India a global military power by 2045: UK study

Discussion in 'Defence & Strategic Issues' started by IBSA, Jun 5, 2015.

  1. IBSA

    IBSA Regular Member

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    India a global military power by 2045: UK study

    A global scenario projected by Britain’s ministry of defence says that by 2045 India is likely to have the ability to project conventional military power globally with the third largest defence expenditure pegged at 654 billion US dollars.

    Titled ‘Global Strategic Trends – Out to 2045’, the publication by the ministry’s Development, Concepts and Doctrine Centre sets out what the world might look like 30 years from now. It looks at a range variables, including energy, mineral resources, conflict and migration.

    “Although China’s military-industrial complex is unlikely to surpass the technological sophistication of the US by 2045, it may rival it in terms of size, as could India’s. Both India and China will probably seek to develop sizeable and technically advanced armed forces, including ocean-going navies, capable of delivering an enduring and capable maritime
    presence both regionally and further afield”, the paper says.

    The analysis on South & East Asia and Oceania says: “The military capabilities of other countries in the region are also likely to increase but only China, India, Australia, Japan (which is actively increasing its military capability) and South Korea are likely to have the ability to project conventional military power globally”.

    However, the analysis notes that although India is likely to spend more on defence than the UK, it will “almost certainly have to overcome domestic political issues and improve the way it invests to attain the capabilities needed to project conventional military power globally”.

    According to the projection, the US and China are likely to have similarly sized defence budgets, potentially out-spending the rest of the world by 2045. India could have a defence budget equivalent to the EU’s total spending on defence, it says.

    “Additionally, China, India and the US are likely to lead in defence-related research and development – further enhancing their military capabilities”, the paper says.

    In terms of Technology, the paper says that China and India are likely to attain global leadership in select technical disciplines, achieving parity with the West in a number of
    niche areas as soon as 2015 and more widely by 2045.

    Stating that China and India will “almost certainly continue to be the dominant powers” in the region, the paper says that the ways the two countries manage their societies’ demands and their internal methods of governance will be important to the region’s development.

    In terms of conflict, it is projected that Kashmir would continue to one of the areas of tension, including the border between China and India. “The risk of a major state-on-state conflict in the region cannot be ruled out”, it says.

    The paper is based on inputs from a range of individuals and global institutions, including India’s Institute for Defence Studies and Analysis, United Services Institute and the Vivekananda International Foundation.

    http://www.defencenews.in/defence-news-internal.aspx?get=new&id=c$$LG/ZJx6V4=
     
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  3. ezsasa

    ezsasa Senior Member Senior Member

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    Used to read similar articles around 2005-2007, we shouldn't get ahead of ourselves.
     
  4. Rowdy

    Rowdy Co ja kurwa czytam! Senior Member

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    Talk less work more..........................30 characters :doh:
     
  5. LETHALFORCE

    LETHALFORCE Moderator Moderator

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    How can they make predictions about thirty years from now?
     
  6. pmaitra

    pmaitra Moderator Moderator

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    They are hoping to get a slice of the pie. If you notice, the article speculated on India's defence expenditure. This might be an attempt to get the UK to lobby India more to sell their wares.

    India also has a loud and noisy corpus that for whatsoever reason seems to prefer expensive imports.
     
  7. lcafanboy

    lcafanboy Regular Member

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    Just as they could predict how much road width is required after 100 years in Mumbai (marine drive cuffe parade and south mumbai) and just as they could predict how long the rail bridge at vasai long. Its only reserved class idiot indian govt. employees who can't predict anything because their top floor is empty can't do anything.
     
  8. aliyah

    aliyah Regular Member

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    who bombed Russia.....or did they die of heart attack that india not buying anything :)
     
  9. blueblood

    blueblood Senior Member Senior Member

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    Too many "ifs" and "buts" come with these kinds of predictions. Unfortunately people making these predictions are not particularly familiar with Indian politics, politicians, bureaucracy and economy.

    Predict 2045 with Kejru or Mamta as PM in the next election or the one after that and you will get the answer.
     

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