India’s Moves and the Pakistani Puzzle

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  1. JAISWAL

    JAISWAL Senior Member Senior Member

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    India’s Moves and the Pakistani Puzzle : Global Brief
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    Pakistan’s internal troubles and external behaviour point increasingly to the need for an increasingly muscular Indian posture
    .
    When US President Barack Obama visited India in
    November of last year, he made a point of
    staying at one of the two luxury hotels that had
    been attacked by terrorists two years earlier. The
    Mumbai attacks of November 26th, 2008, for the
    first time brought home to a global television
    audience that India is a frontline state against
    international terrorism.
    The carnage was notable
    for its savagery, audacity, choice of targets and
    duration. The attacks marked a tipping point, and
    constitute India’s own 9/11. They spawned a new
    and frightening, frozen anger at a government
    that is all bark and no bite. Indians were more
    contemptuous of their own politicians than angry
    at Pakistan. Eventually, unvented rage could
    morph into rejection of democracy in India as
    limp and corrupt.
    Outsiders advised India against war with
    Pakistan, but offered no realistic plan to destroy
    the infrastructure of terrorism infesting Pakistan.

    The world may hope for the best, but should be
    prepared for the worst. Rising demands for a
    more assertive regional posture by a nationalistic
    and increasingly impatient citizenry are the
    inevitable corollary of India’s sharply higher global
    profile.
    .
    .
    War clouds over the subcontinent will not
    dissipate because of three key factors: changes in
    the balance of considerations between no action
    and some military response by India; India’s
    waning interest in a stable Pakistan; and the rogue
    tendencies of Pakistan’s notorious Inter-Services
    Intelligence (ISI). India’s preference is for the
    establishment of civilian supremacy over the
    army and intelligence in Pakistan and
    consolidation of the institutions of good
    governance. Failing this, of necessity, India will
    have to acquire the capability to attack and
    destroy terrorist infrastructure and operatives
    across the border. India, along with the
    international community, will also have to
    reconsider the balance of rewards and
    punishment for Pakistan for its contradictory
    roles in fighting versus fomenting terrorism.
    Terrorists have attacked India repeatedly with
    planning, training and financing based in Pakistan,
    the military-intelligence-jihadist complex of which
    has been lethally effective in outsourcing
    terrorism as an instrument of state policy. India’s
    policy of off-shoring the response by appealing to
    the nebulous ‘international community’ has been
    ineffectual.
    The murderers of 9/11 came out of the
    mountainous caves of Afghanistan, where the
    Taliban regime – an after-creation of the US and
    Saudi-backed mujahideen against the Soviet-
    installed regime, as well as of Pakistan’s search
    for strategic depth against arch-enemy India –
    had nurtured them as a potent weapon against all
    infidels. India’s repeated warnings that the
    epicentre of international terrorism had shifted
    from the Middle East to Southwest Asia were
    dismissed as self-serving rants.
    .
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