Sir, can you please expand on this
From where I should start ? Most of us bloggers who take interest in World affairs sometime get carried away with
how and what of information. But we don't care
why it has been presented to us; maybe we are lazy and it takes a lot of time to understand.
It started with Chinese President postponing his visit to Pakistan but continued with Indian visit. All three parties on internet, Indians, Pakistanis and Chinese (who are Pakistan apologists) took that visit as per their own digital egos and gave it their own twists. Indians mocked Pakistan; Pakistan down played it and Chinese like they are saying the same today were arrogant, telling Indian that India is insignificant.
All three were wrong.
The XI visit to India was fruitful with plenty of optics, conviviality and good amount of promised investment. During his visit a rouge PLA unit created drama at LAC. When XI returned back a News came out of China warning PLA that XI (Political leadership) is the ultimate authority in China. It was signal to Chinese military establishment to stay obedient. Interestingly XI asked them to prepare for regional war which I think was said in the same paragraph just to make the first message less blunt and obfuscating to the outside world that there is no traction. I bet that rough unit must have been reprimanded as well.
XI visit with promise of investment ticked one marker of improving ties between India and China i.e. the money trail. It was independent of what Pakistan may think, especially in the backdrop of postponed Pakistan visit. If China was to be so sensitive about Pakistan there would have been no money trail.
Coming back to Pakistan, any good Pakistan watcher would have picked an important information from Pakistani media discourse during that time that Chinese leadership is angry with Pakistan. Since then plenty of persuasion was done by Pakistan to convince Chinese leadership and many offensives were launched by PA against terrorists to sound that they are taking their internal stability very seriously. They celebrated their ''Azadi day something'' was part of that larger effort.
Chinese like any investor would value the fact that stability of the region they are investing is paramount, they would venture into Pakistan if Pakistan can assure them the security. This has been discussed in Pakistani media that there is paradigm shift the way Pakistan has been looking after its internal security matters and foreign policy. Rather Nazam Sethi has categorically said the " now there will be no Jihadi support in Kashmir'' and " no day dreaming of strategic depth in Afghanistan".
The present COAS who has been handpicked by Nawaj Sharif stood by him during Imran's mass protests. He is leading the whole operation to make sure the investment environment becomes more conducive. Having said that, all these operation are resulting in sever backlash which I don't think any sane Indian would read as worsening situation in Pakistan or Pakistan imploding but a desperate last attempt of those Pakistan breed terrorists now getting culled by the same hand who nourished them.
Since there is plenty of backlashes, Pakistani establishment is seeing everyone with suspicion and rightly so, which includes India as well. They are begging Afghans, they cannot do the same with Indians (I think they should try) for obvious egoistic reasons.
Call me over optimistic, but trust me I can raise doubts on my own theory with many divergent signals. I would rather request you and other posters to cast doubts on my theory with specific reasons so that we can discuss it further.
It is a separate discussion on Chinese investment in Pakistan as far its economical nuances are concern and we very well know who owe more to either and who is the beggar with no choice. But at the end of the day If Pakistan be able to pull it out it will be considered as FDI for Pakistan. India can use this Pakistani dependency of China to make them realize that they have much to lose unlike what have been saying to us that they have nothing to lose. The current Modi visit will also give Pakistanis a reality check.
I think it is right opportunity for Pakistan to become worth a nation who doesn’t waste its energy suspecting so many entities but few or even none. Pakistan should mend its bravado and detox its troll brigade who from streets to LOC and LOC to Internet create vicious environment against its neighbors, not to mention many establishment brats who dream of avenging 1971 from India.
