According to Russian media outlets, Russia is covered with a new wave of demographic crisis. A natural reduction in number of Russian women of active childbearing age has been going on since early 2008.
According to forecasts of the head of health ministry of Russia, Golikova, by 2020 the number of Russian women at the age of 20-29 would decrease by 4.6 million, or 38%.
For normal growth of the population of Russia 3 million should be born every year, this figure does not exceed 2.08 million today. And now it will only decrease.
To keep the growth of demographic indicators, the average Russian family must have at least 4-5 children, that is completely excluded for Russians in present conditions.
"Today many talk about the impending "demographic hole", but in fact Russia is firmly seated in it, - says director of the institute of international studies of family, deputy director of the Institute of demography school of economics, Zakharov. - Today only to replace the dead Russian families need to have at least two or three children. Thus, an inevitable continuation of the process of population decline expected for Russia.
The depopulation of Russia can be avoided if annually accept on a constant residence up to 1 million migrants. But it is also unlikely, as well as large-scale migration to Russia of "compatriots abroad", on what for some reason the Russian athorities seriously hope.
"Firstly, Russia is waiting for the reduction and the aging of workforce - continues Zakharov. - World history has no examples of such a strong reduction in the population of working age. "Battle of the staff" is ahead.
Secondly, the final collapse threatens the existing pension system - numerically small taxpayers will not take out the necessary level of compulsory contributions for the benefit of children and the elderly.
Thirdly, numerous migrants with diffrent culturies root into the Russian society, who are needed for the Russian economy, even in a crisis. Similarly, many civilizations had disappeared from the world map.
Fourthly, we are waiting for the inevitable decline in the FSB, the Interior Ministry, the army.
Fifthly, Russia will face the problem of demolition or preservation of the vast amounts of housing and social and economic infrastructure in the emptying small cities and towns ..."
http://kavkazcenter.com/eng/content/2010/04/20/11882.shtml
According to forecasts of the head of health ministry of Russia, Golikova, by 2020 the number of Russian women at the age of 20-29 would decrease by 4.6 million, or 38%.
For normal growth of the population of Russia 3 million should be born every year, this figure does not exceed 2.08 million today. And now it will only decrease.
To keep the growth of demographic indicators, the average Russian family must have at least 4-5 children, that is completely excluded for Russians in present conditions.
"Today many talk about the impending "demographic hole", but in fact Russia is firmly seated in it, - says director of the institute of international studies of family, deputy director of the Institute of demography school of economics, Zakharov. - Today only to replace the dead Russian families need to have at least two or three children. Thus, an inevitable continuation of the process of population decline expected for Russia.
The depopulation of Russia can be avoided if annually accept on a constant residence up to 1 million migrants. But it is also unlikely, as well as large-scale migration to Russia of "compatriots abroad", on what for some reason the Russian athorities seriously hope.
"Firstly, Russia is waiting for the reduction and the aging of workforce - continues Zakharov. - World history has no examples of such a strong reduction in the population of working age. "Battle of the staff" is ahead.
Secondly, the final collapse threatens the existing pension system - numerically small taxpayers will not take out the necessary level of compulsory contributions for the benefit of children and the elderly.
Thirdly, numerous migrants with diffrent culturies root into the Russian society, who are needed for the Russian economy, even in a crisis. Similarly, many civilizations had disappeared from the world map.
Fourthly, we are waiting for the inevitable decline in the FSB, the Interior Ministry, the army.
Fifthly, Russia will face the problem of demolition or preservation of the vast amounts of housing and social and economic infrastructure in the emptying small cities and towns ..."
http://kavkazcenter.com/eng/content/2010/04/20/11882.shtml