Is Sharad Pawar attempting a coup in the UPA?

Discussion in 'Politics & Society' started by Daredevil, Jul 25, 2012.

  1. Daredevil

    Daredevil On Vacation! Administrator

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    Is Sharad Pawar attempting a coup in the UPA?

    Seeking to create a pressure group in the ruling United Progressive Alliance to take on the Congress, Nationalist Congress Party chief Sharad Pawar on Tuesday called up Trinamool Congress chief Mamata Banerjee , Samajwadi Party president Mulayam Singh Yadav and Dravida Munetra Kazhagam chief M Karunanidhi .

    Pawar reportedly sought their help to send across a message to the Congress that it cannot run the administration as if it was a Congress government.

    DMK leader T R Baalu also called on Pawar following a direction from Karunanidhi to understand the latter's sudden tiff with the Congress.

    Pawar told him that the Congress cared less for the allies, refusing to even respond to constructive suggestions given by him in letters to UPA chairperson Sonia Gandhi [ Images ] and Prime Minister Manmohan Singh last week.

    Insiders speculate that Pawar may toy with the idea of leading a Third Front in the 2014 election with some constituents of the UPA and the Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance.

    Notwithstanding repeated threats of quitting the UPA government, a desperate Pawar's aides -- Praful Patel and D P Tripathi -- are ringing up senior Congress leaders to work out a compromise formula.

    They were told that the Congress can consider political demands, but not when they are linked with the demand that allies must have a share in the posts like the governors, ambassadors and bank directors.

    Congress sources said the NCP's latest threat on Tuesday to pull down the coalition government in Maharashtra by breaking the 13-year alliance did not go down well with the party leadership.

    Pawar is only weakening his own case by trying to blackmail the Congress to act on his terms, the sources added.
     
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  3. addiction

    addiction Regular Member

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    this man....na state ka bana, na party ka.... na centre ka...dont know how long he is going to play politics..
     
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  4. Ray

    Ray The Chairman Defence Professionals Moderator

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    Pawar is a slippery eel.

    Anything can happen.

    But then I would blame it on the total confusion that the UPA leadership is in.

    Creating one crisis after another without any resolve to stem the rot!

    God Bless us!
     
  5. sob

    sob Moderator Moderator

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    Sharad Pawar is neither a heavyweight in his state neither at the center. With 4 MPs he is slightly better off than Laloo Yadav.

    He tried to capatalise on a hung Parliament but forgot the elementary rules of arithmetic that 4/543 means you are a very marginal player. Mamata/SP with 22 MPs have a much bigger clout than Pawar. Madam has also not forgotten the time when Pawar raised the foreigner bogey and split from the Congress.

    OTOH in Maharashtra if the Thackeray cousins join hands together then along with BJP, Congress NCP will be forced to sit in the opposition benches for the next 5 years and that spell the doom for NCP.
     
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  6. Galaxy

    Galaxy Elite Member Elite Member

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    @sob

    A small mistake. NCP has 9 loksabha MP's including Sangma daughter Ms. Agatha Sangma.
     
  7. Iamanidiot

    Iamanidiot Elite Member Elite Member

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    Pawar is trying to go for a negaotiation wet to maharasthra elections me thinks
     
  8. sob

    sob Moderator Moderator

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    Galaxy, thanks for correcting the figures.

    However the problem with Pawar is that he does not have anything to bargain except his position in the Cabinet.
     
  9. Galaxy

    Galaxy Elite Member Elite Member

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    Sharad Pawar has long term strategy to become PM.

    1> Pawar has good relation with Shiv-Sena. NCP wants MNS and SS to come together so that SS+MNS can win 15-20 seats in next parliament election. That is the reason, Both Raj and Uddhav met recently. Remember, The gain of SS+MNS is not loss of NCP but loss of Congress. Example : SS+MNS will win 6-8 seats extra mainly in Mumbai, Nashik, etc. where Congress won last time. SS doesn't interfere in Pawar bastion Marathwada and NCP doesn't interfere in SS bastion Mumbai region.

    2> Pawar knows very well that he cannot become PM if third front comes in power. Reason - He can't beat Mulayam or Mayawati or Mamta or Nitish or Jaylalitha in number game. All these leaders will win 15-30 seats. NCP cannot win more than 10-12 seats that also in best case scenario. So, he wants Shiv-Sena+NCP so that NCP+SS+MNS will have 25-30 MP's. In return, Mah CM will be from SS and NCP will work in favour of SS+BJP.

    3> If BJP fails to win 170+ seats, in that case........NCP will ask support from BJP. SS+AIADMK+BJD+SAD+ 4-5 other parties and he might become PM.

    BJP will support him for 2 reasons. 1) It's better to support Pawar + Like minded party rather Mulayam/others. (Mulayam is Congress game plan in 3rd front scenario). Congress want to rule by proxy of Mulayam. 2) Pawar will work against Congress and in 2-3 years time, Mid-term poll will be announced and BJP will come in power.
     
    Last edited: Jul 25, 2012
  10. Ray

    Ray The Chairman Defence Professionals Moderator

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    He sure does have - Maharastra.

    Without an alliance with the NCP, Maharastra will be lost to the BJP - SS combine!

    In the the Parliament and in the State!

    And the Congress is on a sticky wicket at the Centre as also the State (where MLAs have written a no confidence in the present CM letter to the Congress satrap).
     
    Last edited: Jul 25, 2012
  11. sob

    sob Moderator Moderator

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    Sir, if NCP-congress loose Maharashtra then it will be the end of NCP. Without a home base where will they get money to survive as a party.

    Look what has happened to Laloo, after decimation from Bihar, he is almost finished more like a lapdog to the madam.
     
  12. Ray

    Ray The Chairman Defence Professionals Moderator

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    NCP will not lose Maharastra.

    But the Congress without NCP will lose Maharastra.

    Sharad Pawar is a force to reckon with in the Sugar belt and he is taken by the Marathas to be a 'tall' leader.

    The Congress leaders are no patch to his stature and the Vidharbha and Osmanabad belt are not quite enamoured by the Congress leadership!
     
    Last edited: Jul 25, 2012
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  13. Galaxy

    Galaxy Elite Member Elite Member

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    Sir, SS + BJP + MNS + RPI will sweep Maharashtra poll irrespective of NCP-CONG alliance.

    Last time BJP-SS lost all 6 seats in Mumbai because MNS got 1 Lakh vote in all 6 constituency. NDA lost around 10 seats because of infighting between Raj and Uddhav. Also, Anti-incumbuncy is very strong today due to numerous corruption charges (State and centre) + Congress lost all it's card (All it's leader are facing corruption charges) + Vidarbha farmer issue + internal fight.
     
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  14. Iamanidiot

    Iamanidiot Elite Member Elite Member

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    How are people so certain Raj and Uddhav will unite
     
  15. nrj

    nrj Stars and Ambassadors Stars and Ambassadors

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    That is right.

    Sent via Tapatalk from a galaxy far far away
     
  16. panduranghari

    panduranghari Senior Member Senior Member

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    And that is more likely to happen looking at how things are panning out in Mumbai anyway.
     
  17. sob

    sob Moderator Moderator

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    Today Bal Thackeray was admitted to Lilavati Hospital and is in ICU undergoing tests.

    Watch out as the SS-MNS drama unfolds.
     
  18. Daredevil

    Daredevil On Vacation! Administrator

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    Congress-NCP came back to power in last Maharashtra elections solely due to split of SS_BJP traditional votes by MNS. If SS-MNS merge together, it will be bye bye for Congress-NCP in next elections.

    Same thing happened in Andhra Pradesh. YS Rajashekhar Reddy, the then Congress CM split the anti-incumbency votes using Chiranjeevi's Praja Rajyam party which got 17% votes and now his party merged with Congress. Congress is very shrewd in doing politics and getting elected by splitting votes of the opposition using some or the other bogey party.
     
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  19. Iamanidiot

    Iamanidiot Elite Member Elite Member

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    This time in AP .The Congress will get Jagan and TRS get merged in the party.Telangana is a goner as long as Pranab is the president
     
  20. KS

    KS Bye bye DFI Veteran Member

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    Actually he is one of the important people of MH politics and his party has a good cadre base in the Pune-Satara belt...
     
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  21. sob

    sob Moderator Moderator

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    But outside this belt he is a lightweight. His influence in the Vidharba, Konkan and Mumbai is practically zero. On his own he cannot win Maharashtra.
     

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