrichment in lieu of full lifting of sanctions. This was a non-starter.

    Meanwhile, Iran is completing the facility in Fordow, stockpiling higher enriched uranium, which international inspectors found the 16th cascade of centrifuges in the Natanz facility is in place. A negotiated set of "modalities" between Iran and IAEA is still elusive. A first bilateral meeting between the US and Iran held in Geneva also came a cropper.

    On the other hand, Iran says they could get to a settlement with the West, if there was a recognition of Iran's right to a peaceful nuclear programme under the NPT. Western officials say Iran is already in violation of its commitments under the NPT. During a visit here this week, the Iranian deputy foreign minister Seyyed Abbas Araghchi told journalists the longer the delay the more advanced their nuclear programme would be.

    In this game of chicken, Israel is the wild card entry. The Israeli PM Binyamin Netanyahu dramatically displayed the red lines that Iran could not cross at the UN General Assembly a couple of weeks ago, setting off alarm bells that a military strike may yet happen. This would be bad news for everybody but mostly for the US which would have to assist Israel, in which case it would be another Islamic nation versus US.

    In the region, Gulf Arab states from Saudi Arabia to Qatar, Bahrain etc have all expressed apprehension about Iran's nuclear ambitions, which theoretically puts them on the same page as the Israelis. But if Israel attacks Iran, this could make Shia majority nation a target of support by the Islamic world against Israel since Tehran's nuclear programme is intricately woven with its geopolitical ambitions.

    US wants India to sway Iran join nuclear talks - Times Of India

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    There is no doubt that India can play a positive role.

    And there is no doubt that the US must have a proper working relationship with Iran if it wants to ensure paramountcy in the Middle East and indirectly influence on other regional powers that be.

    The worry for US is the ingress China is doing into the ME and that can be a unstabling factor for US strategic influence.
     
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  3. Phenom

    Phenom Regular Member

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    I don't think India has enough influence over Iran to make them shift their position, they aren't even listening to the Russians on this issue. Iran looks to have made up its mind on building a nuke even the opposition is supporting the govt on this issue. Its better for India to just stay neutral and watch the whatever happens from a distance.
     
  4. mayfair

    mayfair Elite Member Elite Member

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    Bloody GoTUS..what do you think we are? Your effing poodles?

    If you are so concerned about rogue states possessing WMDs, why do you keep supporting the rabid dog that is Pakistan?

    Pakis and their nukes are a bigger threat to this planet than anythign else and what have succesive American governments done about it?

    In contrast you have armed them to teeth and emboldened them to carry out thier subversive agenda against us.
     
  5. Ray

    Ray The Chairman Defence Professionals Moderator

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    I would not be surprised if we are.

    Which idiot of a Head of a Govt has ever said on visiting a country that the Country loves the Leader of the Host Country?
     
  6. sesha_maruthi27

    sesha_maruthi27 Senior Member Senior Member

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    We should not stand on either side. We have to watch what happens next...........
     
  7. hit&run

    hit&run Elite Member Elite Member

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    Nuclear Iran is not good for us. At the end of the day all Islamic nations have same allergies, same impulsions and same bigotries.

    India will pay the price being a benign bystander.
     
  8. Phenom

    Phenom Regular Member

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    Iran won't become nuclear. Israelis, Americans and even the Saudis would make sure that never happens.

    OTOH, this is not India's fight, there is no need for India to get involved in something that would eventually turn messy.
     
  9. roma

    roma NRI in Europe Senior Member

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    yes SIrs, ( above ) this is not about being their poodle nor is it about having enough influence over iran to prod them one way or another - it is about an INVITATION from the usa - and we should be creative about it - not just pla their game but show them that we can play OUR game and it can be an INTELLIGENT game that neither poodles us to them but we can show that we will conduct ourselves RATIONALLY - agree with the usa when we should , when it is right and dissuade the usa in a clever way and point out why when we cant agree with them ...

    that way we show them our QUALITY !

    the NEHRUVIAN blunder way would be to straight off tell the usa that we are " non-aligned" (whatever the feck that means ) so we are not getting involved ........ and then dragon nicely coddles up to the usa and whispers " try us instead" .......then they get to be the good and responsible guys and in future the usa ignores us and goes to dragon instead

    btw : ref dictionay.com ..... feck = "value" besides other meanings )
     
    Last edited: Oct 21, 2012
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  10. Virendra

    Virendra Moderator Moderator

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    Actually it has, it just doesn't apply it (you know why it is so).
    Aren't we buying Iranian oil on our own terms/currency, however Iran might grudge on it.
    It is like paying someone with a voucher that can be redeemed only in your market.

    As a major oil importer we have leverage on Iran, we just don't pull the plug often.
    Perhaps it is smarter to use the leverage judiciously and exclusively for our own interest.
    That is my opinion.

    Regards,
    Virendra
     
  11. The Messiah

    The Messiah Bow Before Me! Elite Member

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    Our exports to iran have also risen recently.
     

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