NDA projected to win 227 Lok Sabha seats: Survey

Discussion in 'Politics & Society' started by feathers, Feb 13, 2014.

  1. feathers

    feathers Tihar Jail Banned

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    NDA projected to win 227 Lok Sabha seats: Survey
    New Delhi, Feb 13, 2014 (IANS):
    BJP supporters sporting special hair-cuts to favour the party's campaign for Prime Ministerial candidate Narendra Modi in Mumbai on Thursday. PTI Photo
    The BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is projected to win 227 seats in the Lok Sabha elections, 45 short of the magic mark of 272 in a house of 543, according to an India TV-C Voter poll projection released Thursday.

    The Congress-led United Progressive Alliance (UPA) is projected to win 101 seats, said the survey conducted this month.

    The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is projected to raise its tally from 116 seats in 2009 to 202, while the Congress tally is expected to drop steeply from 206 in 2009 to 89 this time, it said.


    The NDA's projected tally showed the following break-up: BJP 202, Shiv Sena 15, Akali Dal 5, Republican Party of India (Athawale) 2, Swabhimani Paksha 1, National Peoples Party (NPP) 1, Haryana Janhit Congress 1. Total 227.

    The UPA's projected tally showed this break-up: Congress 89, Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) 5, Rashtriya Lok Dal (RLD) 1, Jharkhand Mukti Morcha (JMM) 2, Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) 2, National Conference 1, Kerala Congress (Mani) 1. Total 101.

    Others - parties which are either part of the Third Front or outside and Independents - were projected to get 215 seats, with the AIADMK taking the lion's share of 27 seats.

    The break-up for others: Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) 7, Samajwadi Party 20, Left Front 27, AIADMK 27, BSP 21, Trinamool Congress 24, Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) 12, Biju Janata Dal (BJD) 12, YSR Congress 13, Telangana Rashtra Samiti 10, Janata Dal-United (JD-U) 5, Telugu Desam Party (TDP) 10, DMK 5, Jharkhand Vikas Morcha 2, Janata Dal-S 2, Asom Gana Parishad (AGP) 0, Maharashtra Navnirman Sena (MNS) 1, Indian National Lok Dal (INLD) 1, Lok Janashakti Party (LJP) 1, MDMK 1, Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) 2, AUDF 1, Bodoland People's Front 1, Nationalist People's Front 1, Sikkim Democratic Front 1, Majlis Ittehadul Muslimeen 1, Independent 1. Total 215.

    The BJP and Lalu Prasad's RJD are going to upstage Nitish Kumar's JD-U in Bihar, winning 21 and 12 seats respectively, and relegating JD-U to only 5 seats, the survey said.

    The BJP is going to make a big comeback in Uttar Pradesh, winning 34 seats (up from 10 in 2009), followed by BSP 21, SP 20, Congress 4 and Ajit Singh's Rashtriya Lok Dal 1.

    Asked who they would prefer to elect prime minister between Rahul Gandhi and Narendra Modi, a whopping 59.1 percent of people in the survey opted for Modi, while 26.7 percent opted for Gandhi.

    Asked which alliance should form the next government, 47.2 percent preferred NDA, 35.1 percent preferred UPA, and only 3.7 percent preferred the Third Front, with the remaining saying they don't know.

    Delhi's ruling Aam Aadmi Party is projected to get 7 seats, 3 from Delhi, and one each from Haryana, Maharashtra, Karnataka and one union territory.

    Following is the state-wise break-up of the projected seats tally:

    Arunachal Pradesh: Congress 1, BJP 1. Total 2

    Assam: Congress 7, BJP 5, AUDF 1, BPF 1. Total 14

    Bihar: BJP 21, RJD 12, JD-U 5, LJP 1, Congress 1. Total 40

    Chhattisgarh: BJP 8, Congress 3. Total 11

    Goa: BJP 1, Congress 1. Total 2

    Haryana: BJP 6, Congress 1, INLD 1, Haryana Janhit Congress 1, AAP 1. Total 10

    Himachal Pradesh: BJP 3, Congress 1. Total 4

    Jammu and Kashmir: BJP 2, PDP 2, National Conference 1, Congress 1. Total 6

    Jharkhand: BJP 8, JMM 2, JVM 2, Congress 1, Independent 1. Total 14

    Karnataka: BJP 11, Congress 14, JD-S 2, AAP 1. Total 28

    Kerala: Left Front 9, Congress 7, BJP 1, IUML 2, Kerala Congress (Mani) 1. Total 20

    Madhya Pradesh: BJP 24, Congress 5. Total 29

    Maharashtra: Shiv Sena 15, BJP 15, Congress 8, NCP 5, RPI (Athawale) 2, MNS 1, Swabhimana Paksha 1, AAP 1. Total 48

    Manipur: Congress 1, Others 1. Total 2

    Meghalaya: Congress 1, NPP 1. Total 2

    Mizoram: Congress 1. Total 1

    Nagaland: NPF 1. Total 1

    Odisha: Biju Janata Dal 12, Congress 7, BJP 2. Total 21

    Punjab: Congress 6, Shiromani Akali Dal 5, BJP 2. Total 13

    Rajasthan: BJP 21, Congress 4. Total 25

    Sikkim: Sikkim Democratic Front 1. Total 1

    Tamil Nadu: AIADMK 27, DMK 5, DMDK 2, Congress 1, CPI 1, CPI-M 1, MDMK 1, VCK 1. Total 39.

    Tripura: CPI-M 2. Total 2

    Uttar Pradesh: BJP 34, Samajwadi Party 20, BSP 21, Congress 4, RLD 1. Total 80

    Uttarakhand: BJP 5, Congress 9. Total 5

    West Bengal: Trinamool Congress 24, Left Front 14, Congress 2, BJP 1, Others 1. Total 42

    Delhi: BJP 4, AAP 3, Congress 0. Total 7

    Union Territories: BJP 3, Congress 1, Others 1, AAP 1.
     
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  3. VIP

    VIP Ultra Nationalist Senior Member

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    No Gujarat in the list ??
     
  4. fallenwarrior

    fallenwarrior Regular Member

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    Ha Ha....

    Gujarat: its 22 out of 26 for BJP with a whooping nearly 54% voteshare.
     
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  5. nirranj

    nirranj Regular Member

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    AiADMK may well win the Puduchery Seat. So their tally may swell to 28.
     
  6. feathers

    feathers Tihar Jail Banned

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    BJP will get highest ever Lok Sabha tally, Congress lowest: Times Now poll - The Times of India

    NEW DELHI: The BJP could reach its highest tally ever and the Congress its lowest point, giving the NDA the best chance of forming the government after the Lok Sabha polls, though well short of a majority. That's the big picture emerging from the Times Now-CVoter national projection poll released on Thursday.

    The poll projected that the BJP would win 202 seats if the elections were held now and its allies another 25, giving the NDA 227 seats in the 543-member LS. The Congress, in sharp contrast, would sink to just 89 and even with 12 seats from its allies the UPA would barely cross the 100 mark, it predicted.

    With "others" likely to win 215 seats and many of them having joined hands with the BJP in the past, that would be very good news for those rooting for Narendra Modi as prime minister. In terms of vote shares, the NDA is estimated to win 36%, the UPA 22% and others 42%.

    AAP, whose performance in its first LS polls will be closely watched, is projected to win a total of seven seats, four of them from outside Delhi. It's vote share, the poll suggests would be about 8%, which would be larger than the vote share of any party other than the Congress or BJP in any recent LS election.
    Among the parties currently not aligned to either the Congress or the BJP parties, the AIADMK and the Left - which are in an alliance — are projected to win 27 seats each, the Trinamool Congress 24, the BSP 21 and SP 20.

    The decline in the Congress tally from 206 in 2009 to just 89 in the latest poll is a result of a pan-India collapse, with few exceptions. In Andhra Pradesh, the state that gave the Congress its biggest chunk of MPs (33) last time, the party is projected to win a mere six seats. Similarly, Uttar Pradesh could see just four Congress MPs against 21 last time and Rajasthan four against 20. States that are seen as bucking this trend are Karnataka - 14 against six - Chhattisgarh (three against one) and Orissa (seven against six).

    In contrast, the BJP's tally is seen to be rising in virtually all the states where it is a serious contender barring the three exceptions already mentioned. The saffron party's biggest gains are projected to come from Uttar Pradesh - 34 against 10 - Rajasthan (21 against four) and Bihar (21 against 12). Combined with more modest gains in other states, including those where it did well even last time, these are expected to raise the BJP's tally by 86 seats from the 116 it won in 2009.

    Among the others, significant gainers are the AIADMK, up from nine to 27; YSR Congress, from nil to 13; RJD, from four to 12; and TRS, from two to 10. The biggest losers, the poll predicts, are likely to be the JD(U), down from 20 to just five; DMK, from 18 to five; and NCP, from nine to five.

    AAP's seven seats, according to the poll, will include three from Delhi and one each from Haryana, Maharashtra, Karnataka and the union territories.
     
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  7. Sakal Gharelu Ustad

    Sakal Gharelu Ustad Detests Jholawalas Moderator

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    There is a Modi wave which I am sure will consolidate more votes in BJP favor. Expect anything 220+ for the NDA. It can even touch 250.
     
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  8. A chauhan

    A chauhan "अहिंसा परमो धर्मः धर्म हिंसा तथैव च: l" Senior Member

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    People need to be taught about the parties which support/possibly support Congress after election, they should also know that voting to left/third front parties is basically wasting the votes. Someone should make a list of such parties so that we can discuss in this thread.
     
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  9. sayareakd

    sayareakd Moderator Moderator

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    that will be still short of 272+, he is going to people to make him PM, if people dont give him mandate then what ?
     
  10. Sakal Gharelu Ustad

    Sakal Gharelu Ustad Detests Jholawalas Moderator

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    then its people's problem!
     
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  11. parijataka

    parijataka Senior Member Senior Member

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    @sayarreakd - Narendra Modi is the best possible option for PM in 2014 - take your pick from Lallu Prasad/Mamata/Mulayam/Sharad Pawar or Rahul Gandhi or Arvind Kejriwal...

    Possible he might not get the mandate but that will be the loss for the voter he is still the very successful CM of Gujarat !
     
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  12. sayareakd

    sayareakd Moderator Moderator

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    on the contrary it is his problem, anything short of 272 means people of India has rejected him. Therefore 272 is must for him if he wants to be PM, that is what he asked the people of India for.

    At least you must accept that mandate of people has to be accepted what ever numbers is given to him.
     
  13. Known_Unknown

    Known_Unknown Devil's Advocate Stars and Ambassadors

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    Weren't there similar "surveys" before the 2004 elections predicting a return to power of the BJP with even more seats than they had due to the predicted success of the "India Shining" campaign? :rofl:

    I don't know about the other states, but I think AAP will get far more than just 7 seats. Also, 30 seats for BJP+SS from Maharashtra out of 48, I'd like to know what dope they're smoking. :pound:
     
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  14. Simple_Guy

    Simple_Guy Regular Member

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    BJP on its own is getting over 200 seats. that is phenomenal.

    Two things can happen till elections. The Modi wave increases their numbers bit by bit towards simple majority, and more smaller parties join NDA alliance. They need allies from states like TN, WB, AP, Kerala, Karnataka.
     
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  15. Free Karma

    Free Karma Senior Member Senior Member

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    This aspect is talked about in the show, watch the show.

    There are a large majority of people who would like him to be pm, despite voting for local people. For example 60% of people who vote for TRS, TDP, 50% of the people in TN, despite majority of seats going to admk, so he does have the will of the people, but as local leaders matter, so they would vote a known face in the local areas but for the main pm post itself they would like Modi. That is quite interesting, sort of shows how due to fragmentation and regionalization the verdict in terms of seats might not really reflect what the people want.
     
    Last edited: Feb 14, 2014
  16. sayareakd

    sayareakd Moderator Moderator

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    Please read the Consti again, it says MPs elected will elect the PM, he says i am for the PM, if people reject him. He has got problem in his hand.
     
  17. Known_Unknown

    Known_Unknown Devil's Advocate Stars and Ambassadors

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    Arvind Kejriwal for PM in 2014! Bolo Aam Aadmi Party ki.....Jai!! @Singh
     
    Last edited by a moderator: May 10, 2015
  18. Sakal Gharelu Ustad

    Sakal Gharelu Ustad Detests Jholawalas Moderator

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    I am sure leechers would jump on his bandwagon for anything above 220. Then it will make a mandate!
     
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  19. sasi

    sasi Senior Member Senior Member

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    i think puduchery cm wants modi as pm. He may allay with bjp!
     
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  20. sasi

    sasi Senior Member Senior Member

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    so nobody has mandate? Wht're u suggesting?
     
  21. sayareakd

    sayareakd Moderator Moderator

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    you tell me people who have send MP has not elected BJP mp, so that Modi can be made PM, what it means.
     

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