Chinese Premier Li Warns Southeast Asia Nations Against 'Provocations

Discussion in 'China' started by Ray, Apr 11, 2014.

  1. Ray

    Ray The Chairman Defence Professionals Moderator

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    Chinese Premier Li Warns Southeast Asia Nations Against 'Provocations'

    Remarks Follow Philippines Legal Challenge to Its Claims in South China Sea


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    Li Keqiang, China's premier, said during a speech at the Boao Forum for Asia that China will 'respond firmly to provocations' in territorial disputes.

    BOAO, China—Premier Li Keqiang delivered a warning to Southeast Asian countries with whom China is embroiled in territorial disputes, saying that China will "respond firmly to provocations."

    His remarks, in a speech also peppered with calls for regional cooperation, follow a move by the Philippines last month to challenge China's claims to almost the entire South China Sea at a United Nations arbitration panel in The Hague, a legal gambit that has enraged China.

    They also come U.S. officials harden their rhetoric against China's increasing assertiveness in the region. This week, visiting U.S. Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel warned that this behavior risked conflict.

    In a speech at the Boao Forum for Asia, Mr. Li combined a strong message regarding China's sovereignty claims with soothing words aimed at reassuring a region that is growing nervous about China's military intentions.

    "I wish to emphasize that China is committed to peaceful development," he told delegates to the forum on Hainan, a southern island province through which China asserts sweeping administrative control over large tracts of the South China Sea.

    "We will give full support to initiatives that help strengthen maritime cooperation," he said.

    "On the other hand, we will respond firmly to provocations that undermine peace and stability in the South China Sea." He added: "We Chinese believe in repaying kindness with kindness and meeting wrongdoing with justice."

    China's definition of what constitutes a provocation is linked to its claims to what it calls "indisputable sovereignty" over 90% of the South China Sea and almost all of its islands, atolls and reefs.

    Philippines Department of Foreign Affairs spokesman Charles Jose declined to comment on Mr. Li's remarks in Boao.

    When neighbors like the Philippines and Vietnam seek to assert their own claims—including in their U.N.-mandated Special Economic Zones off their coasts—Beijing regards this as an affront.

    It often responds with carefully calibrated shows of force sufficient to resist the challenge—and even to change the status quo in its favor—but not aggressive enough to risk military conflict.

    An example of these tactics is the way that Chinese maritime enforcement vessels have fenced off the Scarborough Shoal, one of the world's richest fishing grounds, which lie just off the Philippines coast.

    This was a response to Philippine efforts to chase off Chinese fishing boats.

    The U.S. is worried that China will broaden these tactics by declaring an Air Defense Identification Zone over the South China Sea in an effort to strengthen its territorial claims, just as it has done over the East China Sea, where it is in dispute with Japan over a set of uninhabited islands.

    Washington has explicitly warned Beijing against such a move. China has called the warnings from the U.S. "irresponsible."

    Chinese Premier Li Warns Southeast Asia Nations Against 'Provocations' - WSJ.com

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    China talks a bit too much.

    What in the name of Mao, does this paper tiger of a PM mean by China will "respond firmly to provocations."?

    Start a war?

    If China starts a war, will the others sit idle?

    The others may not care about the nation attacked, but would seriously d all to protest the undersea resources from falling into China's hand uncontested. No one wand China to become more powerful with abundance of natural resources, since already China is becoming a menace and the bully of the block.

    China is running scared that the UN arbitration council may favourably opine on Philippines' legal gambit, That will ruin China's quest to grab territories in the SCS, at least make all its 'historical' maps and claims look contrived, false and totally bogus, which it is in any case.

    Notwithstanding China's claim that China is committed to peaceful development, no country in the world believes that it is an honest statement.

    Action speaks greater than words.

    And China's action resounds of aggressive hegemonic pursuit gulping down islands and territories in a new form of Lebensraum,.
     
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  3. mattster

    mattster Respected Member Senior Member

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    Re: Chinese Premier Li Warns Southeast Asia Nations Against 'Provocati

    China is trying to push the envelope as far as it can without risking war.

    Its the Chinese pragmatic mentality at its best......take whatever you can get with intimidation, until the other guy has had it up to his breaking point - then back off a little to avoid a costly small war which will likely change the whole dynamic of South-East Asian politics and military alignment.

    Its the same mentality that they bring to science, research , technology, etc. If you want to build your own fighter aircraft - why design the whole thing from scratch ? Buy a Russian fighter, copy the whole thing, then only put the real R & D effort in the areas where you cannot steal or copy the technology.
    This allows the Chinese to quickly ramp up their industry and learning at the lowest possible cost and risk to them. They don't care if people laugh or call them copy-cats.

    The same strategy is used in territorial claims......take whatever you can at the lowest possible cost.
    This strategy always works when the enemy is much weaker. It works with India, because India is a "soft state with a weak central government".
    Every aspect of Indian society from the government to the civil service to the military reeks with corruption and incompetence in the ranks.

    The danger of this strategy is that if one of the small Asean tigers decides to stand and fight - then things could get nasty fast.
    China will not be able to back down without risking humiliation to its huge army and military. They will have to "make an example out the state that does not bow to their wishes". The entire CPC party apparatus will lose face, if they don't stand up and teach their smaller enemies a good lesson. It won't be like when they invaded Vietnam, even though they took Vietnamese territory in 1979, the battle hardened Viets made the Chinese pay by kiiling tons of Chinese soldiers like flies.
    This time around the news will spread all over China like wildfire......there was no internet in those days.

    The Chinese know full well that if they have a shooting incident at sea with the Philippines or Japan - then the whole ball-game will change in a minute. This is why the Chinese keep pouring tons of money into the military......they want to intimidate and get the other guy to back down without ever firing a single shot.

    Its one thing for an open democratic society like the US to be the big cop on the block......even the small guys don't get nervous, but its another thing for a country like China which is a one party dictatorship to play the same game.
     
    Last edited: Apr 11, 2014
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  4. Ray

    Ray The Chairman Defence Professionals Moderator

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    Re: Chinese Premier Li Warns Southeast Asia Nations Against 'Provocati

    Reminds me of the story of The Boy Who Cried Wolf which is one of Aesop's Fables.
     
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  5. CCP

    CCP Senior Member Senior Member

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    Re: Chinese Premier Li Warns Southeast Asia Nations Against 'Provocati

    There means Filipinos will not able to kill more Taiwanese fish man.
     
    Last edited: Apr 11, 2014
  6. laughingbuddha

    laughingbuddha Regular Member

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    Re: Chinese Premier Li Warns Southeast Asia Nations Against 'Provocati

    Who is provocating whom? He just got the S-400.
     
  7. CCP

    CCP Senior Member Senior Member

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    Re: Chinese Premier Li Warns Southeast Asia Nations Against 'Provocati

    S-300PMU-2 have lost to HQ -9 at Turkey. China and Russia did not announce any meeting for S-300PMU-3.

    FYI, S-300PMU-3 is not even mass equipped in Russia.
     

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