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Beijing and troubled nations: Signals of a shift
By Geoff Dyer
Published: January 20 2011 22:03 | Last updated: January 20 2011
As the 2008 Olympics approached, China underwent a crash course in the politics of overseas investments when human rights groups accused Beijing of holding a "Genocide Games" on the grounds that its oil investments in Sudan were sustaining a scorched earth campaign in Darfur. For the Chinese leadership, however, its Sudanese headache is only just beginning.......
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About 80 per cent of Sudanese oil is in the south, but the port used to ship it abroad is in the north, fed by a pipeline. As the biggest foreign investor in Sudan, China finds itself caught in the middle of the country's visceral internal divide......
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For all its rarity, the Sudan referendum is an example of what China will increasingly face as its overseas investments expand – the diplomatic burdens of being an aspiring superpower. Chinese strategists insist that their country will not be drawn by the temptations of empire and has no desire to become a powerful outside force in African politics.
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Yet, realists would argue, it is interests rather than ideas that end up shaping the foreign policy of great powers. China's expansion into energy, resources and infrastructure across the globe is likely to take it into new entanglements where neutrality becomes ever harder to sustain and Beijing is forced to take sides and influence events.
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Charles Freeman, a China expert and former US diplomat, remarked last year that
China's statements about the modesty of its international ambitions echoed isolationist sentiments that were common in the US a century ago. "The United States did not then seek to dominate or control the international state system, nor did it pursue military solutions far from its shores," he said. "In time and in reaction to events, however, America came to do both."
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China is usually strongly opposed to the break-up of multi-ethnic countries, for fear that it could encourage similar demands from its own ethnic groups, most notably in Tibet and the heavily Muslim Uighur population in Xinjiang, or encourage an independence push by Taiwan. For instance, China refused to recognise Kosovo, which declared independence from Serbia in 2007.
But as the likelihood of southern Sudanese secession has loomed, Beijing became aware that it faced hostility from an independent government in the south that would see China as the principal backer of its enemy. Many in southern Sudan view Beijing's investments during the 1990s, at a time when the civil war was raging, as an implicit intervention on the side of Khartoum.
"If they want to protect their assets, the only way is to develop a very strong relationship with the government of southern Sudan, respect the outcome of the referendum and then we will be doing business," Anne Itto, deputy head of the Sudan People's Liberation Movement, the south's leading political group, said last year.
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