In Cong’s Modi fight, can AAP come to rescue?

Discussion in 'Politics & Society' started by Ray, Dec 29, 2013.

  1. Ray

    Ray The Chairman Defence Professionals Moderator

    Joined:
    Apr 17, 2009
    Messages:
    43,118
    Likes Received:
    23,543
    Location:
    Somewhere
    In Cong’s Modi fight, can AAP come to rescue?

    MJ Akbar


    Has Arvind Kejriwal become the last hope of Congress in its bitter struggle against Narendra Modi? Many Congress leaders no longer believe they can win in 2014, but hope that Modi can still be stopped from becoming prime minister. The sacrifice of a parish like Delhi is small change in the larger game.

    In theory, this strategy has its merits. Modi and Kejriwal have one asset in common. They are outsiders who promise to cleanse the gutters of Delhi corruption. If Modi, with an energized BJP cadre in support, remains the only claimant to honesty’s mantle, Congress could face electoral upheaval. But if the mantle can be shared, voter focus will be split.

    The problems are apparent, once you clear the gold dust of media coverage. Delhi has seven MPs; Parliament has a hundred times that and more. Television often gives more attention to seven seats than 700, but offering free water to the capital’s middle class from some magic jug is not quite the same as finding a solution to river disputes between Karnataka and Tamil Nadu.

    Delhi was the only state to produce a confused result, but the rough-and-ready opinion poll that Kejriwal conducted after the Assembly results to check the city’s mood confirmed an important fact: voters go to the polling booth to elect an alternative government, not only to give vent to anger. Kejriwal would have preferred another, quick, election, to maximize the positive surge in his direction. Citizens told him to get on with it, and deliver on promises instead of stretching an alibi. There is a consistent message from ground level. Voters want a stable government. Kejriwal cannot offer that at a national level. Nor can he promise a coalition, since he considers every other party corrupt. His only rationale for entering Parliament will be that of a security guard service. Good, but possibly not good enough.

    But there isn’t a gambler in a casino, or in a general election lottery, who will accept defeat before a last throw of dice.

    Before 2009, the pursuit of Modi was a catchment run for votes. In 2014, the confrontation has edged closer to existential. The camouflage, if there was ever any, has been ripped off. Modi’s slogan is unambiguous, an India rid of Congress. He asked Mumbai, from where Mahatma Gandhi told the British in 1942 to quit India, to launch a “Quit Congress” movement.

    At least some Congress seniors do not dismiss this as seasonal bluster. They feel that Modi could turn victory in 2014 to re-election in 2019, even as he coils Congress in corruption cases. Would a family-run Congress possess the commitment and resilience to survive such a difficult decade ahead? The party has already disappeared from huge swathes in the country, without any help from Modi. Time, and dejection, might do the rest. They are confident, however, that Congress can negotiate its way through the swamp if the next administration is led by anyone else. Only Modi would squeeze it out of political space.

    Congress has never pursued any politician with the ferocity it displays against Modi. This is not merely desire for retribution; it is also evidence of worry. The past few days have been particularly depressing to Congress, as accusations have peeled away despite long and intense scrutiny. CBI, which reports to the Centre, could not find “prosecutable evidence” against Modi in the Ishrat Jahan death.

    A magistrate’s court has ruled that Modi cannot be charged with collusion in the 2002 Gujarat riots. A final attempt is being made through the “snoopgate” allegations. But after setbacks in tougher cases, there isn’t too much credibility left in UPA’s storehouse, let alone time. In public life, an accusation often comes roaring like a lion, and retreats bleating like a lamb. But voters have sharp ears.

    By February we will know whether Kejriwal has been able to use Congress, or vice versa. It might suit both if Kejriwal loses Congress support because he has filed corruption cases. Kejriwal would be rid of government, and Congress would be rid of Kejriwal. A wounded Kejriwal could then be unleashed on the general election. In the meantime, all Modi has to do is wait, and keep quiet. If BJP had won Delhi, he would have no answers on electricity rates, water or crime. Delhi’s water comes from Congress-ruled Haryana; electricity from corporations, who are even less generous; and the police is run by the Centre. Some battles are better lost.

    The best New Year greeting has come to me from a friend. It consists of two lines from T S Eliot’s Four Quartets: “For last year’s words belong to last year’s language, And next year’s words await another voice.” We shall see which voice prevails.

    In Cong’s Modi fight, can AAP come to rescue? by The Siege Within : MJ Akbar's blog-The Times Of India

    *********************************************************

    There is no doubt that the country is fed up with the Congres Party, its misgovernance, corruption and the use of populist programmes that are by default remains by default s sea of mere promises and ends up in a mirage.

    But what is the alternative?

    Modi and Kejriwal,the former with a backdrop of effective governance of Gujarat and the later ignites the desire and visions of a new dawn are both appearing as messiahs of the people.

    Kejriwal has the advantage of not having been proved but appearing a man of integrity, while Mosi carries the baggage of the 2002 riots, where he is held as the villain of the piece, even if such a contention has been repeatedly debunked over the last 11 years through courts and other agencies.

    Be that as it may, he is a victim of the Hindi saying - Bad se, Badnam bura and the image does not go away even if he is indeed not blame worthy.

    Therefore, Kejriwal appears to be the winner, though his disadvantage is that he is not tested and India has been the victim over the years of having political leaders who appeal, only to fizzle out since the weave grandiloquent dreams that cannot be fulfilled.


    Congress, on the other hand, shamelessly cling to the words of Wordsworth poem, 'MY heart leaps up when I behold
    A rainbow in the sky:'.. Though for 'rainbow' it should read in Congress' case. 'mirage'.

    To imagine their temerity where the Son and the Mother who claim to have been the mover and shaker of the Lokpal Bill turned a blind eye to the exoneration of the tainted CMs of Maharastra, by rejecting the Report, to suddenly conjure a conscience to find the exoneration to be incorrect.

    Imagine the dynasty which can rubbish the PM and make him wilt and eat his words and policy, which the Crown Prince called 'nonsense' find itself dragging its feet on the tainted CMs indictment!

    However, political skulduggery is legend and in the DNA of the Congress. MJ Akbar brings it out most succinctly!
     
  2.  
  3. kseeker

    kseeker Retired

    Joined:
    Jul 24, 2013
    Messages:
    2,515
    Likes Received:
    2,111
    Location:
    Bharatvarsh

    No doubt that, Congress will not get the seats what they could get during last elections, Most of the Congress votes will go to AAP + AAP will attract some more votes which could go to BJP as well.

    With all this political drama, one thing will be sure i.e. Yet another Hung Assembly at center in 2014 !

    We might even see Delhi episode repeating during 2014 at center, time will tell but at present we can only speculate ? :noidea:
     
  4. Ray

    Ray The Chairman Defence Professionals Moderator

    Joined:
    Apr 17, 2009
    Messages:
    43,118
    Likes Received:
    23,543
    Location:
    Somewhere
    Earlier in the day, Modi reached the venue in a chopper after landing at Ranchi’s Birsa Munda Airport. Senior BJP leaders such as former chief minister Arjun Munda, Yashwant Sinha and Ravindra Rai, welcomed Modi amid a gathering of around 2 lakh people from across Jharkhand.

    Narendra Modi blames Congress for lack of development in Jharkhand - Hindustan Times

    *****************************************

    Modi is still showing his charisma and seems to be the symbol of hope that India seems to be in dire need of!
     
    hit&run and ersakthivel like this.
  5. Deccani

    Deccani Tihar Jail Banned

    Joined:
    Dec 20, 2013
    Messages:
    465
    Likes Received:
    105
    Location:
    india

    AAP is in fact came into scene to counter Narendra Modi . BJP has to start even looking for regional allies to support them . About one thing which i like about BJP now is that they have toned down the communal angle . today only there was one article about Modi being the only secular leader of India .

    BJP only secular party in country, says senior J-K leader - India - DNA
     
    TrueSpirit1 and hit&run like this.
  6. VIP

    VIP Ultra Nationalist Senior Member

    Joined:
    Mar 22, 2012
    Messages:
    4,684
    Likes Received:
    3,187
    Location:
    Gandhinagar
    C'mon, AAP has just won 28 assembly seats in Delhi, which hardly matters in other parts of the country. AAP can do something in the states where only BJP & Congress exist, no other party can get foothold there and which are those states ?? Gujarat, M.P., Rajsthan,Chhattisgadh,H.P,Katnatak,Goa. Remind me the remaining as I can't recall all. And I don't think except Karnataka, AAP can do something in other states. Even if it does something in Karnataka, it would be an ultimate loss of Congress. Other stats are full of local shyte and so it wouldn't be easy there, even BJP, Congress cannot do much in such states.

    Media and so we overestimating Delhi election results, in fact BJP got its vote share intact there. What BJP needs to do is just continue ground work in other states and retain support of Modi. And sit tight in delhi, a very big news is coming from there in coming months, don't know if it's good or bad but if no news is coming, AAP would vanish in no time.
     
    Last edited: Dec 30, 2013
  7. kseeker

    kseeker Retired

    Joined:
    Jul 24, 2013
    Messages:
    2,515
    Likes Received:
    2,111
    Location:
    Bharatvarsh
    I wish your words will come true in near future. However, current trends says otherwise. At least, I have noticed some drastic changes after Delhi episode.

    From what I have witnessed so far personally, in IT, Corporate sector, people are talking about Kejriwal on daily basis !

    If you go outside and stand in front of "Chai Ki Tapri", you hear people talking about AAP, Kejriwal, NaMo vs Kejriwal etc...

    Perhaps, above trend is common if we talk about Big cities however, I am not sure about rural trends.


    @Singh, your thoughts ?
     
    Last edited by a moderator: May 10, 2015
  8. VIP

    VIP Ultra Nationalist Senior Member

    Joined:
    Mar 22, 2012
    Messages:
    4,684
    Likes Received:
    3,187
    Location:
    Gandhinagar
    Well, it's obvious that people will talk as media is totally shifting the attention. But how many of them will vote for AK & Modi ?? This is not 70s anymore. A single leader can't attract voters from all over India, it's also true in case of Modi. You see nobody from media has criticized AAP for taking support of Congress, they are now praising him, before then media was in bashing AAP spree business. It's just matter of days, the air will be cleared in some days. Rural areas don't even know what's AAP is.And in states like UP,Tamilnadu where regional parties work, AAP can't make a dent. If you analyze Delhi result, BJP's vote share remained intact while Congress suffered a major lose, it wouldn't be wise for congress to continue support AAP in future. Congress knows this and it will play AAP handsomely just wait and watch.
     
    Last edited by a moderator: May 10, 2015
    kseeker likes this.
  9. A chauhan

    A chauhan "अहिंसा परमो धर्मः धर्म हिंसा तथैव च: l" Senior Member

    Joined:
    Oct 10, 2009
    Messages:
    4,927
    Likes Received:
    4,561
    Location:
    Raipur
    My wild guess 11-13 LS seats for AAP in 2014 ! I can't imagine more than that for now.
     
  10. aragorn

    aragorn Senior Member Senior Member

    Joined:
    Nov 14, 2009
    Messages:
    1,034
    Likes Received:
    887
    Location:
    Ahmedabad
    In divyabhaskar today they have reported that AAP ka Baap is USA.

    USA dont want modi to become PM hence they are aiding Farziwal and his cronies so that they can stop modi march...
     
    VIP likes this.
  11. aragorn

    aragorn Senior Member Senior Member

    Joined:
    Nov 14, 2009
    Messages:
    1,034
    Likes Received:
    887
    Location:
    Ahmedabad

    If you believe local gujarati news papers, there is a huge AAP wave in gujrat and they will sweep all the seats :D
     
  12. VIP

    VIP Ultra Nationalist Senior Member

    Joined:
    Mar 22, 2012
    Messages:
    4,684
    Likes Received:
    3,187
    Location:
    Gandhinagar
    :rofl: :rofl: let me guess...... Gujarat Samachar.....
     
    aragorn and A chauhan like this.
  13. TrueSpirit1

    TrueSpirit1 The Nobody Banned

    Joined:
    Nov 5, 2013
    Messages:
    1,575
    Likes Received:
    1,014
    Location:
    India
    Sir, number of seats won by AAP does not matter.

    They have already curtailed BJP's march to Center. Modi becoming PM is apparently, a very distant prospect now. Con-party won, India lost. Thanks to Kejriwal.

    That matters. In fact, that's the only thing that matters.
     
    parijataka and kseeker like this.
  14. A chauhan

    A chauhan "अहिंसा परमो धर्मः धर्म हिंसा तथैव च: l" Senior Member

    Joined:
    Oct 10, 2009
    Messages:
    4,927
    Likes Received:
    4,561
    Location:
    Raipur
    AAP is going to fight in 300 LS seats, another minority appeasement party is on the rise, if they succeed India will face more Islamic extremism and possible separation of J&K.
     
  15. TrueSpirit1

    TrueSpirit1 The Nobody Banned

    Joined:
    Nov 5, 2013
    Messages:
    1,575
    Likes Received:
    1,014
    Location:
    India
    That is absolutely correct. So, if this our fate, who is responsible for this ?

    The short-sighted, self-centered, vendetta-driven, AAP-enthusiasts whose numbers are multiplying exponentially especially, among the urban youth.

    Can we stop this ?

    I do not know but we can keep trying at all possible fora, till May, 2014.

    Nation is much bigger than any municipality-level issues I may be facing. I would never let my grouse against the local BJP councillor/legislator affect the nation in a detrimental way. We need unity, order & stability for governance, prosperity, progress & peace to thrive.
     
    A chauhan likes this.
  16. parijataka

    parijataka Senior Member Senior Member

    Joined:
    Oct 15, 2011
    Messages:
    4,893
    Likes Received:
    3,688
    Location:
    Bengaluru
    Even if AAP hurt BJP in 15-20 seats it is enough to scuttle chances of NDA coming to power - expect n**cases like Mulayam , Lallu and Mamata to form Third/Fourth/Federal/Nonsense Front and bring further misery in 2014.

    Congress will be laughing all the way to 2018-2019 when they might expect to make a come back, long term planning of Congress it seems.
     
    A chauhan and TrueSpirit1 like this.
  17. TrueSpirit1

    TrueSpirit1 The Nobody Banned

    Joined:
    Nov 5, 2013
    Messages:
    1,575
    Likes Received:
    1,014
    Location:
    India
    This is exactly what I feared & can now see materializing. Thank you, AAP-enthusiasts.

    For spectacularly ensuring disaster for India, from the lap of victory.
     

Share This Page