Karnataka crisis deepens; Yeddyurappa camp sets July 5 deadline to remove Gowda
Bangalore: Two days after nine ministers, loyal to him, quit the Karnataka cabinet, former chief minister BS Yeddyurappa has further upped the ante against Chief Minister DV Sadananda Gowda, in a power struggle that is now becoming the Bharatiya Janata Party's biggest nightmare. Mr Yeddyurappa's camp has set a deadline of July 5 to remove Mr Gowda and replace him with Jagadish Shettar, the Rural and Panchayati Raj Minister and Mr Yeddyurappa's preferred choice.
The faction has also released a list of 51 MLAs , who claim to be his supporters and are willing to resign en masse, if Mr Gowda isn't removed.
The move is being seen as a muscle-flexing of sorts by Mr Yeddyurappa in order to pressure the party high command to accede to his demand to replace Mr Gowda with Mr Shettar, a leader who also belongs to his powerful Lingayat community. And he intends to keep up the pressure what with Mr Shettar having met party MLAs and MLCs at his residence in Bangalore today.
BJP in Karnataka have understood , Next elections they are not coming back to power, everyone wants to be the CM. BJP's fall in Karnataka is caused by its own.
I will be shocked if Congress doesn't return to power in 2013. This would be one of the rare state where BJP is going to lose few seats in 2014 general election too. Somehow, I am bit pessimistic. Although, Congress is also in bad phase and too much internal fight but negative voting hurts more than advantage by positive vote
BJP should forget Karnataka and concentrate on 10 other state where it is in strong position. K'ka is gone case!
Only solution IMO, BJP should appoint any strong Lingyat leader. However, I am not sure even on that.
But one thing is sure, RSS/BJP has worked a lot to strengthen it's grass-root organisations in last few years. They always do whenever they come to power in any state for first time. So, May be BJP will lose 2013 and come-back strongly in 2018. Historically, 1st BJP government was always weak but 2nd term is far better.
The caste factor in Karnataka is quite acute in intensity and result and of that there is no doubt.
The Governor, Deve Gowda and the Congress are working overtime and of that there is also no doubt, given the manner how they went hammer and tongs to get their bête noire, Yedyurappa, off the throne.
However, that Yedurrappa has clout in Karnataka, there is no doubt and Deve Gowda, the Congress or even the Governor has in no way covered themselves in glory either. They are all, including the Governor, tainted; the Governor's action at one time disowned by his mentors at Delhi, who distanced themselves.
Therefore, to observe impartially, the BJP may still emerge first past the post, though with a reduced majority.
The Reddy Brothers factor cannot be overlooked and they are closer to the BJP, at least in Karnataka, even though they are closer to YSR and his family and Congress in AP. The fact that their cases are in Karnataka and the investigation agencies will play a part in their cases, there is no reason to not believe that they will go with the BJP.
In India, after all, money speaks during elections!
D.V. Sadananda Gowda is a political lightweight compared to Yeddurappa!
1) Caste factor is not so strong in Karnataka as believed by some. It is not like M-Y voting for SP and Dalit for BSP in UP. There are Lingayats and Vokkaligas and others in all the major parties though JD(S) being the family party of Deve Gowda and sons could be said to be caste oriented. One can say that minorities vote for Congress that way. JD(S) is becoming marginalised generally and plays a spoiler to Congress sometimes and sometimes hurts BJP by cutting into the vote share.
2) Yeddyurappa is a charismatic and ambitious person and an orator, too ambitious perhaps for his own good and the party. Sadananda Gowda OTOH is under stated and not a mass leader and non-corrupt. Perhaps the solution is to give Yeddyurappa a key role in the coming election campaign and DVS Gowda continue as CM. With all this drama by Yeddyurappa and his supporters administration in the state has gone for a toss. This has to stop.
3) Even a weakened BJP has developed strongholds in parts of the state, due to good grassroots developed over past 15-20 years and is not going to go away. One strength of BJP that will sustain it in the future. The MLC elections few weeks ago had BJP with 6 seats, Congi 3 and JDS 1, so not so bad. Most APMCs, municipalities and panchayats in the state are held by BJP now.
4) BJP encourages talent unlike Congress that does not allow any regional leaders to shine - so we have a Modi in Gujarat, Parrikar in Goa, Shivraj Chauhan in MP and Raman Singh in Chattisgarh. Yeddyurappa is a good leader and administrator but unfortunately got mired in corruption cases.
Money does speak during elections but ultimately it is the performance of the govt that counts.
Bangalore, July 1: The BJP rebels led by B.S. Yeddyurappa today set July 5 as the deadline to replace Karnataka chief minister D.V. Sadananda Gowda with their nominee, Jagadish Shettar.
Sadananda is heading for Delhi tomorrow for a meeting with BJP president Nitin Gadkari and other leaders...........
The rebels held a daylong solidarity meeting at Shettar’s residence, attended by at least 55 MLAs, six legislative council members and eight Lok Sabha MPs. The nine former ministers too rallied behind Yeddyurappa, who stayed away from the limelight.
Raju Gowda, one of the ministers who quit in support of Shettar, said he was sure of a solution by July 5. “If not, we’ll make a major announcement on July 5,” he declared, stopping short of saying the rebels’ next move would affect the government.
Party insiders said some rebels had threatened to vote for Pranab Mukherjee instead of P.A. Sangma in the presidential election if their demand was not met by the July 5 deadline. Cross-voting may make little difference to the outcome but would come as a big embarrassment for the BJP.
Karnataka BJP chief K.S. Eshwarappa said there could be snap polls in December if party infighting continued at this rate. The state elections are due in May next year.
The party establishment has maintained that the resignations of the nine ministers — eight quit on Friday and Raju Gowda the day after — will not be taken back.