N-League ahead of PTI, PPP: US survey

Discussion in 'Pakistan' started by Daredevil, Jan 29, 2013.

  1. Daredevil

    Daredevil On Vacation! Administrator

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    WASHINGTON: The latest US survey of public opinions in Pakistan reveals that PML-N is now the most popular party in the country, followed by PTI and PPP.

    The survey by the International Republican Institute also shows that the majority disapprove the creation of Southern Punjab province.

    The report on political parties includes a comparison of two recent surveys, showing their positions on national and provincial levels.

    Founded in 1983, the IRI is funded by the US government and conducts international political programmes and opinion polls.

    Their latest survey declares PML-N the favourite on national level, with 32 per cent approval. The PTI is second with 18 per cent and the PPP is third with 14 per cent. PML-Q and JUI-F have two per cent each.

    Asked if they would support the creation of a new province in Punjab, 21 per cent Pakistanis said they would, strongly. And 14 per cent said they would “somewhat” support it. Nine per cent said they “somewhat” opposed it while 41 per cent said they strongly opposed it. Fifteen
    per cent had no opinion.

    A similar poll in August 2012 showed 21 per cent Pakistanis strongly supported the creation of a new province in Punjab, 16 per cent backed it reluctantly, nine per cent said they “somewhat” opposed it and 42 per cent strongly opposed it. Twelve per cent had no opinion.

    A comparison of the last two surveys showed that the PML-N had 28 per cent popularity rate in August 2012 which increased to 32 per cent in the latest poll. PTI’s popularity rate decreased from 24 to 19 per cent. PPP retained its position with 14 per cent in both surveys.

    MQM also increased its support from 3 to 4 per cent. PML-Q maintained its 2 per cent while JUI-F’s increased from one to two per cent.

    In the previous poll, 18 per cent said they did not know which party to support while in the latest, 17 per cent remained uncommitted.

    In Punjab, PML-N increased its support from 43 to 49 per cent. PTI, however, receded from 27 to 19 per cent. PPP made a slight gain, from 7 to 8 per cent. PML-Q also gained one percentage point, from 2 to 3 per cent.

    In Sindh, PPP remains the most popular party, although its support base decreased from 39 to 32 per cent.

    MQM remains second as its support base increased from 11 to 16 per cent.

    PTI is third but its support base also shrank from 13 to 9 per cent.

    PML-N gained, from 6 to 8 per cent but PML-Q lost two points, from three to one per cent.

    In KPK, PTI remains the most popular party, gaining between August and November 2012, from 20 per cent to 32 per cent.

    PML-N gained three points, from 9 to 12 per cent.

    PPP maintained its 5 per cent support base while JUI-F improved from two to five per cent.The current ruling party, ANP, also gained two
    points, moving from one to three per cent.

    PML-Q showed a hundred per cent loss, from one per cent to zero.

    In Balochistan, PTI is ahead of other parties, although popular support for the party dropped by nine per cent, from 26 to 17. PPP made the biggest gain, from five to 18 per cent.

    JUI-F moved from four to eight per cent and PML-Q from three to five per cent.

    Field work for this poll was conducted by the Institute for Public Opinion Research, Islamabad. Oversight and analysis was provided by Robert Varsalone of Maven Public Affairs.

    A multi-stage probability sample was used. In the first stage, the sample was stratified into four provinces. In the second stage, the sample was further stratified into districts within each province by rural and urban categories. In the third stage, each district was further stratified by union councils.

    Face-to-face interviews were conducted. The interview teams comprised both men and women.

    Sample size: 4,997
    Eligibility: age 18 and older
    Margin of Error: ±1.4 per cent
    Response Rate: slightly more than 75 per cent.

    N-League ahead of PTI, PPP: US survey | Newspaper | DAWN.COM
     
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  3. Daredevil

    Daredevil On Vacation! Administrator

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    @farhan_9909 will be disappointed that PTI is far behind PML-N. Nawaz Sharif is way ahead and with some help from PPP might form the government in next elections unless interfered by PA.
     
    Last edited: May 10, 2015
  4. thakur_ritesh

    thakur_ritesh Administrator Administrator

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    The last time the IRI conducted the poll, sometime in July-August'12, and there was fall in the popularity graph of the PTI, Imran Khan did concede that there was indeed a fall in his party's popularity but not as much as the poll had shown, and now this is the second successive time the IRI has reported further slide in the PTI's popularity. The latest fall in popularity was noticed in a matter of mere 3 months.

    Further, post the show of strength by TuQ, there would have been further dent in his perceived vote bank. IK's party seems to have peaked way too early, than it should have, and now the "tsunami" seems to be on recede.

    I think the only real way out for him is if he is able to stitch up a decent alliance, even there for now it seems PML-n has taken the lead.
     
  5. Yusuf

    Yusuf GUARDIAN Administrator

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    PA will rig the elections.
     
  6. Bhadra

    Bhadra Defence Professionals Defence Professionals Senior Member

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    Thy always did and nothing has changed that they will not do it again.

    PPP and PML - N have suffred at the hands of PA so they will not be helped but PA will try and put their stooge Imran Khan on the seat..
     
  7. Blackwater

    Blackwater Veteran Member Veteran Member

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    Still shows pakistan still run by AAA

    America
    America
    Army

    :wave::wave::wave:
     
  8. Daredevil

    Daredevil On Vacation! Administrator

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    No, that's

    Allah, America and Army.
     
  9. Blackwater

    Blackwater Veteran Member Veteran Member

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    Sorry, Allah Tala is not in pakistan's picture any more

    I intentionally wrote that
     
  10. farhan_9909

    farhan_9909 Tihar Jail Banned

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    PMLN is still better than PPP.alot better

    but i wanted a true change as promised by Imran khan

    In
    *Education(5 times increase in budget)
    *7% average growth
    *Audit defence budget
    *increase tax to gdp ratio(in PMLN case they wont do this because majority of his party players as well him are business man and they themselves don't pa tax)
    *Stopping of WOT
    *No more drones

    lets see what happens
    my first preferrence remain IK
     
  11. Yusuf

    Yusuf GUARDIAN Administrator

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    Allah not on their side hats why they have lost all their wars and their country is in such a mess
     
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  12. thakur_ritesh

    thakur_ritesh Administrator Administrator

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    @farhan_9909

    I think, it would be a lot better to have NS as the PM than IK. On economic matters, NS is on the right, IK has center to left vision. Yes, the talk of a welfare state appeals a lot on the short term, but for developing economies like ours, India and Pakistan, we ought to venture and explore more economic reforms, liberalized economy, more job creation by the market than the state, with least government interference.

    Can you share a detailed analysis on the PTI's socio-economic vision. Thanks.
     
    Last edited by a moderator: May 10, 2015
  13. farhan_9909

    farhan_9909 Tihar Jail Banned

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    I agree about nawaz being better at economic level.what he sucks is at political wills like in kargil.we still occupied tiger hill but because of his running and crying to uncle sam we lost all the credit.

    Kargil was indeed a military victory but a big political defeat from nawaz

    Some points from imran khan economic policy

    Economic Policy: PTI lists down health, education and governance reforms – The Express Tribune

    Asad umar is a expect pakistan next finance minister if PTI wins

    Asad Umar - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
     
    Last edited by a moderator: May 10, 2015
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  14. Phenom

    Phenom Regular Member

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    Choose One.

    Both are not possible.
     
  15. farhan_9909

    farhan_9909 Tihar Jail Banned

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    who are you? :shocked:
     
  16. thakur_ritesh

    thakur_ritesh Administrator Administrator

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    In Kargil no one could have stuck on, no one. Think of the most hawkish name in Pakistan as the PM/president/dictator, and the result would have been an absolute ditto.

    It was NS' foolishness to have given a nod in a yes whenever he was briefed first, but then he might not have had much choice either, whatever the case, foolishness or an euphoric high or a pure compulsion. The only other option for Pakistan Army than a retreat was a full scale war that Pakistan could have ill afforded, nothing else, and when the world is at your doorsteps hounding, and you stand completedly isolated diplomatically, with an economy on the brink, heavily sanctioned after the nuke tests, with an enemy heavily armed ready for an all out onslaught, the options are as low as negligible.

    Anyways, on topic, NS, as I said, with a leaning towards the right on economic matters would make far more sense in the present economic situation Pakistan finds itself in.
     
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  17. Phenom

    Phenom Regular Member

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    someone who knows that the US would bleed you dry economically, if you force them to close the drone program.

    Special EU status for exports, IMF loan extensions and billions in aid, all are coming to Pakistan only because you let US bomb your own country.
     
  18. farhan_9909

    farhan_9909 Tihar Jail Banned

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    we are in repayment mode of IMF loan,not billions like india get 4billions per year on aid.we get only close to a billion.not even a billion

    we will accept anything but to cease relation with usa
    we just don't want them anymore.

    they have strucked us in a never ending war.the best they can do for us is to leave us alone

    beside this you don't know about imran khan.this is one of the most prime reason for his popularity..to recheck relation with USA.and don't dance on their tunes for a billion aid which never lends into something else other than the politicians pockets
     
  19. Blackwater

    Blackwater Veteran Member Veteran Member

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    you get 1.4 billion only by UK forget rest of the world

    He noted that Britain has allocated £1.4 billion under the new Operational Plan for Pakistan, making it the largest recipient of UK development assistance in the world.
    :taunt::taunt::taunt:
    http://defenceforumindia.com/forum/pakistan/47507-prime-minister-leaves-4-day-official-visit-uk.html
     
  20. thakur_ritesh

    thakur_ritesh Administrator Administrator

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    @farhan_9909

    Nice, some of the proposals are very well intended.

    Farhan, what is meant by “We want one education system for one nation.”, please explain.

    The report suggests, 'health spending will be increased from 0.86% of the GDP to 2.6% in a span five years', on education 'Increase in spending from 2% of GDP to 5% in five years' and 'Investment spending to rise to 21.4% of GDP by FY18 (12.4% in FY12)', what is the plan of action to achieve the same, this is a lot of money involved here, please share in details.

    Imran Khan also makes a point on slashing the defence budge, please details on that as well, thanks.
     
    Last edited by a moderator: May 10, 2015

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