Pakistan Economy: News & Discussion

Butter Chicken

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Despite promises, Pakistan unlikely to get heavy funding by June

ISLAMABAD: Despite having firm commitments of roughly $26 billion, the government is unlikely to get any major injection from traditional lenders in the next four months, restricting its options and pushing it to rely on foreign commercial loans and Eurobonds to meet pressing external financing needs.

The external situation became precarious after imports in January peaked at $5.6 billion – the highest level in 70 years. The ballooning trade bill suggests measures like heavy regulatory duty and non-tariff barriers to curb imports had failed to work as warned by the experts. The 5% rupee depreciation in December 2017 also could not do wonders and exports rose only modestly.

The State Bank of Pakistan’s gross foreign currency reserves are already down to $13.1 billion, lower than what Pakistan had before floating bonds in November 2017.

The Economic Affairs Division had estimated receiving around $550 million more from the ADB till June this year, which would take its total disbursements to slightly over $1 billion, said the sources. However, lending from the World Bank will not touch even $1 billion this year.

In the first half of the current fiscal year, Pakistan received less than $220 million from the World Bank against annual estimate of $1.04 billion.
 

Butter Chicken

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Pakistan borrows $500 million from China to shore up its reserves

Pakistan has contracted another foreign commercial loan of $500 million from the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) to shore up its depleting reserves.

The Express Tribune reported that the with new borrowing the Chinese financial institution's contribution to supporting a strong rupee against the US dollar increased to $1 billion in just three months.

It further reported quoting sources in the finance ministry that the government contracted the loan on January 15 at a rate in the range of 4.5 per cent.

In January, the country took a total of $704 million worth of new loans, taking foreign borrowings to $6.6 billion in just seven months of this fiscal year, sources said.

The foreign loans were equal to 86 per cent of the annual budgetary estimates that parliament had approved in June last year. This suggests that foreign loans for the second consecutive year may cross USD 10 billion.

China was the single largest lender that gave a total of USD 1.6 billion, which was equal to one-fourth of the total foreign loans Pakistan has received in the last seven months.

Beijing also gave roughly $610 million for project financing during the first seven months.

In terms of source, sovereign bonds were the single largest source after Islamabad raised USD 2.5 billion in November, which contributed roughly 38 per cent to total foreign loans.

It was the second loan that the ICBC has given to Pakistan to support its diminishing foreign currency reserves, which are largely used to defend a strong rupee and finance the trade deficit. The ICBC had also given USD 500 million in October last year.

Sources in the State Bank of Pakistan said that it was still intervening in the exchange market to keep the dollar-rupee parity at current level.

In December, the central bank let the rupee depreciate by 5.2 per cent against the US dollar. But it was still far less than the International Monetary Fund's assessment of the real value of the rupee.

With fresh foreign loans, the total foreign commercial borrowings in the first seven months of this fiscal year have increased to USD 1.8 billion, said the sources. The finance ministry had informed parliament in June last year that it would obtain USD 1 billion as commercial loans during 2017-18 that will end on June 30. However, it has already breached the limit with five months remaining.

So far, Citibank has given $267 million, Credit Suisse AG loaned USD 255 million, Standard Chartered Bank London $200 million and Dubai Bank $55.9 million. The share of foreign commercial banks in total loans stood at 27 per cent.

The loans are obtained to stop the downward slide of the official foreign currency reserves that currently stand at $12.8 billion even after issuing $2.5 billion worth of sovereign bonds in November.

The ministry is trying in vain to stop the reserves from slipping below the two-and-a-half-month import bill cover, which at current value of the import bill stands at $12.3 billion.

Official foreign currency reserves have depleted by USD 3.5 billion since July. The current account deficit during the first half of the fiscal year widened to over USD 7.5 billion.

Pakistan's total external debt and liabilities as of December 2017 stood at USD 88.9 billion, higher by $5.8 billion or 6.9 per cent over six months ago.

The main increase came by issuing sovereign bonds and taking expensive commercial loans. In the first half, debt obligated by issuing NSukuk and Eurobonds increased by 52 per cent to $7.3 billion.
 

Pandeyji

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Question time plizzzz

What do these Pakis put as collateral to take so many loans? They have no industry, infra or natural resources to speak of. What kind of institutions give multi-billion loans without any collateral or gaurantee?
 

Mikesingh

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Question time plizzzz

What do these Pakis put as collateral to take so many loans? They have no industry, infra or natural resources to speak of. What kind of institutions give multi-billion loans without any collateral or gaurantee?
This says it all.......

Untitled-1 copy.jpg

:biggrin2:

The Land of the Pure will soon become the 6th Autonomous region of China, like Tibet. The Chinese are slowly by surely assimilating it as barter for non payment of loans. Remember what happened to Sri Lanka? They had to gift Hambantota Port to the Chinese as they could not pay back their loans!
 

Bravado

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Question time plizzzz

What do these Pakis put as collateral to take so many loans? They have no industry, infra or natural resources to speak of. What kind of institutions give multi-billion loans without any collateral or gaurantee?
Porkies are putting their national highways (motorways), Govt. buildings, airports and PTV (pakistan television) as collateral to get the loan. Below links will give the fair idea.

[Mod Edit: --Redacted: Do not post links to other fora--]

 

AMCA

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Japan came up with an offer of cheap loans for building infrastructure projects in Pakistan. Japan was seeking to provide credit at rates lower than those being charged by China on its loans for CPEC projects but China resisted the move, leading Pakistan to refuse the offer.


Chutiye hi rahenge pakistanis. They are selling their country to china in the name of CPEC.

https://tribune.com.pk/story/1637886/2-pakistan-turns-cheaper-loan-offer-japan/
 

IBRIS

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Porkies are putting their national highways (motorways), Govt. buildings, airports and PTV (pakistan television) as collateral to get the loan. Below links will give the fair idea.

[Mod Edit: --Redacted: Do not post links to other fora--]
5
Paki market will plummet where all the government retirement accounts banking institutions would take a big hit to pave the way for china to slave every aspect of inbred pakis life.
 

cyclops

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Japan came up with an offer of cheap loans for building infrastructure projects in Pakistan. Japan was seeking to provide credit at rates lower than those being charged by China on its loans for CPEC projects but China resisted the move, leading Pakistan to refuse the offer.


Chutiye hi rahenge pakistanis. They are selling their country to china in the name of CPEC.

https://tribune.com.pk/story/1637886/2-pakistan-turns-cheaper-loan-offer-japan/
And China deepens its hold on pak.
Debt trap ahoy.
 

Butter Chicken

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Foreign exchange: SBP's reserves continue to dip, reach $12.7b

KARACHI: Foreign exchange reserves held by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) continued to remain under pressure, decreasing 1.01% on a weekly basis, according to data released by the central bank on Thursday.

The fall marks the 10th successive week of decline, raising concerns over Pakistan’s ability to meet future payment obligations and a bulging current account deficit.

On February 16, foreign currency reserves held by the central bank were recorded at $12,703.7 million, down $130.2 million or 1.01% compared to $12,833.9 million in the previous week.
 

Akshay_Fenix

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Using your reserves to pay off the interests. But no worries, CPEC is coming (pun)

Sad thing is most of pakistani politicians and Army personels who caused this mess have already made a fortune, also they have second homes in foreign countries. Only ones to suffer will be Pakistani Awaam. :tsk:

Indians kept on warning you but who cares now, whats done is done, only suffering remains.
 

KumarG

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12-odd billion is chump change. In an alternate universe, a more proactive and aggressive India could have just caused a run on PKR...
 

Pandeyji

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12-odd billion is chump change. In an alternate universe, a more proactive and aggressive India could have just caused a run on PKR...
We need to work a lot on strengthening ourselves currently.
 

Flame Thrower

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kamaal

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Can we help them by any means in their quest for self-sabotage ?:biggrin2::biggrin2:

Because we'll also suffer from the same problem in few days/months, so why not use ICJ as much as possible for irrigation & drinking, lets supply the water "For Agri & Drinking" to Himachal, J&K & Punjab so that other states like Haryana & Rajasthan could clear this summer easily.:india:
 

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