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Let me try a different approach. Vladimir, your central point is that a big chunk of China's economy will "vaporize" and disappear. Let's test your hypothesis. During the past year, the world economy has undergone a severe financial crisis. Logically, according to you, China's economy was under pressure and part of it should have vaporized. And yet, it is the Russian economy that has vaporized. Would you concede that the Russian economy is built on shakier grounds than China's economy?
In 2008, China's GDP was $4.3 trillion dollars; Russia's GDP was $1.7 trillion dollars. See List of countries by GDP (nominal) - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
For 2009, China's projected GDP is $4.75 trillion dollars; Russia's projected GDP is $1.25 trillion dollars. See List of countries by future GDP (nominal) estimates - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
During 2009, China's GDP has grown by approximately 10% ($4.3t --> $4.75t).
However, Russia's GDP has shrunk by 26% ($1.7t --> $1.25t).
Do you think that you should change your theory from "China collapse" to "Russia collapse?"
In 2008, China's GDP was $4.3 trillion dollars; Russia's GDP was $1.7 trillion dollars. See List of countries by GDP (nominal) - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
For 2009, China's projected GDP is $4.75 trillion dollars; Russia's projected GDP is $1.25 trillion dollars. See List of countries by future GDP (nominal) estimates - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
During 2009, China's GDP has grown by approximately 10% ($4.3t --> $4.75t).
However, Russia's GDP has shrunk by 26% ($1.7t --> $1.25t).
Do you think that you should change your theory from "China collapse" to "Russia collapse?"