BJP to put up candidates to split anti-Left vote

Discussion in 'Politics & Society' started by ejazr, Mar 6, 2011.

  1. ejazr

    ejazr Stars and Ambassadors Stars and Ambassadors

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    BJP to put up candidates to split anti-Left vote

    Away from its attacks on the Congress in Parliament, the rightwing Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is looking to tie a strange knot with the Left in West Bengal and Kerala to enable a Congress defeat.

    The basic idea is to field as many candidates as possible from Kerala and West Bengal in the May assembly elections. West Bengal has 294 seats and BJP General Secretary Arun Jaitley has said his party would put up candidates in all of them. Kerala has 140 seats.

    It would take a tidal wave of Biblical proportions for the BJP to win a meaningful number of seats in both states, which traditionally vote the Congress and the Left by turns.

    But the BJP loves to try its hand. The BJP’s theory is something like this. West Bengal and Kerala are two crucial states going into elections in May. The ruling Left is likely to lose both to the Congress. That would give the Congress a fillip at the Centre.

    The rightist vote in West Bengal and Kerala would go to the Congress if there are no BJP candidates. So, the BJP must split the anti-Left vote so the Congress weakens, however slightly.

    This is not the first time the BJP is considering such a plan. It always does it and gets barely anything in return.

    For instance, the BJP has no seats in the outgoing West Bengal assembly. The CPM has 173, the Forward Bloc 23, the RSP 20, the CPI 9, the WBSP 4, the RJD 1, and the DSP(P) 1, making it 233/294 for the Left Front.

    The Trinamool Congress, which is leading the charge against the CPM, has 29. Its alliance partner the JKP(N) has one. The Congress has 21, the GNLF 3 and Independents 6.

    In Kerala, the CPM has 61, CPI 17, JD(S) 5, KEC 4, LDF 4, RSP 3, KCS 1, NCP 1, INL 1, and C(S) 1, making it 98/140 for the Left.

    The Congress has 24, KEC(M) 7, MUL 7, KEC(B) 1, JPSS 1, UDF 1, and the DIC 1, making it 42/140 for the Congress-led front.

    The RSS has a sizeable base in Kerala and its cadres are always engaged in clashes with the Left cadres, but the BJP leaders have approached the RSS leadership to ensure these fights are put on hold and RSS cadres help in defeating the Congress.

    The other states going to polls in May are Tamil Nadu, Assam and Puducherry. The Congress is banking on retaining Assam and is riding on the back of Mamata Banerjee in West Bengal.

    In Tamil Nadu, the prognosis isn’t good for the DMK-Congress alliance, which is stuck in chaotic negotiations over seat sharing. The state has 234 seats. The DMK-led front has 163, of which the DMK has 96, Congress 34, PMK 18, CPM 9 and CPI 6.

    The AIADMK-led front has 69, of which the AIADMK has 61, MDMK 6 and the VCK 2. Independents have 1 and the DMDK has 1.

    The Congress started with a demand for 90 seats in Tamil Nadu and has come down to 65 at the time of writing. The DMK says it can offer 60. Negotiations are on in New Delhi to resolve this.

    The BJP is working on some sort of an understanding with the AIADMK if a formal alliance is not possible. The Congress is not shut to the idea of an alliance with the AIADMK. However, it needs to be cleared at the level of the Congress president.

    The only state where the BJP will contest with full might is Assam where it wants to take advantage of the space vacated by the Asom Gana Parishad (AGP), once a potent force.
     
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  3. GPM

    GPM Tihar Jail Banned

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    Every party tries to grow. Every party tries its hands. In Bihar Congi tried going it alone and from 9 it was reduced to 4. Happens. BJP cannot be faultede for going it alone in WB and Kerala.
     
  4. Yusuf

    Yusuf GUARDIAN Administrator

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    CPM should send heartfelt thanks for this to the BJP.
     
  5. pmaitra

    pmaitra Moderator Moderator

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    Wow, this is shocking news. Of course, when BJP and LF joined hands to counter the N-Deal, it was a greater shock.

    Anyways, this is going to be interesting.

    Looking forward to analyses from DFI members.
     
  6. Ray

    Ray The Chairman Defence Professionals Moderator

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    BJP has not joined hands with the Left.

    It has stated that it will contest the seats.

    They have no hope in hell to win or make an impression in Bengal.

    However, those who are caught between the Devil and the Deep Sea ie. Left and the Loopy, may just for the BJP.

    It cuts both ways. Both the Left as also the Loopy will suffer.

    And the BJP still will be nowhere!
     
  7. GPM

    GPM Tihar Jail Banned

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    What is shocking about it? BJP has every right to go it alone, as it has always done in Kerala.

    BJP was not actually against the nuclear deal, but wanted a few details sorted out.
     
  8. Yusuf

    Yusuf GUARDIAN Administrator

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    We need a constitution amendment to make india a two party presidential system. The current system is not suited for india. Too much instability at a time to have stability and march forward is not good. Coalition politics is hopeless and compromises national interests.
     
  9. pmaitra

    pmaitra Moderator Moderator

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    It was shocking to me.

    Moreover, I was hinting at some (secret) strategic understanding between BJP and LF. I am not saying this did happen. I am saying this could have happened. This is politics.

    It's the same story with LF. They were not against the N-Deal. They wanted a few details sorted out.

    MMS refused to share the draft of the N-Deal with both BJP and LF. It is a big story, and probably suited for another thread. The point is that they both voted against the Confidence Motion.
     
    Last edited: Mar 6, 2011
  10. pmaitra

    pmaitra Moderator Moderator

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    Yusuf, honestly, 2 party system has its own deficiencies. Also, you cannot have all opinions represented by two parties. A two party system is only slightly better than a one party system, like in the then USSR or PRC. The more options you give the electorate, the better. Of course, the downside is 'too many cooks spoil the broth'. That's just how I see it.

    I guess we could have a thread on that.
     
  11. Ray

    Ray The Chairman Defence Professionals Moderator

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    There should be a fixed tenure for a government and to cater for extraordinary conditions, a no confidence motion could only be tabled only if it there was a 2/3 majority.
     
  12. Yusuf

    Yusuf GUARDIAN Administrator

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    We have a thread on it already made long back. Just reiterating my opinion.
     
  13. mayfair

    mayfair Elite Member Elite Member

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    In a choice between devil and the deep sea, BJP candidates are likely to attract floaters in addition to their dedicated cadre. They have the right to attempt to expand their base in different states and this seems to be a part of that.
     
  14. GPM

    GPM Tihar Jail Banned

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    Maybe you were shocked. Maybe you were shocked when BJP led the NDA govt. That too happens. Parties do not decide on the basis of how many would be shocked. Though an understanding between BJP and Left is the figment of imagination, but in real politics everything is possible.
     
  15. pmaitra

    pmaitra Moderator Moderator

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    And your point is?

    Not imagination. BJP had earlier joined hands with Jamaat-I-Islami as well (guess what, this was shocking too). Fundamentalist-fundamentalist bhai bhai. After all, birds of the same feather flock together (numerous parallels can be drawn). See the link below:

    http://www.indianexpress.com/news/haldias-united-colours-barring-red/206165/0
     
  16. GPM

    GPM Tihar Jail Banned

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    Then be socked more. Muslim Leaugue is part of UPA. Is it secular? So is Kerala Congress. Is it secular? Since when have Laloos and Paswans become secular? For far is SP secular? For our polity they are more dangerous than fundamentalists.

    Did you read your link carefully? Congress, Trinmool, Jamiat Islami and BJP joined together to deafeat Left. All fundamentalists, you mean? Yes.


    Haha. Left was worried to death that Jamt would take away MUSLIM votes. Secular worries.

    Btw, has Congi called Jamat a fundamentalist outfit? Has left done so? Not at all.


    Haha. Joke is on you, pal.
    *****
    BJP has every right to try to weaken SoniCong. So has the Left. Were you shocked that allegedly secular Left was not vacating the space for p-secular SoniCong?
     
    Last edited: Mar 6, 2011
  17. pmaitra

    pmaitra Moderator Moderator

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    You are entitled to your opinion.

    I don't care whom you consider to be secular or not. We all have different opinions. I don't want to get into that debate here. If you want to debate that, start a thread.

    The point I am trying to make is, if BJP can ally with Jamaat against a common foe (LF), then BJP can also ally with LF against a common foe (Congress).
     
  18. GPM

    GPM Tihar Jail Banned

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    Cuts both ways. If Cong can ally with Jamat and Muslim league, it can ally with any other devil.
     

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