Is North Korea Developing Sea-Based Ballistic Missiles?

Discussion in 'Indo Pacific & East Asia' started by sorcerer, Oct 30, 2014.

  1. sorcerer

    sorcerer Senior Member Senior Member

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    Evidence from satellite imagery suggests that North Korea is actively developing sea-based ballistic missile

    According to a new report from 38 North, the blog of the U.S.-Korea Institute at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS), North Korea could be developing a sea-based or submarine-launched ballistic missile (SLBM) capability. 38 North bases its claims, as usual, on commercial satellite imagery analysis, which identifies a “new test stand at the North’s Sinpo South Shipyard, probably intended to explore the possibility of launching ballistic missiles from submarines or of a shipboard vertical launch ballistic missile capability.” Nothing in the report or information available on North Korea’s weapons development programs suggests that the country is anywhere close to fielding this capability in the near-term, but it nonetheless will add to South Korean and U.S. concerns about North Korea’s future plans.

    Based on satellite imagery, the author of the 38 North report, Joseph S. Bermudez Jr.,identifies a naval shipyard and research center with a test stand that meets the size and dimension requirements for sea-based missile testing — specifically, emulating a submarine or surface ship launch tube. The 38 North report is in line with reports based on U.S. intelligence findings that North Korea is looking into SLBMs. Earlier this year, Bill Gertz at the Washington Free Beacon reported that “a missile launch tube on a North Korean submarine was observed recently by U.S. intelligence agencies.”

    The 38 North report notes that while it seems likely that the North is looking into sea-based ballistic missiles, it remains unclear if it has made any headway into developing a variant of its Musudan, Nodong or KN-02 Scud ballistic missiles. The author of the report notes that “if North Korea could access vertical or torpedo-launched cruise missile technology, these might present the easiest and fastest routes to a submarine launch missile capability.”

    Critically, an SLBM capability would prove a game-changer if and when North Korea successfully manages to miniaturize a nuclear device and install it onto a reliable delivery vehicle. In such a scenario, the North would have gained a survivable second-strike capability. Although the technological challenge of doing so remains large for North Korea, there is no reason to believe that this isn’t Pyongyang’s ultimate objective.

    Submarines are an integral part of North Korea’s military force. The Korean People’s Navy operates more submarines than any other country on earth, though many of these submarines are antiquated. North Korea nonetheless employs an asymmetric submarine doctrine against the South Korean navy which maintains a far superior, if less numerous, submarine force.

    More pics avaliable here North Korea: Test Stand for Vertical Launch of Sea-Based Ballistic Missiles Spotted | 38 North: Informed Analysis of North Korea

    Source:Is North Korea Developing Sea-Based Ballistic Missiles? | The Diplomat
     
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  3. sesha_maruthi27

    sesha_maruthi27 Senior Member Senior Member

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    It is a shame for India if India cannot develop an SLBM before North Korea does. :tsk::tsk::tsk:
     
  4. SajeevJino

    SajeevJino Long walk Elite Member

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    we have Operation SLBM .. known as K4
     
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  5. blueblood

    blueblood Senior Member Senior Member

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    Steaming pile of BS.

    North Korea is yet to master a number of basic technologies so SLBMs are a far cry for them. Since Cold War is long since over and with China making pals with the South both funding and tech know won't be finding it's way to Kim the pig.

    But fear mongering is very helpful to the American MIC.
     
  6. anupamsurey

    anupamsurey Regular Member

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    do they have expertise to do so, or it is just another chineese , paki or russian missile with NK's paint JOB.
     
  7. bengalraider

    bengalraider DFI Technocrat Stars and Ambassadors

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    North Korea bought around a dozen old golf's early in the nineties, they may have been able to get hold of one or two old RF11M missiles as well during that time. The RF11 is essentially a scud that has been modified for SLBM use. The DPRK has been building scuds domestically for at least two decades now,it was believed in some circles that the RF 11 was not reverse engineered due to a lack of funds and the need for international support during the nineties and early 2000s.
    I believe that the Chinese might be funding the refurbishment and eventual deployment of at least one DPRK GOLF SSB as a wildcard against the USN. it would also be an effective smokescreen to transfer a RF 11 based SLBM to the Pakistani military without drawing much attention to Beijing.
    It is also noteworthy to remember that the Chinese SLBM programme was developed using the GOLF SSB as a testing platform.
    Also the DPRK NODONG missile was built using the details of soviet R-21 SLBMs as the base of design.
    The DPRK has shown an incredible capacity to absorb reengineer and deploy soviet missiles, I would take this SLBM threat seriously.
     
    Last edited: Oct 31, 2014
  8. bengalraider

    bengalraider DFI Technocrat Stars and Ambassadors

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    Aur contraire dear anupamsurey it is the Pakistani military that poses next to painted DPRK nodongs and calls them ghauri. :rolleyes:
     
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  9. anupamsurey

    anupamsurey Regular Member

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    yes pakis did exchange stolen nuclear technology for missile technology ...all are eggs from the same basket
     
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  10. sorcerer

    sorcerer Senior Member Senior Member

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    That seems a probable logic
     
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  11. sesha_maruthi27

    sesha_maruthi27 Senior Member Senior Member

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    This is a grave threat considering the point that the design might be transferred or for that matter the missile in its completed form can be given to pakistan. India should do something to see it that pakistan does not get the design or the missile from NK.....
     
  12. sorcerer

    sorcerer Senior Member Senior Member

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    As a rule we should not under estimate our enemies or any other country, friend or foe. War has its own dynamics. Its better to be prepared and way ahead of the rest of the world in defence capabilities.
     
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  13. bengalraider

    bengalraider DFI Technocrat Stars and Ambassadors

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