t_co
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Ray, I think you're overestimating the psychological aspect here. Even if 20,000 Tibetans rise up, so what? China can simply shut off the telephone and internet lines and give the orders 'weapons free' and 'anything that flies to hit anything that moves', and then solve the problem once and for all.The point that should be remembered is that the Dalai Lama's people can cause problems.
Nukes can cause problems if only there is war.
Right now, Pakistan has no money to even keep their electricity going, let alone think of embarking on a war!
China can accelerate anything they want, but then it is for the Tibetans to accept the person as the Dalai Lama.
The Chinese appointed Panchen Lama is only recognised by the Han and not the Tibetans.
There lies the nub.
If you are meaning by ' many untraceable ways to accelerate the Dalai Lama's reincarnation process.' is the assassination by the Chinese of the present Dalai Lama, the only acceleration the Chinese would have achieved is the uprising against the Han in Tibet!
As far as given the Maoist heavy weaponry, if the Indian public gets aroused, then all those weaponry will come to nought. Already, there is a huge ground swell after the Maoist killings of the Congress leaders in Chattisgarh! The so called intellectuals supporters of Maoista, are all running for cover, including that oaf Swami Agniban or whatever that bloke's name is! I saw him on TV pathetically bleating like a sheep being taken for slaughter!
Hard power is everything here, and the Tibetans have none of it.
As for the Pakistanis, they are in the equation because if India uses that overfed shepherd boy to try and start shit, China can simply escalate on India until India has to respond militarily, and then India would face a 2-front war against nuclear powers. Again, hard power is everything.
And finally, for the Naxals, the same applies - sure, the Dalai Lama can stir at the Tibetans' heartstrings, but all that will make them do is become cannon fodder in the face of real weapons and trained soldiers. China can make sure that the Naxals cause huge amounts of damage before they burn out - think wrecked power plants, assaults on petrochemical and industrial sites, hacking of India's financial infrastructure, etc. - all backed by the firepower of a small army.
What can the Tibetans do? Bleed on us? You drastically overestimate the sympathy Chinese decisionmakers hold for the lives of separatists. In their eyes, those lives are forfeit. The only thing that might sway them is economic sanctions, but honestly, which major economy will give up 1.3 billion consumers and workers for 3 million yak herders?
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