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VIENNA — By the time Secretary of State John Kerry and his Iranian counterpart checked into a luxury hotel near the famous beaches of Oman earlier this month, a long-sought deal that has eluded the last two American presidents to roll back Tehran's nuclear program seemed to be slipping out of reach.
With a deadline approaching, Mr. Kerry thought the opportunity could be lost unless the Iranians finally offered a breakthrough compromise. But Mohammad Javad Zarif, the Iranian foreign minister, came with nothing. Frustrated, Mr. Kerry said there was no way the United States would accept a deal that did not curb Iran's ability to produce a bomb within a year.
Continue reading the main story
Related Coverage
Secretary of State John Kerry spoke at a news conference on Monday in Vienna after nuclear talks with Iran were extended.
U.S. and Allies Extend Iran Nuclear Talks by 7 MonthsNOV. 24, 2014
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The conversation grew heated. The two men, patricians in their own cultures and unaccustomed to shouting, found themselves in the kind of confrontation they had avoided during multiple negotiating sessions over the past year. "This was the first time there were raised voices and some unpleasant exchanges," said an American official, who like others requested anonymity to describe secret diplomacy.
Continue reading the main story
Multimedia Feature
Timeline on Iran's Nuclear Program
Whether Iran is racing toward nuclear weapon capabilities is one of the most contentious foreign-policy issues challenging the West.
OPEN Multimedia Feature
On Monday, as the deadline finally arrived, Mr. Kerry left another negotiating table in Vienna, having failed to bridge the divide.
The last-minute offers he expected never arrived. And yet the two diplomats agreed that they may yet agree, and so they settled for an extension of the deadline in hopes that a new approach might enable them to find the middle ground that has escaped them.
If anything, the last few weeks underscored a larger conclusion about the negotiations: If the deal had been left to Mr. Kerry and Mr. Zarif, and to their respective teams, it probably would have happened. The two men have developed a strong working relationship, and the flare-up in Oman a couple weeks ago underscored how much each wanted to get to a deal but could not.
In the end, both were constrained by hardline politics at home. Mr. Zarif, while friendly, outgoing and Westernized, had pushed to the very limits of his brief; he often warned that the final decision would be in the hands of the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. And Ayatollah Khamenei, American intelligence officials had told President Obama and Mr. Kerry, was heavily influenced by the Revolutionary Guard Corps and his own distrust of the Americans.
For his part, Mr. Kerry was hemmed in by the Republican midterm election victory and the fear of feeding the narrative that Mr. Obama was a weakened president. The bipartisan talk in Congress about new sanctions also acted as a serious constraint on the American negotiating team. And so did Israel's constant warnings that Mr. Obama was at risk of being duped. If Israel condemned any outcome as a bad deal, the label could stick in Congress.
An agreement with Iran has hovered achingly out of reach throughout Mr. Obama's presidency, the foreign policy goal that could transform American relations with one of its most persistent adversaries and reshape the world's most volatile region. From the start, the story of the talks has been one of hopeful signs and dashed expectations, bursts of optimism occasionally piercing clouds of skepticism.
Continue reading the main story
Mr. Obama began reaching out shortly after taking office in 2009, writing the first of what would be four letters to Ayatollah Khamenei. It was not until last year's election of Hassan Rouhani, followed by his choice of Mr. Zarif, that doors really began to open and Mr. Obama authorized a secret channel to the two men through Oman.
His envoys, William Burns and Jake Sullivan, both then top State Department officials, traveled with little or no entourage, slipping into the back doors of hotels. Israel was kept in the dark for months, as were the French.
After five secret meetings, the talks moved to New York in September 2013 under the cover of the United Nations' annual meeting. Mr. Zarif met Mr. Kerry in a closet-sized room near the Security Council chamber, and the two exchanged private telephone numbers and email addresses, a channel they have used more than either has publicly admitted. Mr. Zarif also engineered a telephone call between Mr. Obama and Mr. Rouhani, the first direct contact between American and Iranian leaders since the 1979 revolution. "It cost us when we got home," Mr. Zarif later noted.
But the talks led to a deal last November to freeze much of Iran's nuclear activity in exchange for some sanctions being lifted while formal talks for a broader agreement were held. Wendy Sherman, the under secretary of state, led the new negotiations so persistently that she kept going even after breaking three bones in a fall and later breaking her nose on a glass door in Vienna.
Iran threw several curveballs. Ayatollah Khamenei said in a speech that Iran would ultimately increase the number of centrifuges that could produce enriched uranium, rather than decrease them. "Zarif all but told us he didn't see that coming," an American official said.
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/11/25/world/middleeast/nuclear-deal-again-eludes-us-and-iran-.html?_r=0
With a deadline approaching, Mr. Kerry thought the opportunity could be lost unless the Iranians finally offered a breakthrough compromise. But Mohammad Javad Zarif, the Iranian foreign minister, came with nothing. Frustrated, Mr. Kerry said there was no way the United States would accept a deal that did not curb Iran's ability to produce a bomb within a year.
Continue reading the main story
Related Coverage
Secretary of State John Kerry spoke at a news conference on Monday in Vienna after nuclear talks with Iran were extended.
U.S. and Allies Extend Iran Nuclear Talks by 7 MonthsNOV. 24, 2014
With No Immediate Prospect of Sanctions Relief for Iranians, Support President Slips NOV. 24, 2014
The conversation grew heated. The two men, patricians in their own cultures and unaccustomed to shouting, found themselves in the kind of confrontation they had avoided during multiple negotiating sessions over the past year. "This was the first time there were raised voices and some unpleasant exchanges," said an American official, who like others requested anonymity to describe secret diplomacy.
Continue reading the main story
Multimedia Feature
Timeline on Iran's Nuclear Program
Whether Iran is racing toward nuclear weapon capabilities is one of the most contentious foreign-policy issues challenging the West.
OPEN Multimedia Feature
On Monday, as the deadline finally arrived, Mr. Kerry left another negotiating table in Vienna, having failed to bridge the divide.
The last-minute offers he expected never arrived. And yet the two diplomats agreed that they may yet agree, and so they settled for an extension of the deadline in hopes that a new approach might enable them to find the middle ground that has escaped them.
If anything, the last few weeks underscored a larger conclusion about the negotiations: If the deal had been left to Mr. Kerry and Mr. Zarif, and to their respective teams, it probably would have happened. The two men have developed a strong working relationship, and the flare-up in Oman a couple weeks ago underscored how much each wanted to get to a deal but could not.
In the end, both were constrained by hardline politics at home. Mr. Zarif, while friendly, outgoing and Westernized, had pushed to the very limits of his brief; he often warned that the final decision would be in the hands of the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. And Ayatollah Khamenei, American intelligence officials had told President Obama and Mr. Kerry, was heavily influenced by the Revolutionary Guard Corps and his own distrust of the Americans.
For his part, Mr. Kerry was hemmed in by the Republican midterm election victory and the fear of feeding the narrative that Mr. Obama was a weakened president. The bipartisan talk in Congress about new sanctions also acted as a serious constraint on the American negotiating team. And so did Israel's constant warnings that Mr. Obama was at risk of being duped. If Israel condemned any outcome as a bad deal, the label could stick in Congress.
An agreement with Iran has hovered achingly out of reach throughout Mr. Obama's presidency, the foreign policy goal that could transform American relations with one of its most persistent adversaries and reshape the world's most volatile region. From the start, the story of the talks has been one of hopeful signs and dashed expectations, bursts of optimism occasionally piercing clouds of skepticism.
Continue reading the main story
Mr. Obama began reaching out shortly after taking office in 2009, writing the first of what would be four letters to Ayatollah Khamenei. It was not until last year's election of Hassan Rouhani, followed by his choice of Mr. Zarif, that doors really began to open and Mr. Obama authorized a secret channel to the two men through Oman.
His envoys, William Burns and Jake Sullivan, both then top State Department officials, traveled with little or no entourage, slipping into the back doors of hotels. Israel was kept in the dark for months, as were the French.
After five secret meetings, the talks moved to New York in September 2013 under the cover of the United Nations' annual meeting. Mr. Zarif met Mr. Kerry in a closet-sized room near the Security Council chamber, and the two exchanged private telephone numbers and email addresses, a channel they have used more than either has publicly admitted. Mr. Zarif also engineered a telephone call between Mr. Obama and Mr. Rouhani, the first direct contact between American and Iranian leaders since the 1979 revolution. "It cost us when we got home," Mr. Zarif later noted.
But the talks led to a deal last November to freeze much of Iran's nuclear activity in exchange for some sanctions being lifted while formal talks for a broader agreement were held. Wendy Sherman, the under secretary of state, led the new negotiations so persistently that she kept going even after breaking three bones in a fall and later breaking her nose on a glass door in Vienna.
Iran threw several curveballs. Ayatollah Khamenei said in a speech that Iran would ultimately increase the number of centrifuges that could produce enriched uranium, rather than decrease them. "Zarif all but told us he didn't see that coming," an American official said.
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/11/25/world/middleeast/nuclear-deal-again-eludes-us-and-iran-.html?_r=0