Indian Foreign Policy Under Prime Minister Modi

Decklander

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I don't think BJP will get a majority on thier own, but the recent Headlines Today survey shows around 220/230 for NDA with Modi as PM. I guess, by the election time, this number would rise by another 15-20. So with NDA with 235/250 seats. With AIDMK's support the tally is around 275/280. I believe in such a scenario, many smaller parties will also join NDA to take the tally to something close to 300

Such a situation should allow Modi to take tough decisions on Pakistan and other nations (Except SL-Tamil issue)
IMHO, as we come close to elections, it will turn into a two cornered fight NAMO v/s Rest. A complete polarisation with smaller regional parties being reduced to "Also Ran" category. Compared to other coalition govts that we had till now, It is my estimate that now electorate will vote in such a manner that we have much smaller partners in a coalition. Sukhbir Badal had stated that it is going to be a tidal wave in favour of NAMO and I agree. Let the cresendo build up, let the clarion call for battle be made. The young educated voter of India will decide the future of this nation. You must realise that this young voter knows the diff between state elections and national elections.
 

Ray

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might not be today may be later he can be pm
When that happens, then one could discuss.

Currently, it is mere energetic and maybe even motivated speculations!

What astounds me is that the TV is only discussion Modi as if he is already on the way to be the PM.

And what surprises me is that the non BJP elements are an overdrive as if they have thrown in the towel and are merely growling with seething anger driven by some imagined fear!

That Sanjay dot com of the Congress is really doing disservice to the Congress Party. Maybe he is new to his task and so he is trying to prove he is more loyal to the King than the King himself. A more matured and calm attitude would do a better job in taking on the BJP representative than the manner in which he is going.
 
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thakur_ritesh

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Modi is far from becoming the PM.

The game for now seems more a case of hypothetically presenting Modi as the face of the BJP as that will garner the BJP maximum number of seats but the hyperbole around him is enough to make sure he will only be the unspoken choice but never the real deal. The feud within the BJP is enough to make sure Modi will never get to be the PM, and then the rhetoric around the secular politics would only help distance the BJP from the other allies.

As I see it, Modi is being used and no more, and his becoming the PM could only be possible if the BJP garners 200 odd seats, all on its own.

Why is there no mention of how India under NaMo would interact with China?
From what I gather, if there is one political figure the Chinese appreciate for his administrative capabilities, it certainly is Modi. Modi has had good relations with the Chinese, and if by chance he does make it as the PM, my sense is, Indo-Sino relations should improve.

If we do have him as the PM, then for a change we will have a decisive leader and over all a much assertive foreign policy. Heck, India would be lot more engaging than has been over the past 9 years, and the FP a lot more well directed.
 

t_co

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@thakur_ritesh

What I fear is that NaMo would aspire to become more assertive in the foreign policy realm, but that he would be hamstrung by domestic political opponents when he tries to turn those aspirations into reality. Such a combination would scare China vs. India without producing enough political coherence for India and China to reach a real agreement on anything of substance. In the end, it would lead to a "hard hedge" from China, as they see India repeatedly huffing and puffing while displaying too much schizophrenia in policymaking to actually make a deal with.
 
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amoy

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a glance at pics of pro BJP radicals burning Chinese flags and kicking Chinese dolls is enough of a wake-up call for the animosity on the other side behind the iron curtain. is their Hindutva any different from madrasa doctrines? with or without NaMo Indian FP wont make any difference for China!

Sent from my 5910 using Tapatalk 2
 

opesys

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Sukerchakia

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1. All depends on co-alition partners, the number of seats BJP wins, and the prevailing international atmosphere.
2. BJP historically is high on rhetoric, low on action. Kargil, Kandhar hijacking, Parliament Attack etc.
3. Most importantly if Indian economy is booming, nobody will oppose us. If we are in a recession, the West will chastise us.
Couldnt agree more. BJP or NDA is yet to win the election and people are already on about the foreign policy under Modi.

There's a saying in Punjabi, "pind waseya ni, mangte pehlan hi aa gaye'
 

Ray

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Couldnt agree more. BJP or NDA is yet to win the election and people are already on about the foreign policy under Modi.

There's a saying in Punjabi, "pind waseya ni, mangte pehlan hi aa gaye'
Isn't it interesting that the domestic and the international media are already assuming Modi will be the PM?

What about the highly touted natural beholder to the throne, Rahul Gandhi?

Neither the domestic nor the international media is giving the poor boy even half a line!

Are the Tea Leaves and Tarot cards of the Intelligence agencies around the world that confident as to feel that Modi will be the natural choice in 2014?

As far as Coalition politics goes, it matters not which political party is close to behold the PM's chair.

Vultures always congregate where it is fruitful for existence!

The quality of the carcass does not matter!
 
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opesys

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Couldnt agree more. BJP or NDA is yet to win the election and people are already on about the foreign policy under Modi.

There's a saying in Punjabi, "pind waseya ni, mangte pehlan hi aa gaye'
>>>1. All depends on co-alition partners, the number of seats xxx wins, and the prevailing international atmosphere.
This is true for all big political parties!

>>>2. XXX historically is high on rhetoric, low on action. XXX, XXX hijacking, XXX Attack etc.
This is true for all big political parties!

>>>>3. Most importantly if Indian economy is booming, nobody will oppose us. If we are in a recession, the West will chastise us.
Again this is true for all big political parties!

Mind you Modi himself has never talked about seeing as the PM let alone the future imaginative foreign policies!!
 
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anoop_mig25

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1. All depends on co-alition partners, the number of seats BJP wins, and the prevailing international atmosphere.
2. BJP historically is high on rhetoric, low on action. Kargil, Kandhar hijacking, Parliament Attack etc.
3. Most importantly if Indian economy is booming, nobody will oppose us. If we are in a recession, the West will chastise us.
I donot get it why people blame Kargil, Kandhar hijacking, Parliament Attack on BJP . i mean what did u expect to do them go on bresek and nuke pak.

1)Kargil . yes it was intelligence failure but then gov of the day did best , they never crossed LoC and that helped them International support and if i assume even a defacto IB when president clienton declared that Lines(= LoC) cannot be changed through blood.

2)Khanhdar hijacking . all what could had done (aka militrary action) within Indian boundary and that too at Punjab only where plane had landed but then flew shortly.Indecision of GoV at that time lead higjackars to run away.Even militraty action would had required specialised team to arrive.One cannot expect local crpf/police to hold on hjackers, would had blown plane on first bullet begin fired. NatGeo documentotry shows that Nation security adviser of that time saying that Indian GoV had requested UAE autorities to give them permission for militraray action but it was denied (What would had their reaction if plane was western one)

Even if at that moment there would had been left front headed GoV or even congress they would had done same thing.

3)Parliament attack yes that was stupid one to get your army at borders and then do nothing but that execrise brought flaws like taking more time to reach borders and others and i hope this flaws may have been rectified by now.

4)And what does etc in end of that statement means , which where others can u post.


On topic lets wait and see if NaMo helps bjp to achieve 230+ plus seat then it would be NaMo all way.

If it within 170 and less then 200 then it would be some one from RSS camp but not advani camp or modi .after all they are to terrified of Modi but wont reveal it now.

If BJP fails this time to form GoV then its game over for Modi

RSS is just testing Modi whether he can deliver it or not .if he can then he can have this trophy and if no then he is dommoed
 
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thakur_ritesh

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@t_co

I would imagine, Modi would be more assertive than be aggressive. Till the time he is being assertive, there shouldn't be much problem for any, for rationality reigns high then. The reason I say this, the work he and his associates have done in the state they govern has been pretty good considering the amount of hardships one would face right from bureaucracy to the man on the street, considering both are highly corrupt, with the former believing in creating more obstacles than solutions and the latter expecting miracles. Of the lot we have in India, he is definitely one of the better performers, results do speak for him, though, I wouldn't call him out as the best since the figures point at a few who have done better but are not as highlighted.

About the rhetoric, unfortunately the nature of politics in India is such that things get blown out of proportions, is based on divisions, highly emotive rhetoric and most importantly, the electorate in India is a pretty emotional lot, so if irrationality is doing rounds at a given time rather than correcting the tone of the dialogue, the politician more believes in going with the flow so Modi is not the lone criminal, also please consider, the media is very belligerent and anti-Modi, so even with all the figures talking in his favor, he and his team have had to resort to emotive rhetoric at times but then as we all know, the practical world is far different from all such rhetoric and all such talk is kept for public space, than for strategic circles, so I would like to feel, it will be practical and rational decisions that will take the lead.

I would like to highlight, when the BJP last came to govern, India was faced with Kandahar highjack, kargil war and a parliament attack, and the pointers of people carrying out terror attacks was all directed to Pakistani state actors, but still if ever there were the best of relations between India and Pakistan in the last 2 decades, it certainly was under the BJP. May I also mention, the only time India and the PRC came closer to resolving border disputes was again when the same BJP government was there. The last thing here, the foreign policy followed under the last BJP government does get highly rated and India overall then was able to make strong inroads across most important countries and don't forget the nuke explosions as a background which then had attracted heavy sanctions from all these nation states. One of the high points of that government was indeed their foreign policy.

All that is being said about Modi today, is exact the same that was being said about the BJP back in the 90s and history shows us a different side to them which is far more rational than that was portrayed.

The BJP compared to the Congress is more practical, decisive and sure footed, and Modi should be seen as one such example from the BJP.

Let me add, the opposition, the Congress I, has a lot to do with these articles surfacing in international journals, not so independent opinions one would expect to read.

There shouldn't be much problem that I can foresee here.
 
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Bangalorean

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@thakur_ritesh

That was an excellent response.
And t_co, I have told you before - the Hindu right wing in India - Modi, Subramanian Swamy, etc. are going to be much better for Sino-Indian relations than the Congress. Modi has been to China in the past and has had very successful and productive business dealings with the Chinese government and Chinese enterprises. Because Modi is pro-business, and wants to get tangible stuff done. Subramanian Swamy is a China scholar of repute, well-known even in CCP circles, and he has been involved in dealing with China from the late 1970s and commands a lot of respect in Chinese CCP circles.

Chinese posters who parrot the line of "Hindu nationalism is dangerous and fascist" don't really have knowledge of ground realities for one thing, and they are thoroughly inspired by the Paki narrative. Pakis find Hindu nationalism a threat, because Hindu nationalists are hostile towards Pakistan and suspicious towards Muslims in general. On the other hand, they are more open and liberal towards China. On the other hand, so-called "secular parties" like the SP want to mollycoddle Muslims for their "vote bank", and are more hostile towards China.

It never fails to surprise me when Chinese express support for so-called Indian "secular parties" and distrust the Hindu right-wing. The Pakis can do that, understandably so, and most Chinese who express such views are simply inspired by the Paki narrative.
 
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