thakur_ritesh
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Agree, there are enough positives for carry home as well, but RBI will not be given the all mighty power, as such the regional countries remain pretty suspicious of our motives, so every central bank would like to dictate terms to whatever extent possible and would like the role of RBI to be limited, though it is a given RBI will play the most dominant role in such a set up.If there is a single currency, then RBI will end up making most of the financial decisions for the block, especially if we include other countries like Nepal, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh and Bhutan.
Which would mean all these countries would become our "bitch."
Even if we consider this happens over the next 10 years, India would be nearly the size of today's US economy by then. So, any financial shocks from these smaller economies will be absorbed by the comparatively massive Indian economy. For eg: A financial problem in Bihar, which is a big but poor state, or in Assam, which is a small state, won't really reflect badly on the entire Indian economy which may comprise of multiple very rich states. Even less if the financial institution of a country like Pakistan fails as a lot of our economy is dependent on domestic consumption. So, if a country like Pakistan fails, we can always bail them out. That's practically buying the country.
Win-win for India and Pakistan in financial terms. No chance of war and most of our current problems with Kashmir will become secondary. This will remove Pakistan as an enemy, they can reduce their defence expenditure to reflect their economy and we will have a lesser chance of seeing a two front war with China. So, Win-lose in favour of India in political terms.
Something more workable, and something that would be a lot bigger confidence booster would be to have SAFTA implemented in letter and spirit, India gets transit rights to West Asia, CAR, we reciprocate by giving them same to B'desh, Bhutan, Burma, ASEAN, and we get access to their natural resources which they claim to be in abundance.
Something like a common currency would come pretty low on priority for now.