Strategic Shift: US-Cuba Normalization of Ties

asianobserve

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Russian Power in Cuba Turned to Nostalgia. Now Even That's Fading

Last week's joint announcement by President Raul Castro and Obama overturned half a century of political discourse in Cuba, where Russia was the good guy and the U.S. the villain.

"Imagine being told everyday for forty years that all your problems are caused by Americans and then all of the sudden hearing from the same people that Americans are your best friends?" said Havana taxi driver Jorge Aguillar. "This is the situation I'm in. It's an overwhelming feeling."
Faced with the ruble's 39 percent slump against the dollar in the past six months, Russian influence is under threat.

Obama's decision "is bad news for Putin geopolitically," Lipman said. "It's a demonstration to the world that America can project soft power while Russia has lost the last vestiges of whatever soft power it once had."
Russia will have to forget any hopes of using Cuba in its "bitter confrontation" with the U.S., Dmitri Trenin, head of the Moscow Carnegie Center, said by e-mail. "This means no Russian forces stationed there, no bases for Russian aircraft, no listening facilities."
Russian Power in Cuba Turned to Nostalgia. Now Even That's Fading - Bloomberg
 

amoy

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To relate this US Cuba cozy-up to Russia is far fetching. Russian clout has already diminished long since depite its posturing to reinstate its presence. Cuba is not stupid to be "used " by Russia in confrontation against US "again " whatsoever - anyway so close to US but so far away fm Russia.

It may be another attempt of Democrats to revamp Hispanic votes and in response to big corporations' hopes to enter Cuba. And after sanctions for decades have failed engaging Cuba seems to b the most effective to instigate changes inside Cuba.
 

karn

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Nice deals. It seems that it is only Russia the NoKor is not doing the blackmail beggaring (which it does even to China). These 2 countries or at least their leaders must be soulmates. Now I can't wait to download their photo together...
Last time I checked India buys a lot of silver from NK under very normal trade relations .
 

asianobserve

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Last time I checked India buys a lot of silver from NK under very normal trade relations .
Do you think Modi will invite Kim Jong-Un to grace India's national day celebrations?

Anyway, the latest development on the warming US-Cuba relations:

Cuba Frees Dissidents from Crackdown Condemned by U.S.

(Reuters) - Cuba freed some leading dissidents on Wednesday after holding them overnight to thwart an unauthorized demonstration in a crackdown that has tested its new detente with the United States.

Cuba frees dissidents from crackdown condemned by U.S | Reuters
 

asianobserve

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asianobserve

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US also released Cuban spies.
Yes, but only five. Cuba also released American spies before this 53 Cuban dissident prisoners. What's more the US picked out this 53 dissident prisoners.
 

IBSA

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Russian spy ship docks in Havana on eve of historic Cuba-US talks
President Vladimir Putin sends Cold War-style message to Washington on day that Kremlin announces plans to extend global military presence with new bases


The Russian intelligence warship Viktor Leonov CCB-175 remains docked at the port of Havana, on January 20

A Russian spy ship has docked in central Havana on the eve of a ground-breaking visit to Cuba by a senior US delegation in a defiant display of military might by President Vladimir Putin.

The Viktor Leonov, an armed intelligence-gathering vessel that monitors US communications, arrived at a passenger cruise terminal in full public view for what a Russian embassy official called a "friendly" three-day stay.

The port call came on the same day that Kremlin defence minister Sergei Shoigu announced plans for Russia to extend its global military footprint with new bases in a number of countries, including Vietnam, Cuba, Venezuela and Nicaragua.

Mr Putin seemed to be sending a typically blunt message about Russia's influence with its communist Caribbean ally by timing the vessel's visit to coincide with this week's trip by a US team led by Roberta Jacobson, the assistant secretary of state.

Ms Jacobson, the top US diplomat for the Americas, will on Wednesday begin negotiating a restoration of diplomatic ties with Washington's long-time foe Cuba against the backdrop of a stark visual reminder of the island's pivotal role in the Cold War.

President Barack Obama last month announced plans to end five decades of hostility with Havana by re-establishing full diplomatic links and easing trade and travel restrictions.

But Russia also struck a deal last year with Cuba to re-open a huge eavesdropping base just 150 miles from the US mainland as relations between Washington and Moscow deteriorated over the Ukraine crisis.

The Viktor Leonov monitors military and some civilian electronic communications, with its focus almost exclusively on the US. It regularly patrols the waters of the North Atlantic and the Caribbean and last docked in Havana in 2012.

It re-appeared as Mr Shoigu told reporters in Moscow about Russian's plans to establish a permanent military presence outside its borders in several countries in Latin America and Asia.

"The talks are under way, and we are close to signing the relevant documents," said the minister. He added that the negotiations cover not only military bases but also visits to ports for Russian vessels and the opening of refueling sites for Russian strategic bombers on patrol.

Moscow currently has only one naval base outside the former Soviet Union – in Tartus, Syria, but the fate of this naval facility is uncertain because of the ongoing civil war in that country.

Russian spy ship docks in Havana on eve of historic Cuba-US talks - Telegraph
 

asianobserve

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Interestingly, Cuban officials did not officially announce the arrival of this Russian spy ship. The timing of this ship's arrival is most likely purely on Russian terms. Putin wants to send to both US and Cuba that it cannot be ignored, much like how it did in Ukraine. But I seriously doubt it can do anything dramatic a la Ukraine in Cuba this time.
 

asianobserve

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Obama Measures on Cuba Trade, Travel Poke New Holes in Embargo

Defying hardline critics in Congress, President Barack Obama made good on his commitment last month to loosen restrictions on dealings with Cuba as part of a historic effort to end decades of hostility.

The 54-year-old U.S. embargo on Cuba will remain in place - only Congress can lift it.

But the package of regulations issued by the Treasury and Commerce Departments, which will take effect on Friday, will allow U.S. exports of telecommunications, agricultural and construction equipment, permit expanded travel by Americans to the island and open banking relations.
Obama measures on Cuba trade, travel poke new holes in embargo | Reuters
 

asianobserve

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Obama Measures on Cuba Trade, Travel Poke New Holes in Embargo

Defying hardline critics in Congress, President Barack Obama made good on his commitment last month to loosen restrictions on dealings with Cuba as part of a historic effort to end decades of hostility.

The 54-year-old U.S. embargo on Cuba will remain in place - only Congress can lift it.

But the package of regulations issued by the Treasury and Commerce Departments, which will take effect on Friday, will allow U.S. exports of telecommunications, agricultural and construction equipment, permit expanded travel by Americans to the island and open banking relations.
Obama measures on Cuba trade, travel poke new holes in embargo | Reuters
 

Ky Loung

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To relate this US Cuba cozy-up to Russia is far fetching. Russian clout has already diminished long since depite its posturing to reinstate its presence. Cuba is not stupid to be "used " by Russia in confrontation against US "again " whatsoever - anyway so close to US but so far away fm Russia.

It may be another attempt of Democrats to revamp Hispanic votes and in response to big corporations' hopes to enter Cuba. And after sanctions for decades have failed engaging Cuba seems to b the most effective to instigate changes inside Cuba.
This have nothing to do with Hispanic vote and everything have to do with exiled Cuban American votes in Florida. Cuban exiles hate the Cuban government. Obama basically destroy Hillary chances of winning Florida in the next General election. Both Senate and House oppose it. Both Republican and Democrats oppose it. US/Cuba relation will go nowhere until the demands of Cuban American exiles are met.
 

amoy

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This have nothing to do with Hispanic vote and everything have to do with exiled Cuban American votes in Florida. Cuban exiles hate the Cuban government. Obama basically destroy Hillary chances of winning Florida in the next General election. Both Senate and House oppose it. Both Republican and Democrats oppose it. US/Cuba relation will go nowhere until the demands of Cuban American exiles are met.
according to some reports exiled "old" Cubans (and their offsprings) hate the revolution for their lost paradise. howevr "new" Cuban immigrants would like to see improvement btwn America and their motherland. meantime Latinos of other origins generally respond positively to the warm-up without any baggage of historical feuds.

so overall speaking , isn't it a plus for (Dem.) Hillary to earn extra scores among the Hispanic?
 

asianobserve

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Cubans Look Fondly to U.S. as Talks to Resume Relations Start


Miguel Barnet, a 74-year-old noted poet and anthropologist who is also a member of Cuba's powerful Council of State, poses for a photograph at his office in Havana January 9, 2015.

(Reuters) - Miguel Barnet, one of Cuba's most prominent Communist Party intellectuals, fondly recalls his teenage years in the 1950s, attending one of Havana's elite private schools, singing in the Episcopal church choir and performing in American musicals.

"I love North American culture, I was shaped by it," Barnet, a 74-year-old noted poet and anthropologist who is also a member of Cuba's powerful Council of State, said at his office in Havana, where images of Cuba's revolutionary leaders, Fidel Castro and Ernesto "Che" Guevara, adorn the walls.

He is not alone. After more than five decades of hostility from Washington, most Cubans firmly oppose U.S. policies and the long economic embargo against their communist-led country but they admire U.S. culture.

Many have relatives living in the United States, Cuban teenagers listen more to rap and hip hop than to home-grown son and salsa, and baseball is the country's most popular sport.

Following U.S. President Barack Obama's historic shift in Cuba policy last month, the two governments are meeting in Havana this week to set about restoring diplomatic relations.

Cuba's leaders have said little about the negotiations ahead, but they seem ready to make up.

"We never burned an American flag in Cuba," said Eusebio Leal, 72, another leading intellectual and the official historian of the city of Havana. "We Cubans don't have our hands soaked in American blood. There is no anti-American hatred here."

Since both sides promised a new era in relations on Dec. 17, Cuba has released dozens of people considered by Washington to be political prisoners and Obama has significantly eased sanctions against Cuba to allow more U.S. travel and trade.

ECONOMIC CHANGES

Cuba says the U.S. economic embargo has caused well over $100 billion in damages over the decades.

It desperately needs investment to build its economy and the United States is its natural market so many people here hope for quick changes that draw the two countries closer together, especially those who are taking advantage of market-style reforms and setting up small businesses.

"Everyone wants to see what the future will bring. They can taste the consumer benefits in the future," said Camilo Martinez, who runs a six-room bed and breakfast for foreign tourists in Havana and recently invested in a roof top bar catering to late night revelers.

"No one can stop this. Everyone wants to work with people in the United States, we all have friends and relatives there .... Everyone can see the future: McDonald's, Home Depot, Walmart."

That does not mean there will be major political change on the communist-run island, however.

President Raul Castro has made clear that he fully intends to preserve one-party rule and keep a lid on political dissent.

Barnet, the poet and anthropologist who heads the Union of Cuban Writers and Artists, said Cuba's long battle for independence, first from Spain and then from U.S. domination, has forged a strong cultural identity and that the U.S. government should not try to pressure the country into reforms.

He also warned radical Cuban exile leaders in the United States will try to scupper deals between Washington and Havana.

"We have to be very careful. The right wing in Miami will try and destroy anything that Obama has done."

Even after the 1959 revolution, Barnet traveled frequently to the United States to give lectures on African influences in Caribbean society.

In the mid-1980s, he spent 18 months in New York on a Guggenheim fellowship researching immigrant Caribbean communities. "It was the best period of my life."
Cubans look fondly to U.S. as talks to resume relations start | Reuters
 

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