Indian Economy: News and Discussion

tharun

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Debt of both central and state as percentage to GDP
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ezsasa

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Economists and subject matter experts were invited to Niti aayog today for a brain storming workshop to give suggestions to Govt.

Let's see, how many suggestions make it to policy.

 

Indx TechStyle

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Gujarat Vibrates On Development With Foreign Investment, Despite Demonetization
Location of Gujarat in India. Source: Wikipedia Commons.
The Vibrant Gujarat – Modi magic to mesmerize foreign investors – is upbeat amidst demonetization mayhem. Foreign investors are unnerved. 8th series of Vibrant Gujarat, to be held in January 2017, is expected to glitter with the overwhelming participation of foreign investors. 7th series of Vibrant Gujarat was attended by delegates from 110 countries. Almost similar or even more number of countries are expected to attend the 8th summit, embracing high hopes for investment, which are bolstered by upsurge in Indian GDP – the highest in the world.
Gujarat, despite being a geopolitical investment risk zone because of its bordering with Pakistan and engulfed by the desert on the western front, excelled all the states in India in attracting foreign investment . It also edged out Chinese key investment zones in alluring foreign investment. In 2015, FDI projects announced in green-field projects in Gujarat was US $ 13.4 billion, which left behind Maharashtra ( US$ 8.3 billion) and Karnataka ( US$ 4.9 billion ) and the Chinese key zones like Shanghai Municipality ( US $ 10.6 billion ), Guangdong ( US $ 4.5 billion ) and , Jiangsu ( US$ 9.53 billion), according to Financial Times’ think tank FDI Intelligence,
The FDI investment in Gujarat (based on green-field projects announced) witnessed a three-fold jump within five years. Till 2011, Gujarat was the place for conventional industries. Textiles , dye intermediates and pharmaceutical were the major industries under private sector.
The year 2012 was the watershed for industrial revolution in Gujarat under the Chief Minister –ship of Narendra Modi. Gujarat earned the legacy for foreign investment. There was a dramatic accession in FDI in Gujarat.
The success story of Gujarat as FDI legacy started with Japanese giant Maruti-Suzuki deciding to set up a giant automobile plant in the state. Besides Maruti-Suzuki, a slew of other auto MNCs, like Ford, General Motors and Honda ( two-wheeler) are in the queue to shift their expansion plans in Gujarat. Along with auto giants, a number of auto parts companies with Japanese joint ventures are likely to set up their manufacturing units in Gujarat.
The traditional industries were left in the back -foot and the modern industries made a jump start with larger participation of foreign investment. The faster growth in automobile, telecommunication and metallurgy are the cases in point. Gujarat is set to become a new hub for automobile , leaving behind Haryana and Tamilnadu.
Why did Gujarat outplay others in garnering FDI and infused a momentum in the growth of manufacturing under the leadership of Mr Narendra Modi, as Chief Minister. The crucial factors to enliven foreign investors were creation of investment friendly bureaucracy and the availability of land. Red tape in India , which triggered xenophobia among foreign investors in the world market, tapered with the timely approvals and better governance in Gujarat. In a joint survey by World Bank and DIPP (Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion, India) , Gujarat topped in India in Ease of Doing Business in 2014-15.
Gujarat achieved a commendable success in electricity supply. All villages in Gujarat are now connected with electricity. No State has been successful to provide electricity to all villages in their respective state. Mr Modi’s is Jyotigram Yojana (Planning for all electricity) turned a big success for electricity supply in the State.
In non-conventional energy, Gujarat has become the country leader. It emerged the leader for solar energy in the country. It contributes two-third to the total solar energy produced in the country. It established Asia’s largest Solar Park in Charanka village in Patan district. Gujarat is the second biggest producer of wind energy in the country. It contributes about 15% to the total wind energy produced in the country.
Another attraction for investment , created during Mr Modi’s regime , was the set up of a major port by Adani group, namely Mundra Port. With the initiative of Mr Modi, the first private sector major port, Mundra Port, was set up in 2005. This opened up a big channel for trade and commerce in Gujarat. Hitherto, Kandla Port in Gujarat, established by Central Government, was dealing with government imports, such as oil and refinery products.
Mr Modi introduced a novel scheme for manufacturing development, known as Special Investment Region scheme for industries. The scheme was statutorily enacted by The Gujarat Special Investment Regions Act 2009. Under this scheme, 13 potential areas were identified for promote industrial projects. Each SIR is more than 100 square KM . DMIC area covering Gujarat will be one of these potential areas. Another important SIR is Dhorela Special Investment Region. It is located proximity to Ahemdabd- the capital of Gujarat – at distance of 109 km. The unique feature of Dholera is that it is the first SIR to be designed under the proposed DMIC project.
Mr Modi also focused on city development and mass transport system. He took initiative to introduce BRTS ( Bus Rapid Transport System ) in Ahmedabad to provide better transport system for the rising population in the city. It started its operation on October 14, 2009. It should be noted that Gujarat does not have metro facilities. Probably, BRTS is a substitute for metro for the time being.
Today, in the industrial map of the country, Gujarat beams with land of manufacturing. It contributes about 16% to the country’s industrial output . Manufacturing in Gujarat accounts for about 27 percent its GDP, against the national average of 15. It scored highest GDP growth of 12 percent in 2015-16 against the national average of 7.5 `percent. One can thus see that Gujarat is today a challenge to other states and foreign investment in Gujarat acted as catalysis for the challenge.
 

tharun

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USA health care contributes 17.5% to gdp..and India only 4-5%
And their health care budget is about $1 Trillion...
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APPLE SEEKING LOWER TAXES TO MAKE IPHONE IN INDIA

Apple wants India to offer tax concessions on iPhones that the company plans to manufacture in the country, a person with knowledge of the matter said.

The company wrote to the industry ministry last month seeking lower import and manufacturing duties, the person said, asking not to be identified citing rules on speaking to the media.

The concessions should continue even after the government rolls out its goods and services tax which is expected to subsume all existing tariffs, the person said.

The Cupertino, California-based manufacturer of iPads and iPhones is keen to kick-start operations in the world’s fastest growing phone market as growth slows in countries such as China.

Apple trails rivals selling cheaper handsets in the $2 trillion Indian economy and producing devices in the country could accelerate the roll out of its iconic retail stores to capture burgeoning demand in India.

Apple’s path toward a bigger slice of Indian sales hasn’t been smooth. Its application to open stores was rejected as it fell foul of local rules that typically require at least 30 percent of components to be made locally before a foreign company can sell through their own outlets.

Apple makes most of its products in China and doesn’t currently meet that criteria.

Apple’s spokesman in India, and Mattu J.P. Singh, a spokeswoman at India’s Commerce and Industry Ministry didn’t immediately respond to emails seeking comment.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi wants companies to make products in the country as part of his ‘Make in India’ policy, aimed at reaping the benefits that come from manufacturing facilities and jobs.

His administration doesn’t want technology companies to sell products and take advantage of its vast consumer base without making their own capital investments.

The company wants to start discussions with the tax department on future liability on its India earnings, the person said. It has also sought competitive advantages compared to other economies where they are already manufacturing.

While Foxconn – Apple’s main manufacturing partner – has expressed plans to assemble phones in the country for brands like China’s Xiaomi, most iPhones are put together in China. The Taiwanese company only began making its first smartphones in India in the middle of 2015.

http://mumbaimirror.indiatimes.com/...make-iphone-in-india/articleshow/56260700.cms
 

SANITY

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Positive on India; trade war with China a bad idea for US: Faber
Swiss investor Marc Faber is positive on India in the long term and says the agriculture and food sectors look attractive.

Swiss investor and Editor & Publisher of 'The Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, Marc Faber is positive on India in the long term and says the agriculture and food sectors look attractive.

"I think the market became oversold a week ago and we can rebound somewhat here. I do not think that the global markets will go up strongly," Faber said in an interview to CNBC-TV18.

For global markets, he sees the biggest risk from geopolitical events. It is a bad idea for US to pick trade war with China. US consumer would suffer more from the trade war, said Faber.

According to Faber, US President-elect Donald Trump inherits hugely inflated asset markets, which too pose a risk to the US market.

US stock market has significantly outperformed other markets and it leaves it vulnerable to adjustment, he says.

Below is the transcript of Marc Faber’s interview to Anuj Singhal and Sonia Shenoy on CNBC-TV18.

Sonia: We have big events lined up in India this month, there is earnings, there is the Budget and of course, we are still reeling under the aftermath of the demonetisation impact, something that you spoke about earlier where you said that you do not support it. What is your view on India now for at least the next six months?

A: I think the market became oversold a week ago and we can rebound somewhat here. I do not think that the global markets will go up strongly. We had actually, last year, some very strong rebounds in Russia up 56 percent in dollar terms, Brazil up 66 percent in dollar terms and then we had in Asia many markets that were up between 15 and 30 percent. I do not think this will be repeated next year. But obviously, we have this huge liquidity in the world and whenever somebody will sell something, he will buy something else. In other words, if people sell the US dollar, if people sell the US stock market, they can reinvest the proceeds somewhere else.

Anuj: In emerging markets (EM), where would India rank right now because 2016 was one of the few years where Indian market actually underperformed the EM universe by quite a margin?

A: Yes, it is not the first time that India has underperformed, but I think the outlook, longer-term and I am a long-term investor, I look ahead at 5-10 years, there are great opportunities. But I would like to point out to one thing about markets. In the last few years, there has been a trend to indexation. In other words, you just buy the index in a market. And you hope that the index will go up and the institutions by the indices because the costs are low, associated with exchange traded funds ( ETF ) that follow index. Whereas, active management, the fees are higher and in the last few years, the active managers have by and large, underperformed the market.

But this is going to change. If I look at last year, some sectors, and as I just pointed out, some markets have performed very well and in India it is a case of not necessarily owning the index, but owning individual sectors, as was the case in other markets last year. In the US, energy was the best performing sector and other sectors did not perform very well, say the high flyers, Netflix, Facebook, Amazon, in the second half of the year, they underperformed or even went down. So, I believe it is more a question, rather than to worry about where will the market go, but to question what sectors will do best.

And before, you had someone on your station that talked about agriculture and food stocks. I think this is a sector that is actually attractive because agricultural commodity prices are depressed, they have been going down since 2011-2012 and started to move up last year with sugar almost doubling. So there is a play in agricultural companies, plantations.

Sonia: To slightly come back to the bigger picture, what is, according to you, the biggest risk for global markets in 2017?

A: The biggest risks, in my view, are geopolitical events. It would be really a bad idea for the US to pick trade war with China. China has much more endurance in terms of enduring hardship than the US and the US consumer would suffer more from a trade war than China. The US only accounts for 18 percent of Chinese exports and in the case of steel, the imports into the US from China are only 3 percent. So you can see that actually China does not depend on steel exports to the US for its wellbeing and they could easily divert part of the exports that go to the US today to other countries.

The second risk which is frequently over looked. When Mr Ronald Reagan became president in 1981, he was elected in November, 1980, asset markets were very depressed and interest rates at very elevated level. The treasury yields in America on the 20-year and 30-year bonds was over 15 percent. So, he inherited a huge tailwind of diminishing inflation, falling interest rates and depressed assets that had a huge upside potential in the 1980’s. Trump, he inherits, and that is the biggest risk, hugely inflated asset markets. The bond markets in the developed countries, as you know, have the lowest yield they ever had in the history of mankind. The bond yields will not go much lower. Now, can the 10-years yield that has gone from 1.3-1.4 percent to 2.5 percent, can it go back to 1.7 percent or 1.5 percent? Yes, possible, but it will not go much below 0 percent.

And number two, when you look at stock markets as a percent of the economy, the stock markets around the world as a percent of the economy are at a very high level, especially in the US. In other countries less so, but in the US they are. Furthermore, the US stock market has significantly, and I repeat, significantly outperformed other markets in the world since 2011 and it leaves it vulnerable to an adjustment. The adjustment may happen with the US not going up a lot. But other markets like India, emerging markets in general, Europe outperforming the US, or it could happen with everything coming down and then the US underperforming, going down more than other markets, which actually would be my view, what will happen. This is the risk.
 

Indx TechStyle

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Chance to make millions using ISRO’s data
The data from Indian Remote Sensing (IRS) satellites are used for various applications of resources survey and management under the National Natural Resources Management System
BENGALURU: NRSC's 17 million GB data can be used by many aiming to launch app-based start-ups.
The Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO) is luring young entrepreneurs to utilise massive amounts of geo-spatial data procured through its series of earth-mapping satellites to launch start-ups and earn in millions in the years to come via consultative services to respective users.
Director of ISRO's National Remote Sensing Centre (NRSC), Dr YVN Krishna Murthy told Bangalore Mirror at the 104th Indian Science Congress in Tirupati that they have gathered up to a whopping 17 million gigabytes (or 17 petabytes as 1 petabyte is 1000000 gigabytes) of geospatial data, which is set to cross 50 million GB (50 petabytes) in the next five years with the addition of a more sophisticated constellation of satellites in space to map the Indian sub-continent.
Geospatial data is information about physical objects (in terms of land, crops, water resources, agricultural information, etc) that can be represented by numerical values in a geographic coordinate system. These data have been collected using 21 remote sensing satellites so far - IRS-1A being the first one to be launched on March 17, 1988, and Resourcesat-2A, the last to be launched on December 7, 2016.
The data from Indian Remote Sensing (IRS) satellites are used for various applications of resources survey and management under the National Natural Resources Management System (NNRMS), which include space-based inputs for decentralised planning; national urban information system; ISRO disaster management support programme; biodiversity characterisations at landscape level; pre-harvest crop area and production estimation of major crops; drought monitoring and assessment based on vegetation condition; flood risk zone mapping and flood damage assessment; hydro-geomorphologic maps for locating underground water resources for drilling wells; irrigation command area status monitoring; snow-melt run-off estimates for planning water use in downstream projects; land-use and land cover mapping; urban planning; forest survey; wetland mapping; environmental impact analysis; mineral prospecting; coastal studies; and integrated mission for sustainable development (initiated in 1992) for generating locale-specific prescriptions for integrated land and water resources development in 174 districts. "There is an immense scope for start-ups. With time, the cost of technology will go down while its scope will only increase," Murthy said. "Young entrepreneurs can look at our portals to launch start-ups on a consultative basis for users and rake in millions of rupees."
 

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Ministry of Finance
30-December, 2016 16:24 IST

Department of Economic Affairs, Ministry of Finance releases Quarterly Statistics on India’s External Debt for the Quarters at end-September 2016; India’s External Debt at end-September 2016 stock stood at US$ 484.3 billion, recording a decline of US$ 0.8 billion (0.2 per cent) over the level at end-March 2016

Department of Economic Affairs, Ministry of Finance has been compiling and releasing quarterly statistics on India’s External Debt for the quarters ending September and December every year. This relates to India’s External Debt at end-September 2016.

The salient features of the Report are:
· At end-September 2016, India’s external debt stock stood at US$ 484.3 billion, recording a decline of US$ 0.8 billion (0.2 per cent) over the level at end-March 2016. The fall in external debt during the period was due to commercial borrowings and short term external debt. However, on a sequential basis, total external debt at end-September 2016 increased by US$ 4,768 million from the end-June 2016 level.
·
The maturity pattern of India’s external debt indicates dominance of long-term borrowings. At end-September 2016, long-term external debt accounted for 83.2 per cent of India’s total external debt, while the remaining (16.8 per cent) was short-term external debt.
·
Long-term debt at end-September 2016 was placed at US$ 403.1 billion, showing an increase of US$ 1.4 billion (0.4 per cent) over the level at end-March 2016. Short-term external debt witnessed a decline of 2.6 per cent and stood at US$ 81.2 billion at end-September 2016.
·
Valuation loss (depreciation of US dollar against the Indian rupee and most other major currencies) was placed at US$ 1.0 billion. This implies that excluding the valuation effect, the decrease in debt would have been higher by US$ 1.8 billion at end-September 2016 over the end-March 2016 level.
·
The shares of Government (Sovereign) and non-Government debt in the total external debt were 20.1 per cent and 79.9 per cent respectively, at end-September 2016.
·
US dollar denominated debt accounted for 55.6 per cent of India’s total external debt at end-September 2016, followed by Indian rupee (30.1 per cent), SDR (5.8 per cent), Japanese Yen (4.8 per cent) Pound Sterling (0.7 per cent), Euro (2.4 per cent) and others (0.6 per cent).
·
The ratio of short-term external debt by original maturity to foreign exchange reserves stood at 21.8 per cent at end-September 2016 lower than the 22.6 per cent at end June 2016 and 23.1 per cent at end-March 2016.
·
On a residual maturity basis, short-term debt constituted 42.0 per cent of total external debt at end-September 2016 (42.4 per cent at end-June 2016 and 42.6 per cent at end-March 2016) and stood at 54.7 per cent of total foreign exchange reserves (55.9 per cent at end-June 2016 and 57.4 per cent at end-March 2016).
·
The ratio of concessional debt to total external debt was 9.4 per cent at end-September 2016, same as at end-June 2016 and a marginal increase from the 9.0 per cent at end-March 2016.
The complete quarterly report of India’s external debt at end-September 2016 is available on the website of Ministry of Finance – www.finmin.nic.in.

*****
DSM/KA

(Release ID :155997)
 

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Higher tax mop up reflects no slowdown post note ban: Jaitley
ANI | New Delhi Jan 09, 2017 03:55 PM IST
Arun Jaitley
Highlighting the impact the 'currency squeeze', as a result of demonetisation, has had on revenue collection in the country in the months of November and December last year, Union Finance Minister Arun Jaitley on Monday said that collection figures have moved up in all states.
"The big picture is that the Direct Tax collections have moved up. The Indirect Tax collections have also significantly increased," Jaitley told a press conference here.
The Finance Minister, who presented the revenue collection data report for the past two months, said the Direct Tax collections are 12.01 percent more than the collections for the corresponding period last year for the first three quarters of the ongoing financial year - from April, 2016, to December, 2016. This collection, the report says, is 65.3 percent of the total Budget Estimates of Direct Taxes for F.Y. 2016-17.
ALSO READ: Statsguru: How govt's tax revenues got a demonetisation boost in Nov
Jaitley said, "The Direct Taxes include the corporation tax, the personal tax and the likes — all taken together."
The collections under advance tax stand at Rs 2.82 lakh crore, which is 14.4 percent higher than the figures for the corresponding period of last year. CIT advance tax is growing at 10.6 percent while PIT advance tax has registered a growth of 38.2 percent.
"Since Direct Taxes are payable in four installments, what is significant in this regard is the Indirect Tax. The Indirect Tax collection figures (Central Excise, Service Tax and Customs) up to December 2016 show that collections are exactly 25 percent more than of the corresponding period last year," he added.
Till December 2016, about 81 percent of the Budget Estimates of Indirect Taxes for Financial Year 2016-17 were achieved.
The Central Excise collections stood at Rs 2.79 lakh crore registering a growth of 43 percent during April-December last year as compared to the corresponding period in the previous fiscal year.
Net tax collections on account of Service Tax stood at Rs 1.83 lakh crore, thereby registering a growth of 23.9 percent, while for Customs, the collections stood at Rs 1.67 lakh crore and registered a growth of 4.1 percent.
During December 2016, the growth rate in collection for Customs and Service Tax was 6.3 percent and 12.4 percent respectively. The decrease in customs collections can be accounted on the basis of a decline of gold imports.
"If the figures of December are compared with that of November, the Indirect Tax growth in December was 12.8 percent," added Jaitley.
Responding to a poser about the recent tussle between the banks and petrol pump associations over the new one percent transaction fee proposal, Jaitley assured of a prompt action.
"We're discussing the issue. I have asked the secretary of the Department of Economic Affair to discuss the matter with banks. Petroleum Minister is also in touch with banks," he said.
Petrol pump dealers and associations have been protesting against banks' move of levying one percent transaction charge on the use of credit and debit card (MDR) on them instead of consumers. They had decided to stop accepting debit card or credit card payments at the petrol stations, which was later put off till January 13.
@Akshay_Fenix @ezsasa @Chinmoy @OneGrimPilgrim @F-14B
Where are those Modi basher trolls now?:biggrin2:
 

Chinmoy

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Now this is the earning part of GDP, lets see how the expenditure part goes. With money inflow in banks, time is good for companies and individuals to get down to business. Its a high time for start ups too.

I am myself looking for a business loan.... :biggrin2:
 

OneGrimPilgrim

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Now this is the earning part of GDP, lets see how the expenditure part goes. With money inflow in banks, time is good for companies and individuals to get down to business. Its a high time for start ups too.

I am myself looking for a business loan.... :biggrin2:
i heard banks are now proactively offering loans and no-cost/low-cost EMIs and what-not these days via SMS and what-have-you.
 

Chinmoy

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i heard banks are now proactively offering loans and no-cost/low-cost EMIs and what-not these days via SMS and what-have-you.
But still very conservative in terms of Business loan. Housing loan and Auto loan EMI has come down tremendously. It is a boon time for start ups. For anything business like, I think you would have to wait till March.
 

OneGrimPilgrim

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But still very conservative in terms of Business loan. Housing loan and Auto loan EMI has come down tremendously. It is a boon time for start ups. For anything business like, I think you would have to wait till March.
i'd learn more about this from my banker friend...
 

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